Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua: Stats & xG

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Chinese Super League ·Sun 18 Oct

Wuhan Three Towns

1–3

HT 0–1

Full time

Shanghai Shenhua

Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, Wuhan · Ref: Muhammad Taqi

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua.

90+5'

J. Cádiz

Attempt missed. J. Cádiz (Wuhan Three Towns), header from a corner. xG 0.13.

90+4'

Wuhan Three Towns

Corner, Wuhan Three Towns.

90+4'

J. Cádiz

Attempt missed. J. Cádiz (Wuhan Three Towns), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

90+4'

Wuhan Three Towns

Offside, Wuhan Three Towns.

90+1'

H. Jiawen

Goal! Wuhan Three Towns 1-3 Shanghai Shenhua. H. Jiawen (Shanghai Shenhua) scores, assisted by W. Xi.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

89'

Shanghai Shenhua

Corner, Shanghai Shenhua.

88'

X. Haofeng

Yellow card for X. Haofeng (Wuhan Three Towns) for foul.

87'

Wuhan Three Towns

Corner, Wuhan Three Towns.

87'

A. Firmino

Attempt saved. A. Firmino (Wuhan Three Towns), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

87'

L. Asué

Substitution, Shanghai Shenhua: H. Jiawen comes on for L. Asué.

86'

X. Zhang

Substitution, Wuhan Three Towns: Z. Haoqian comes on for X. Zhang.

86'

J. Teixeira

Substitution, Shanghai Shenhua: S. Jiang comes on for J. Teixeira.

82'

X. Jizheng

Attempt saved. X. Jizheng (Wuhan Three Towns), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

79'

C. Zhu

Attempt saved. C. Zhu (Shanghai Shenhua), header from a corner. xG 0.25.

79'

S. Jin

Attempt blocked. S. Jin (Shanghai Shenhua), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.62.

79'

R. Ratão

Attempt missed. R. Ratão (Shanghai Shenhua), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.76.

78'

Shanghai Shenhua

Corner, Shanghai Shenhua.

77'

L. Asué

Attempt missed. L. Asué (Shanghai Shenhua), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

76'

R. Ratão

Off the woodwork! R. Ratão (Shanghai Shenhua), header. xG 0.17.

76'

Gustavo Sauer

Substitution, Wuhan Three Towns: B. Liu comes on for Gustavo Sauer.

76'

G. Tianyi

Substitution, Shanghai Shenhua: H. Wang comes on for G. Tianyi.

75'

A. Li

Attempt blocked. A. Li (Wuhan Three Towns), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

74'

Wuhan Three Towns

Corner, Wuhan Three Towns.

74'

A. Firmino

Attempt blocked. A. Firmino (Wuhan Three Towns), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

70'

S. Li

Substitution, Wuhan Three Towns: X. Jizheng comes on for S. Li.

67'

R. Ratão

Goal! Wuhan Three Towns 1-2 Shanghai Shenhua. R. Ratão (Shanghai Shenhua) converts the penalty.

67'

X. Pengfei

Substitution, Shanghai Shenhua: X. Haoyang comes on for X. Pengfei.

67'

Y. Zexiang

Substitution, Shanghai Shenhua: S. Chan comes on for Y. Zexiang.

64'

J. Teixeira

VAR: no penalty for Shanghai Shenhua.

63'

J. Teixeira

Attempt blocked. J. Teixeira (Shanghai Shenhua), right-footed shot. xG 0.31.

62'

J. Cádiz

Goal! Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Shanghai Shenhua. J. Cádiz (Wuhan Three Towns) scores, assisted by A. Leautey.

61'

J. Cádiz

Attempt missed. J. Cádiz (Wuhan Three Towns), header. xG 0.18.

60'

S. Li

Yellow card for S. Li (Wuhan Three Towns) for foul.

54'

J. Teixeira

Attempt missed. J. Teixeira (Shanghai Shenhua), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

51'

A. Leautey

Attempt saved. A. Leautey (Wuhan Three Towns), header. xG 0.06.

48'

R. Ratão

Attempt saved. R. Ratão (Shanghai Shenhua), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

48'

Shanghai Shenhua

Corner, Shanghai Shenhua.

46'

J. Wang

Substitution, Wuhan Three Towns: A. Leautey comes on for J. Wang.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua.

45+1'

C. Zhu

Yellow card for C. Zhu (Shanghai Shenhua) for foul.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

43'

L. Asué

Yellow card for L. Asué (Shanghai Shenhua) for foul.

