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Shandong Taishan
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Shandong Taishan
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Shandong Taishan
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Shandong Taishan
Shandong Taishan
Shandong Taishan
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Jianye Liu
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Shandong Taishan
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
5-4-1 · 3-4-3
Shandong Taishan
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1-1 Shandong Taishan.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
90'
Attempt missed. D. Yuezheng (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.
79'
Shandong Taishan
Corner, Shandong Taishan.
78'
Attempt saved. Z. Zhang (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.
72'
Goal! Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1-1 Shandong Taishan. V. Qazaishvili (Shandong Taishan) scores, assisted by M. Mijiti.
68'
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Corner, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC.
65'
Attempt missed. C. Chunxin (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
64'
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Corner, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC.
62'
Attempt blocked. X. Wenneng (Shandong Taishan), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
61'
Shandong Taishan
Corner, Shandong Taishan.
61'
Attempt blocked. V. Qazaishvili (Shandong Taishan), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.
59'
Attempt blocked. Z. Yingkai (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
58'
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Corner, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC.
58'
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Corner, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC.
57'
Shandong Taishan
Offside, Shandong Taishan.
53'
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Offside, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC.
46'
Shandong Taishan
Corner, Shandong Taishan.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1-0 Shandong Taishan.
45'
7 minutes of added time.
44'
Shandong Taishan
Corner, Shandong Taishan.
34'
Attempt blocked. G. Madruga (Shandong Taishan), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.
33'
Shandong Taishan
Corner, Shandong Taishan.
25'
Goal! Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1-0 Shandong Taishan. Z. Zhang (Chongqing Tonglianglong FC) scores, assisted by A. G. Cîmpanu.
23'
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Corner, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC.
7'
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Corner, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC.
1'
Kick-off: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs Shandong Taishan.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
33225 EUR · live
Home
14.0 · implied 7.1%
58.8%
+51.7 vs price
Draw
1.21 · implied 82.6%
27.8%
-54.9 vs price
Away
10.0 · implied 10.0%
13.4%
+3.4 vs price
Half time
486 EUR · live
Home
1.13 · implied 88.5%
69.5%
-19.0 vs price
Draw
8.0 · implied 12.5%
28.6%
+16.1 vs price
Away
38.0 · implied 2.6%
1.6%
-1.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
50320 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
72.0%
-18.9 vs price
Over
11.5 · implied 8.7%
28.0%
+19.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
588 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.3%
-6.7 vs price
Over
42.0 · implied 2.4%
7.5%
+5.1 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
25'
⚽
Z. Zhang · assist A. G. Cîmpanu1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
Z. Huang ◂ I. Memet
46'
🔁
R. Merkies ◂ Y. Liu
57'
🔁
C. Chunxin ◂ W. Liang
57'
🔁
M. Liu ◂ W. Suowei
57'
VAR
Goal not given after review · V. Qazaishvili
66'
P. Álvaro · Off the ball foul
70'
🔁
S. Songchen ◂ C. Pu
72'
⚽
V. Qazaishvili · assist M. Mijiti1–1
77'
Z. Gao · Foul
78'
🔁
L. Junwei ◂ Z. Gao
82'
🔁
D. Yuezheng ◂ N. Dimata
82'
🔁
Y. Wu ◂ A. G. Cîmpanu
85'
🔁
Z. Chen ◂ X. Wenneng
Full-time · 1–1
90'+2
D. Yuezheng · Foul
Coaches
Jianye LiuTian Tang 
Recent form
Chongqing Tonglianglong FCLHShanghai Shenhua1-3
DAHenan FC1-1
LHDalian Yingbo FC0-1
DAQingdao West Coast0-0
LHShanghai Port2-3
Shandong TaishanDHShenzhen Peng City1-1
WAShanghai Shenhua3-2
LAQingdao West Coast0-2
WHQingdao Hainiu3-1
WHTianjin Jinmen Tiger2-1
About this match
**Shandong Taishan rolls in hot while Chongqing's struggling to string wins together — this feels like a classic David vs. Goliath mismatch.** 🔥
Chongqing's been a mess: winless in five with three losses, including a 3-1 drubbing at home to Shanghai Shenhua. Shandong, meanwhile, are purring — three wins in their last five and a 3-2 road victory over Shanghai shows they can hurt anyone.
