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Seung-jin Joo
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Daejeon Hana Citizen
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Daejeon Hana Citizen
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-2 Daejeon Hana Citizen.
90+5'
Goal! Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-2 Daejeon Hana Citizen. G. Ludwigson (Daejeon Hana Citizen) scores.
90'
Attempt saved. Y. Jae-Seok (Gimcheon Sangmu FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.
83'
Attempt saved. R. Kyung-ho (Gimcheon Sangmu FC), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.
73'
Goal! Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1-1 Daejeon Hana Citizen. J. Jae-Min (Gimcheon Sangmu FC) scores, assisted by K. Min.
51'
Goal! Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-1 Daejeon Hana Citizen. Diogo Oliveira (Daejeon Hana Citizen) scores, assisted by K. Bong-Soo.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-0 Daejeon Hana Citizen.
37'
Attempt blocked. T. Park (Gimcheon Sangmu FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
33'
Attempt missed. T. Park (Gimcheon Sangmu FC), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
7'
Attempt blocked. A. Kryvotsiuk (Daejeon Hana Citizen), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.11.
7'
Attempt missed. W.S. Um (Daejeon Hana Citizen), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
1'
Kick-off: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
22780 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
57.5%
-39.6 vs price
Draw
55.0 · implied 1.8%
33.4%
+31.5 vs price
Home
170.0 · implied 0.6%
9.2%
+8.6 vs price
Half time
10 EUR
Home
4.7 · implied 21.3%
47.0%
+25.7 vs price
Draw
2.38 · implied 42.0%
46.5%
+4.5 vs price
Away
2.68 · implied 37.3%
35.1%
-2.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6298 EUR · live
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
58.8%
+49.7 vs price
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
41.2%
-49.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
89 EUR
Over
8.2 · implied 12.2%
77.5%
+65.3 vs price
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
22.6%
-65.2 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
7'
I. Kim · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
G. Ludwigson ◂ M. K. Ju
46'
🔁
Diogo Oliveira ◂ J. B. Kim
46'
🔁
J. Jae-Min ◂ M. Kang
51'
⚽
Diogo Oliveira · assist K. Bong-Soo0–1
54'
🔁
R. Kyung-ho ◂ L. Sangheon
64'
🔁
M. D. Kim ◂ L. Jung-Taek
73'
⚽
J. Jae-Min · assist K. Min1–1
74'
🔁
S. Lee ◂ Diogo Oliveira
78'
🔁
Y. Jae-Seok ◂ I. Kim
80'
M. Kim · Foul
83'
🔁
H. Lee ◂ Y. Kang
Full-time · 1–2
90'+1
🔁
K. Ju-Hyeok ◂ Y. Hong
90'+1
Y. Jae-Seok · Foul
90'+2
🔁
J. Kim ◂ K. Min
90'+5
⚽
G. Ludwigson1–2
Coaches
Seung-jin JooSun-hong Hwang 
Recent form
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDAFC Seoul2-2
LHFC Anyang0-1
WABucheon FC 19952-0
DHGangwon FC2-2
DAPohang Steelers0-0
Daejeon Hana CitizenWHGwangju FC3-2
WHJeonbuk Hyundai Motors2-1
DAIncheon United1-1
DHPohang Steelers2-2
WHFC Anyang3-2
About this match
**Daejeon rolls in hot, but Gimcheon's home fortress is no joke.** The visitors are on a 3W-2D tear while the hosts have been grinding out draws — this one's got upset potential written all over it. 🔥
Gimcheon sit mid-table form-wise (1W-3D-1L in the last five), but they've got the home crowd at Gimcheon Stadium. Daejeon, meanwhile, haven't dropped a match in their last five and look properly dangerous right now.
Key storylines:
- **Daejeon's attack vs Gimcheon's defense**: Diogo Oliveira and crew have been clinical; can **P. Man-Ho** and the backline hold up?
- **Gimcheon's home resilience**: The 4-4-2 setup leans direct, but draws have been the pattern — don't expect a classic.
