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Mauricio Barbieri
Juventude
Fortaleza
Juventude
3-4-3 · 4-3-3
Fortaleza
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
43137 EUR · live
Home
6.0 · implied 16.7%
50.4%
+33.7 vs price
Draw
1.43 · implied 69.9%
26.0%
-44.0 vs price
Away
7.6 · implied 13.2%
23.7%
+10.5 vs price
Half time
1129 EUR · live
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
54.7%
-37.1 vs price
Away
11.5 · implied 8.7%
25.7%
+17.0 vs price
Home
10.0 · implied 10.0%
19.6%
+9.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
19240 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
79.8%
-19.2 vs price
Over
110.0 · implied 0.9%
20.6%
+19.6 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
29'
L. Mineiro · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
59'
🔁
Alan Kardec ◂ L. Amarilla
59'
🔁
L. M. Gonçalves ◂ L. Mineiro
62'
Titi · Foul
64'
🔁
P. Baya ◂ Nathan Fogaça
68'
🔁
G. Pires ◂ M. Paulo
69'
M. Paulo · Foul
73'
🔁
L. Alves ◂ A. Safira
73'
🔁
R. Ramos ◂ Aderlan
77'
Pierre · Foul
82'
🔁
Vitinho ◂ Pierre
82'
🔁
L. Crispim ◂ Welliton
Full-time · 0–0
90'+2
🔁
Neris ◂ M. Lima
Coaches
Mauricio BarbieriPaulo Autuori 
Recent form
JuventudeWAGrêmio Novorizontino1-0
LHAtlético Mineiro0-1
DAAtlético Mineiro0-0
WHAvaí1-0
LABotafogo-SP2-4
FortalezaDACuiabá1-1
WHPalmeiras3-2
LAPalmeiras0-3
WHBotafogo-SP1-0
LAVila Nova FC1-2
Where to watch
Canal GoatDisney+Xsports
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
City
Caxias do Sul
Kickoff
15 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
Juventude
3-4-3 · 4-3-3
Fortaleza
12
P. Rocha
6.9
34
R. Sam
7.8
3
Titi
6.8
29
G. Pires
6.6
↑ 68'
72
L. Alves
6.9
↑ 73'
75
Raí
7.3
5
L. M. Gonçalves
6.6
↑ 59'
16
D. Barbosa
6.9
25
A. Safira
8.1
9
Alan Kardec
6.4
↑ 59'
2
R. Ramos
7.0
↑ 73'
1
J. Ricardo
7.8
22
Maílton
7.2
3
L. Gazal
7.7
6
T. Cardona
7.0
23
Neris
↑ 90'
88
L. Sasha
6.8
10
L. Crispim
6.6
↑ 82'
29
R. Santos
7.2
11
Vitinho
6.5
↑ 82'
77
P. Baya
6.6
↑ 64'
75
Rodriguinho
6.2
Substitutes
21GR. Carneiro
13DAderlan↓ 73'7.9
97DGabriel
6DWadson
8ML. Mineiro↓ 59'6.6
30MPatryck
26MI. Ly
47FM. Paulo↓ 68'6.2
10FM. Paulo↓ 68'6.2
18FL. Amarilla↓ 59'6.0
17FM. Castro
11FF. Lima
Coach: Mauricio Barbieri
Substitutes
15GMagrão
25GVinicius
13DM. Lima↓ 90'5.9
33DK. Rocha
28DPaulinho
4DLuan Freitas
5MPierre↓ 82'6.9
31MWelliton↓ 82'6.4
37MRyan
17FNathan Fogaça↓ 64'6.7
19FL. Emanoel
Coach: Paulo Autuori
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.57Expected goals (xG)0.28
16Total shots7
4Shots on target2
2Big chances0
5Corners4
Shots
8Shots off target4
4Blocked shots1
9Shots inside box4
7Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances missed0
0.11Goals prevented0.55
Attack
20Touches in box12
49Final third entries45
1Offsides2
11Free kicks16
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
451Passes445
391Accurate passes380
32/52 (62%)Long balls18/42 (43%)
6/20 (30%)Crosses2/11 (18%)
18Throw-ins16
Duels
55Duels45
40/74 (54%)Ground duels34/74 (46%)
12/21 (57%)Aerial duels9/21 (43%)
12/17 (71%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
8Dispossessed11
Defending
18Tackles13
83Tackles won54
8Interceptions9
16Clearances13
48Recoveries47
Discipline
16Fouls11
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
2Big saves1
7Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 63% · 1.09 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.48 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 81% · 1.18 @ efbet.net
BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.75 @ betfair
1X2Draw 31% · 2.30 @ kto
Who winsJuventude to win (DNB) 61% · 1.63 @ merkurxtip
1X2Juventude to win 42% · 2.80 @ efbet.net
1X2Fortaleza to win 27% · 4.03 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ Bwin
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 62% · 1.61 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.14
Juventude
2.91
Draw
3.68
Fortaleza
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Juventude or Draw
1.38
Juventude or Fortaleza
1.66
Draw or Fortaleza
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.17
Yes
1.62
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.12
Over 0.50
6.43
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.50
Over 1.50
2.38
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.60
Over 2.50
1.42
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.16
Over 3.50
1.12
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
12.00
Over 4.50
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
Juventude
2.51
Fortaleza
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.50
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
9.30
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.32
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.90
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50 ▲
2.73
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.06
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50 ▲
1.64
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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