Key storylines:
- **Shandong's attacking prowess** has been relentless; **Cryzan** and **Zeca** will be a real problem for a leaky Chongqing defense
- **Chongqing need a spark** after conceding freely; **N. Dimata** and **Q. Ruan** have to offer more creativity up front
- Form gap is massive — visitors have won three of their last five, hosts have won zero
Expected lineups:
- **Chongqing Tonglianglong FC**: Y. Haoyang, Lucão, M. Ngadeu, Y. Ruijie, M. Liu, A. G. Cîmpanu, I. Amadou, Z. Zhang, Z. Li, Q. Ruan, N. Dimata
- **Shandong Taishan**: Y. Jinyong, Y. Liu, Z. Gao, P. Álvaro, T. Wang, V. Qazaishvili, G. Madruga, Z. Huang, X. Wenneng, Cryzan, Zeca
Prediction:
**Shandong Taishan 2–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC** — Shandong's momentum and attacking depth are too much for a fragile host side. Clear win for the visitors.
Match facts
Stadium
Longxing Football Stadium
City
Chongqing
Kickoff
11 Oct, 11:35 UTC
Competition
Chinese Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
5-4-1 · 3-4-3
Shandong Taishan
1
Y. Haoyang
6.8
24
M. Liu
6.3
↑ 57'
6
P. Jin
6.6
33
Lucão
7.4
3
Z. Yingkai
6.6
26
X. He
6.3
27
Y. Wu
6.6
↑ 82'
10
I. Amadou
6.7
16
Z. Zhang
7.6
15
C. Chunxin
6.3
↑ 57'
19
D. Yuezheng
6.4
↑ 82'
14
D. Wang
6.1
3
P. Xiao
6.7
23
P. Álvaro
6.6
41
L. Junwei
6.7
↑ 78'
37
Z. Chen
6.5
↑ 85'
35
Z. Huang
6.9
↑ 46'
8
G. Madruga
7.3
17
R. Merkies
6.1
↑ 46'
28
M. Mijiti
7.1
10
V. Qazaishvili
7.8
15
S. Songchen
6.9
↑ 70'
Substitutes
31GZ. Wu
25GY. Yeerjieti
37DW. Suowei↓ 57'6.5
18MW. Liang↓ 57'6.8
9MA. G. Cîmpanu↓ 82'6.8
21MJ. Liu
11FN. Dimata↓ 82'7.0
17FY. Ng
7FY. Xiang
Coach: Jianye Liu
Substitutes
1GY. Jinyong
36GQ. Liu
32GQ. Sun
11DY. Liu↓ 46'6.8
33DZ. Gao↓ 78'6.7
5DZ. Zheng
38MI. Memet↓ 46'6.9
29MC. Pu↓ 70'6.6
7MX. Wenneng↓ 85'6.6
34MY. Jiaxi
22MY. Li
Coach: Tian Tang
Top stats
41%Possession59%
0.09Expected goals (xG)0.72
5Total shots16
2Shots on target5
1Big chances1
6Corners5
Shots
2Shots off target7
1Blocked shots4
3Shots inside box9
2Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
10Touches in box23
36Final third entries77
1Offsides1
17Free kicks14
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
366Passes543
295Accurate passes463
20/49 (41%)Long balls27/58 (47%)
1/19 (5%)Crosses8/25 (32%)
20Throw-ins18
Duels
49Duels51
34/65 (52%)Ground duels31/65 (48%)
16/37 (43%)Aerial duels21/37 (57%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles2/10 (20%)
8Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles16
62Tackles won44
10Interceptions11
36Clearances24
41Recoveries54
Discipline
14Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks5
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsTaishan to win (DNB) 60% · 1.91 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365
1X2Taishan to win 36% · 2.90 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 3.84 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
1X2Tongliang Long to win 37% · 2.75 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.45
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
3.42
Draw
2.58
Shandong Taishan
Double Chanceconsensus
1.45
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC or Draw
1.27
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC or Shandong Taishan
1.50
Draw or Shandong Taishan
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.63
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.69
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.70
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.80
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
1.90
Shandong Taishan
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
2.96
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.63
Over 8.50
2.17
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.01
Over 9.50
1.73
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.59
Over 10.50
1.41
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.59
Over 11.50
1.20
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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