Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
🔁H. Itō ◂ M. Yoshida
14'
K. Hlynsson
33'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁W. Willumsson ◂ G. Thordarson
46'
🔁Y. Sugawara ◂ R. Doan
46'
🔁K. Ogawa ◂ A. Ueda
46'
🔁A. Seko ◂ W. Endo
46'
🔁Y. Nagatomo ◂ J. Ito
46'
🔁K. Shiogai ◂ K. Nakamura
72'
🔁A. Gunnarsson ◂ A. Baldursson
72'
🔁B. B. Andrésson ◂ B. Darri Willumsson
72'
🔁T. Watanabe ◂ K. Itakura
73'
🔁K. Goto ◂ A. Tanaka
73'
S. T. Þórðarson
75'
🔁T. Hayakawa ◂ Z. Suzuki
82'
🔁K. Sano ◂ T. Kubo
83'
🔁S. Taniguchi ◂ T. Tomiyasu
83'
🔁H. Hermannsson ◂ D. Grétarsson
85'
🔁Í. S. Þorvaldsson ◂ K. Hlynsson
87'
M. Ellertsson
87'
⚽K. Ogawa
assist Y. Sugawara
assist Y. Sugawara
87'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
🔁S. I. Sigurðarson ◂ H. Magnússon
90'+2
Coaches
Hajime MoriyasuArnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson 
Recent form
JapanWEngland0-1Japan
WScotland0-1Japan
WJapan6-0Indonesia
LAustralia1-0Japan
DJapan0-0Saudi Arabia
IcelandDHaiti1-1Iceland
DCanada2-2Iceland
LMexico4-0Iceland
LUkraine2-0Iceland
WAzerbaijan0-2Iceland
Match facts
Stadium
New National Stadium
City
Tokyo
Referee
Damian Kos
Kickoff
31 May, 10:25 UTC
Broadcasters
4
Japan
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1
Iceland
1
Z. Suzuki
6.6
15
T. Tomiyasu
6.9
22
M. Yoshida
7.0
4
K. Itakura
7.4
10
R. Doan
6.7
6
W. Endo
6.4
7
A. Tanaka
7.0
13
K. Nakamura
7.2
8
T. Kubo
6.8
14
J. Ito
6.7
18
A. Ueda
6.5
12
H. R. Valdimarsson
7.5
15
D. D. Þórhallsson
6.4
3
D. Grétarsson
7.2
23
H. Magnússon
7.1
2
L. Tómasson
6.5
16
S. T. Þórðarson
7.3
19
M. Ellertsson
6.2
18
G. Thordarson
6.5
14
A. Baldursson
7.0
20
K. Hlynsson
6.4
22
B. Darri Willumsson
6.5
Substitutes
21H. Itō7.020A. Seko7.05Y. Nagatomo6.62Y. Sugawara7.119K. Ogawa7.626K. Shiogai6.416T. Watanabe6.69K. Goto6.523T. Hayakawa6.63S. Taniguchi6.724K. Sano6.512O. Keisuke25J. Suzuki17Y. Suzuki11D. Maeda
Coach: Hajime Moriyasu
Substitutes
7W. Willumsson6.417A. Gunnarsson6.59B. B. Andrésson6.66H. Hermannsson6.210Í. S. Þorvaldsson6.711S. I. Sigurðarson13A. I. Benediktsson1Ö. Kristinsson4V. Fridriksson21A. Sampsted
Coach: Arnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson
55%Possession45%
15Total shots7
7Shots on target2
2Big chances0
5Corners1
11Fouls9
0Yellow cards2