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Eduardo Barros
Cuiabá
Fortaleza
Cuiabá
3-3-1-3 · 4-2-3-1
Fortaleza
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
115512 EUR · live
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
54.1%
-44.0 vs price
Home
32.0 · implied 3.1%
33.2%
+30.1 vs price
Away
90.0 · implied 1.1%
12.7%
+11.6 vs price
Half time
1327 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
66.7%
-27.6 vs price
Draw
8.6 · implied 11.6%
26.8%
+15.1 vs price
Away
46.0 · implied 2.2%
6.4%
+4.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
62152 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
76.9%
-22.1 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
23.1%
+20.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6260 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
90.7%
-8.3 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
9.3%
+8.5 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
J. Dias · assist Eliel1–0
17'
Pierre · Foul
39'
P. Henrique · Foul
42'
Luiz Fernando · Off the ball foul
44'
Pepê · Time wasting
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
R. Santos ◂ Vitinho
46'
🔁
K. Cristtyan ◂ Eliel
46'
🔁
P. Baya ◂ Luiz Fernando
48'
VAR
Penalty check · R. Santos
54'
⚽
Maílton (pen)1–1
63'
J. Miritello · Argument
65'
🔁
T. Cardona ◂ L. Sasha
65'
🔁
M. Lima ◂ G. Fuentes
70'
🔁
V. Peixoto ◂ Pepê
84'
🔁
L. Otavio ◂ C. Costa
84'
🔁
M. Júnior ◂ J. Dias
87'
🔁
Ryan ◂ Rodriguinho
89'
🔁
R. Rodrigues ◂ Igor
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Eduardo BarrosPaulo Autuori 
Recent form
CuiabáDASport Recife1-1
LHAtlético Goianiense0-1
LAJuventude0-2
DASão Bernardo2-2
WHAmérica Mineiro1-0
FortalezaWHPalmeiras3-2
LAPalmeiras0-3
WHBotafogo-SP1-0
LAVila Nova FC1-2
WHGrêmio Novorizontino1-0
Where to watch
Canal GoatDisney+RedeTV!
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Pantanal
City
Cuiabá
Kickoff
09 Aug, 21:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Cuiabá
3-3-1-3 · 4-2-3-1
Fortaleza
31
M. Carné
6.4
13
J. Basso
7.2
97
L. Otavio
7.0
↑ 84'
4
Vitor Mendes
7.0
27
R. Rodrigues
6.5
↑ 89'
30
Raul
7.2
36
Lorenzo
7.8
29
V. Peixoto
6.4
↑ 70'
41
K. Cristtyan
7.1
↑ 46'
96
P. Henrique
5.9
23
M. Júnior
6.5
↑ 84'
1
J. Ricardo
6.3
22
Maílton
7.2
23
Neris
6.9
3
L. Gazal
6.4
6
T. Cardona
6.6
↑ 65'
13
M. Lima
6.9
↑ 65'
5
Pierre
6.9
77
P. Baya
6.3
↑ 46'
37
Ryan
6.6
↑ 87'
29
R. Santos
6.4
↑ 46'
9
J. Miritello
5.7
Substitutes
1GJ. Carlos
2DIgor↓ 89'6.9
91DLuisão
6DMarlon
8MPepê↓ 70'6.7
5MC. Costa↓ 84'6.3
70MWesley
26MJ. Vitor
37MRailan
77FJ. Dias↓ 84'8.6
11FEliel↓ 46'6.9
39FG. Mansano
Coach: Eduardo Barros
Top stats
57%Possession43%
1.94Expected goals (xG)1.03
17Total shots5
3Shots on target1
5Big chances2
3Corners3
Shots
12Shots off target1
2Blocked shots3
11Shots inside box2
6Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
4Big chances missed1
-0.2Goals prevented-0.38
Attack
20Touches in box7
60Final third entries51
0Offsides2
10Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
475Passes381
414Accurate passes318
32/62 (52%)Long balls21/53 (40%)
16/39 (41%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
19Throw-ins14
Duels
61Duels39
30/52 (58%)Ground duels22/52 (42%)
21/32 (66%)Aerial duels11/32 (34%)
10/15 (67%)Dribbles4/8 (50%)
4Dispossessed6
Defending
10Tackles9
60Tackles won100
6Interceptions6
12Clearances35
35Recoveries42
Discipline
11Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
8Goal kicks12
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 32 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 65% · 1.46 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 83% · 1.15 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 58% · 1.68 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 32% · 2.90 @ Pinnacle
Who winsCuiabá to win (DNB) 58% · 1.87 @ Betano
1X2Fortaleza to win 28% · 3.20 @ Bwin
1X2Cuiabá to win 40% · 2.82 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.80 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 60% · 1.61 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.61
Cuiabá ▲
2.80
Draw ▼
2.83
Fortaleza ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.39
Cuiabá or Draw ▲
1.40
Cuiabá or Fortaleza ▲
1.43
Draw or Fortaleza ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.21
Yes ▼
1.60
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.13
Over 0.50 ▼
5.93
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.59
Over 1.50
2.35
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.78
Over 2.50 ▼
1.43
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.63
Over 3.50 ▲
1.14
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
12.53
Over 4.50 ▲
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.81
Cuiabá ▲
1.91
Fortaleza ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.80
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
6.07
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.90
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.68
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.02
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.12
Over 10.50
1.63
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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