- **H2H trends**: In 23 meetings, Daejeon lead 10-4 with 9 draws — they own this fixture, but margins are tight.
Expected lineups:
- **Gimcheon Sangmu FC**: P. Man-Ho, Y. Hong, L. Kang-Hyeon, B. Jun-Soo, S. H. Hong, I. Kim, T. Park, D. Lim
- **Daejeon Hana Citizen**: L. Chang-geun, M. J. Lee, C. Ha, A. Kryvotsiuk, Y. Kang, S. Lee, V. Bobsin, Diogo Oliveira
Prediction:
**1-2 Daejeon** — They've got the momentum and the head-to-head edge, but Gimcheon won't roll over at home. Lean Daejeon, but respect the draw odds.
Match facts
Stadium
Gimcheon Stadium
City
Gimcheon
Kickoff
24 Oct, 05:00 UTC
Competition
K League 1
Highlights & clips
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Daejeon Hana Citizen
51
J. Ahn
62
J. Kim
↑ 90'
45
B. Jun-Soo
5
M. K. Kim
33
P. Jin-Seong
50
K. Ju-Hyeok
↑ 90'
55
T. Park
56
L. Kang-Hyeon
54
Y. Jae-Seok
↑ 78'
53
R. Kyung-ho
↑ 54'
57
J. Jae-Min
↑ 46'
1
L. Chang-geun
33
M. Kim
3
M. D. Kim
↑ 64'
98
A. Kryvotsiuk
16
M. J. Lee
30
K. Bong-Soo
20
H. Lee
↑ 83'
11
W.S. Um
17
G. Ludwigson
↑ 46'
19
J. S. Seo
9
Diogo Oliveira
↑ 46'
Substitutes
41GP. Man-Ho
44DM. S. Park
65DL. Sang-hyeok
46DM. Chung
2MK. Min↓ 90'
49FM. Kang↓ 46'
47FL. Sangheon↓ 54'
21FI. Kim↓ 78'
48FY. Hong↓ 90'
Coach: Seung-jin Joo
Substitutes
31GK. Min-Soo
26DL. Jung-Taek↓ 64'
6DY. Kang↓ 83'
13DJ. Y. Kim
14MJ. B. Kim↓ 46'
44MS. Lee↑ 74'
27MJ. Jeong
41MB. Park
10FM. K. Ju↓ 46'
Coach: Sun-hong Hwang
Top stats
53%Possession47%
1.43Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.2
16Total shots10
6Shots on target5
1Big chances1
6Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box6
10Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
Attack
11Touches in box14
59Final third entries45
2Offsides2
7Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
471Passes412
395Accurate passes326
45/73 (62%)Long balls16/53 (30%)
5/14 (36%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
13Throw-ins14
Duels
53Duels47
18/37 (49%)Ground duels19/37 (51%)
19/33 (58%)Aerial duels14/33 (42%)
4/9 (44%)Dribbles1/4 (25%)
6Dispossessed4
Defending
7Tackles11
57Tackles won100
12Interceptions9
21Clearances12
42Recoveries40
Discipline
7Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
8Goal kicks7
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
1X2Daejeon Hana to win 47% · 2.30 @ 1xBet
Who winsDaejeon Hana to win (DNB) 55% · 1.45 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.54 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.05 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.67 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.82 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.40 @ Pinnacle
1X2Gimcheon to win 27% · 3.74 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.60
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
3.40
Draw
1.94
Daejeon Hana Citizen
Double Chanceconsensus
1.80
Gimcheon Sangmu FC or Draw
1.25
Gimcheon Sangmu FC or Daejeon Hana Citizen
1.25
Draw or Daejeon Hana Citizen
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.67
Yes
2.10
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.95
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.78
Over 2.50
1.96
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.00
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.58
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.62
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1.43
Daejeon Hana Citizen
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.35
Over 7.50
2.79
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.64
Over 8.50
2.17
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.04
Over 9.50
1.74
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.65
Over 10.50
1.42
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.88
Over 11.50
1.17
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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