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Thiago Carpini
Fortaleza
Botafogo-SP
Fortaleza
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Botafogo-SP
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
37'
Vilar · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
57'
⚽
Ronald1–0
66'
🔁
G. Queiróz ◂ Arthur Caíke
66'
🔁
J. Nem ◂ Z. Hugo
69'
M. Sales · Foul
72'
🔁
Nathan Fogaça ◂ J. Miritello
80'
🔁
F. Vieira ◂ W. Pinheiro
80'
🔁
M. Antonio ◂ R. Gava
82'
🔁
Welliton ◂ Vitinho
82'
🔁
Luiz Fernando ◂ P. Henrique
89'
🔁
Thiaguinho ◂ M. Sales
Full-time · 1–0
90'+2
🔁
T. Cardona ◂ Rodriguinho
90'+2
🔁
R. Santos ◂ L. Sasha
90'+8
F. Vieira · Foul
Coaches
Thiago CarpiniCláudio Tencati 
Recent form
FortalezaLAVila Nova FC1-2
WHGrêmio Novorizontino1-0
LAAtlético Goianiense0-1
WHPonte Preta2-0
WHSport Recife2-1
Botafogo-SPWHJuventude4-2
DALondrina0-0
DASport Recife3-3
WHAvaí3-1
LHClube De Regatas Brasil0-1
Where to watch
Disney+ESPN 4RedeTV!SportyNetYouTube - SportyNet
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
City
Fortaleza
Referee
Charly Wendy Straub Deretti
Kickoff
29 Jul, 00:35 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Fortaleza
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Botafogo-SP
1
J. Ricardo
8.4
22
Maílton
7.6
23
Neris
7.0
3
L. Gazal
7.9
13
M. Lima
7.7
6
T. Cardona
↑ 90'
8
Ronald
7.8
31
Welliton
6.5
↑ 82'
29
R. Santos
↑ 90'
32
Luiz Fernando
6.6
↑ 82'
17
Nathan Fogaça
6.4
↑ 72'
1
V. Souza
7.7
31
Pedrinho
6.5
3
E. d. Silva
6.9
4
Vilar
6.8
100
P. Brey
6.6
29
Thiaguinho
6.7
↑ 89'
8
E. Morelli
6.9
11
J. Nem
6.5
↑ 66'
26
F. Vieira
6.5
↑ 80'
28
M. Antonio
6.6
↑ 80'
17
G. Queiróz
6.3
↑ 66'
Substitutes
25GVinicius
33DK. Rocha
4DLuan Freitas
75MRodriguinho↓ 90'7.3
88ML. Sasha↓ 90'7.0
16MP. Henrique↓ 82'6.2
77MP. Baya
10ML. Crispim
37MRyan
11FVitinho↓ 82'6.9
9FJ. Miritello↓ 72'6.5
19FL. Emanoel
Coach: Thiago Carpini
Substitutes
25GA. V. d. S. Júnior
12GJordan
22DGabriel Inocêncio
13DWallace
23MW. Pinheiro↓ 80'6.9
16MM. Sales↓ 89'6.8
10MR. Gava↓ 80'6.6
5ML. Maciel
18FArthur Caíke↓ 66'6.5
30FZ. Hugo↓ 66'6.1
Coach: Cláudio Tencati
Top stats
54%Possession46%
2.16Expected goals (xG)0.42
18Total shots9
5Shots on target5
4Big chances1
10Corners6
Shots
8Shots off target3
5Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box6
6Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
0.8Goals prevented0.6
Attack
26Touches in box15
59Final third entries51
2Offsides0
18Free kicks13
5Fouled in final third1
Passing
393Passes344
351Accurate passes280
30/46 (65%)Long balls23/47 (49%)
7/23 (30%)Crosses5/11 (45%)
17Throw-ins17
Duels
52Duels48
32/67 (48%)Ground duels35/67 (52%)
17/27 (63%)Aerial duels10/27 (37%)
5/14 (36%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
10Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles19
44Tackles won79
8Interceptions3
15Clearances18
43Recoveries38
Discipline
13Fouls18
0Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
5Saves4
1Big saves2
5Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 31 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.28 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 60% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
Who winsFortaleza to win (DNB) 66% · 1.38 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.21 @ Betano
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 30% · 3.24 @ Pinnacle
1X2Fortaleza to win 46% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle
1X2Botafogo-SP to win 24% · 4.51 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 65% · 1.48 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 50% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.92
Fortaleza ▼
2.81
Draw ▼
4.20
Botafogo-SP ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
Fortaleza or Draw ▼
1.31
Fortaleza or Botafogo-SP ▼
1.76
Draw or Botafogo-SP ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.06
Yes ▼
1.68
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.10
Over 0.50
7.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.46
Over 1.50 ▲
2.75
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.35
Over 2.50 ▼
1.57
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.45
Over 3.50 ▼
1.21
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.97
Over 4.50 ▼
1.05
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.32
Fortaleza ▼
2.93
Botafogo-SP ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
15.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
7.30
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50 ▼
4.95
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.27
Over 8.50 ▼
3.25
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.50
Over 9.50 ▼
2.37
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.83
Over 10.50 ▼
1.86
Under 10.50 ▲
1.3 – 1.0Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~12Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.44
we give it 65 chances out of 100 at a fair price
65%
likely
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 61% | 1.52 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 72% | 72% | 1.28 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 2.5 goalsGoals | 60% | 61% | 1.54 | Overpriced | low |
| Fortaleza to win (DNB)Who wins | 66% | 66% | 1.42 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 79% | 79% | 1.19 | Overpriced | high |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 54% | 54% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 30% | 30% | 3.07 | Overpriced | low |
| Fortaleza to win1X2 | 46% | 46% | 2.02 | Overpriced | low |
| Botafogo-SP to win1X2 | 24% | 24% | 3.9 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 65% | 65% | 1.44 | Fair | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 50% | 50% | 1.84 | Overpriced | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 66% | -1% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 42% | -2% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 18% | +3% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 48% | -2% | No |
| Home win | 46% | 43% | +3% | Yes |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 0% | No |
| Away win | 24% | 27% | -3% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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