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Paulo Autuori
Fortaleza
São Bernardo
Fortaleza
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
São Bernardo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
83939 EUR · live
Home
2.88 · implied 34.7%
79.3%
+44.6 vs price
Away
6.2 · implied 16.1%
13.8%
-2.3 vs price
Draw
2.04 · implied 49.0%
6.9%
-42.1 vs price
Half time
6049 EUR · live
Home
28.0 · implied 3.6%
61.7%
+58.1 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
27.6%
-71.4 vs price
Away
100.0 · implied 1.0%
10.7%
+9.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
21235 EUR · live
Over
1.65 · implied 60.6%
61.5%
+0.9 vs price
Under
2.52 · implied 39.7%
38.5%
-1.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6823 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
94.4%
-3.7 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
5.6%
+3.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
32'
⚽
L. Sasha1–0
43'
⚽
Pedrinho · assist D. Miraíma1–1
Half-time · 1–1
59'
🔁
P. Vitor ◂ Hyoran
59'
🔁
Hugo ◂ Pará
63'
🔁
R. Santos ◂ Vitinho
64'
🔁
L. Lima ◂ D. Miraíma
64'
🔁
Luiz Fernando ◂ M. Lima
64'
🔁
L. Crispim ◂ P. Henrique
68'
Pierre · Foul
75'
🔁
Welliton ◂ J. Miritello
81'
🔁
Ryan ◂ Pierre
81'
🔁
L. Jabá ◂ F. Garcia
81'
🔁
D. Amorim ◂ Pedrinho
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Vinícius Bergantin 
Recent form
DAJuventude0-0
DACuiabá1-1
WHPalmeiras3-2
LAPalmeiras0-3
WHBotafogo-SP1-0
LHBotafogo-SP0-1
WAOperário-PR3-1
LHCeará3-4
LAAthletic Club1-2
DHAvaí1-1
Where to watch
Disney+ESPN 4SportyNetXsportsYouTube - SportyNet
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
City
Fortaleza
Kickoff
19 Aug, 22:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie B
Highlights & clips
1
J. Ricardo
6.5
22
Maílton
7.3
3
L. Gazal
6.7
6
T. Cardona
7.1
10
L. Crispim
6.7
↑ 64'
88
L. Sasha
7.4
37
Ryan
6.6
↑ 81'
75
Rodriguinho
7.1
29
R. Santos
7.2
↑ 63'
31
Welliton
7.0
↑ 75'
32
Luiz Fernando
6.2
↑ 64'
1
A. Alves
7.4
2
R. Ferreira
7.2
35
Jemerson
7.8
3
H. Maciel
6.6
21
Hugo
6.6
↑ 59'
8
Foguinho
6.9
14
L. Lima
6.5
↑ 64'
17
Romisson
7.0
11
P. Vitor
6.9
↑ 59'
98
L. Jabá
6.6
↑ 81'
89
D. Amorim
6.2
↑ 81'
Top stats
51%Possession49%
2.11Expected goals (xG)0.93
24Total shots14
5Shots on target5
4Big chances2
8Corners6
Shots
11Shots off target5
8Blocked shots4
15Shots inside box5
9Shots outside box9
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed2
-0.13Goals prevented0.51
Attack
24Touches in box17
77Final third entries36
2Offsides2
8Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
533Passes509
471Accurate passes445
24/45 (53%)Long balls39/57 (68%)
7/24 (29%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
16Throw-ins11
Duels
49Duels51
30/63 (48%)Ground duels33/63 (52%)
12/22 (55%)Aerial duels10/22 (45%)
6/9 (67%)Dribbles10/13 (77%)
12Dispossessed14
Defending
17Tackles15
59Tackles won53
8Interceptions8
15Clearances22
47Recoveries47
Discipline
9Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
0Big saves1
4Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 59 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 51%
Who winsFortaleza to win (DNB) 76% · 1.35 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72%
1X2Fortaleza to win 58% · 2.17 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.80 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.18 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.04 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ kto
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.44 @ betfair
1X2São Bernardo to win 16% · 5.66 @ granmadrid
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.65
Fortaleza ▲
3.46
Draw ▲
5.39
São Bernardo ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.14
Fortaleza or Draw ▲
1.28
Fortaleza or São Bernardo ▲
2.12
Draw or São Bernardo ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.05
Yes ▲
1.70
No ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50 ▲
2.93
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.13
Over 2.50 ▲
1.66
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.82
Over 3.50 ▲
1.23
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.47
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.22
Fortaleza ▲
3.96
São Bernardo ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.20
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
4.50
Over 13.50 ▲
1.16
Under 13.50 ▲
European Handicap 1.00consensus
1.13
Fortaleza +1 ▲
6.71
Draw +1 ▼
15.02
São Bernardo -1 ▼
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.82
E
1.91
Over ▲
Total Cards 6.50consensus
2.93
Over 6.50 ▼
1.34
Under 6.50
Red Card in Matchconsensus
2.87
Yes ▼
1.36
No ▲
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.23
Fortaleza ▲
2.11
Draw ▼
5.54
São Bernardo ▲
Double Chance (1st Half)consensus
1.12
Fortaleza or Draw ▲
1.61
Fortaleza or São Bernardo ▲
1.56
Draw or São Bernardo ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Fortaleza to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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