Shenzhen Peng City vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC — preview

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Chinese Super League ·Sun 02 Aug

Shenzhen Peng City

12:00UTC

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Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Shenzhen Stadium, Shenzhen

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Shenzhen 43%

28%

Tongliang Long 29%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.88 @ Betway

1X2Draw 28% · 3.40 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.55 @ Betway

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.90 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.75 @ Interwetten

Who winsShenzhen to win (DNB) 60% · 1.56 @ Betsson

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.35 @ Bet365

1X2Shenzhen to win 43% · 2.20 @ Interwetten

1X2Tongliang Long to win 29% · 3.40 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.54 @ Unibet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.14

Shenzhen Peng City

3.30

Draw

3.25

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.32

Shenzhen Peng City or Draw

1.30

Shenzhen Peng City or Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

1.66

Draw or Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.71

Yes

2.00

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

8.83

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.28

Over 1.50

3.55

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.88

Over 2.50

1.86

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.10

Over 3.50

1.35

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.25

Over 4.50

1.12

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.55

Shenzhen Peng City

2.32

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.54

Over 8.50 ▼

2.30

Under 8.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.83

Over 9.50 ▼

1.85

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.30

Over 10.50

1.54

Under 10.50

Corners 1X2consensus

1.92

Shenzhen Peng City ▼

7.50

Draw ▲

2.22

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Odd / Even Goalsconsensus

1.89

Odd

1.83

Even

Team Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.22

Over 0.50

3.85

Under 0.50

Team Total Goals 1.50consensus

2.09

Over 1.50

1.67

Under 1.50

Full odds via API →

1.3 – 1.2Expected goals

1-1Most likely score

~10Expected corners

Bets worth taking in this match

Bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.31

we give it 72 chances out of 100 at a fair price

72%

likely

Every market recommended rows highlighted

Our call	How likely	Bookmakers say	Their odds	Price check	Confidence
Over 9.5 cornersCorners	50%	50%	1.83	Overpriced	low
Draw1X2	28%	28%	3.3	Overpriced	low
Over 8.5 cornersCorners	60%	60%	1.54	Overpriced	low
Under 2.5 goalsGoals	51%	51%	1.85	Fair	low
Both teams to scoreBTTS	54%	54%	1.71	Overpriced	low
Shenzhen to win (DNB)Who wins	60%	60%	1.55	Overpriced	low
Under 3.5 goalsGoals	72%	71%	1.31	Fair	high
Shenzhen to win1X2	43%	43%	2.14	Overpriced	low
Tongliang Long to win1X2	29%	29%	3.25	Overpriced	low
Over 1.5 goalsGoals	72%	73%	1.28	Overpriced	high
Under 10.5 cornersCorners	60%	60%	1.54	Overpriced	low

Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Tongliang Long to win (DNB) — we say 51%, they say 40%.

Probability vs league average

Market	This match	League avg	Diff	More likely?
Over 1.5 goals	72%	79%	-7%	No
Over 2.5 goals	49%	58%	-9%	No
Over 3.5 goals	28%	37%	-9%	No
Both teams to score	54%	60%	-6%	No
Home win	43%	46%	-3%	No
Draw	28%	25%	+3%	Yes
Away win	29%	29%	0%	No

How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.

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