37'

Shanghai Shenhua

Corner, Shanghai Shenhua.

34'

C. Zhu

Attempt missed. C. Zhu (Shanghai Shenhua), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

33'

A. Li

Attempt missed. A. Li (Wuhan Three Towns), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

33'

G. Tianyi

Attempt blocked. G. Tianyi (Shanghai Shenhua), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

21'

S. Li

Attempt saved. S. Li (Wuhan Three Towns), header. xG 0.12.

21'

L. Asué

Attempt missed. L. Asué (Shanghai Shenhua), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.28.

18'

Wuhan Three Towns

Offside, Wuhan Three Towns.

16'

J. Cádiz

Attempt saved. J. Cádiz (Wuhan Three Towns), left-footed shot. xG 0.47.

12'

J. Cádiz

Attempt saved. J. Cádiz (Wuhan Three Towns), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

11'

Wuhan Three Towns

Corner, Wuhan Three Towns.

11'

K. Bevis

Attempt saved. K. Bevis (Wuhan Three Towns), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

L. Asué

Goal! Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua. L. Asué (Shanghai Shenhua) scores.

Kick-off: Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua.

Where the money is

294479 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 124355 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

88.3%

-10.7 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.1%

+6.0 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.6%

+5.5 vs price

Half time 1256 EUR · live

Away 1.29 · implied 77.5%

84.9%

+7.3 vs price

Home 18.5 · implied 5.4%

12.3%

+6.9 vs price

Draw 5.2 · implied 19.2%

2.8%

-16.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 22442 EUR · live

Over 1.36 · implied 73.5%

54.4%

-19.1 vs price

Under 3.45 · implied 29.0%

45.6%

+16.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1825 EUR · live

Under 1.25 · implied 80.0%

66.5%

-13.5 vs price

Over 5.1 · implied 19.6%

33.4%

+13.8 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Player of the match

Match events

2' ⚽ L. Asué0–1

43' L. Asué · Foul

Half-time · 0–1

45'⁺¹ C. Zhu · Foul

46' 🔁 A. Leautey ◂ J. Wang

60' S. Li · Foul

62' ⚽ J. Cádiz · assist A. Leautey1–1

64' VAR Penalty check · J. Teixeira

67' ⚽ R. Ratão (pen)1–2

67' 🔁 S. Chan ◂ Y. Zexiang

67' 🔁 X. Haoyang ◂ X. Pengfei

70' 🔁 X. Jizheng ◂ S. Li

76' 🔁 H. Wang ◂ G. Tianyi

76' 🔁 B. Liu ◂ Gustavo Sauer

86' 🔁 S. Jiang ◂ J. Teixeira

86' 🔁 Z. Haoqian ◂ X. Zhang

87' 🔁 H. Jiawen ◂ L. Asué

88' X. Haofeng · Foul

Full-time · 1–3

90'⁺¹ ⚽ H. Jiawen · assist W. Xi1–3

Coaches

Manuel Jesus Cano Martin

Vladan Milojević

Recent form

Wuhan Three Towns

DALiaoning Tieren FC1-1

LAZhejiang1-4

DHHenan FC1-1

DHQingdao West Coast2-2

WAQingdao Hainiu5-1

Shanghai Shenhua

WHYunnan Yukun7-1

DHZenit St. Petersburg0-0

WAChongqing Tonglianglong FC3-1

LHShandong Taishan2-3

WAChengdu Rongcheng5-4

About this match

**Shanghai Shenhua are on a tear, and Wuhan Three Towns have turned into draw merchants** — this feels like a classic form vs. inconsistency clash. 🔥

Shenhua's landed three wins in their last five and just demolished Yunnan 7-1 at home. Wuhan, meanwhile, are stuck in neutral with one win and three draws across the same stretch — they need a spark badly.

Key storylines:

- **R. Ratão** and **J. Teixeira** are firing for Shenhua; Wuhan's **Gustavo Sauer** and **J. Cádiz** have to tighten up defensively
- Shanghai's H2H edge (4 wins to Wuhan's 2 in nine meetings) hints at a talent gap that recent form is widening
- Home comforts matter, but Wuhan's draw-heavy stretch suggests they're vulnerable to a team with Shenhua's current momentum

Expected lineups:

- **Wuhan Three Towns**: J. Fang, M. Tian, A. Li, G. He, X. Haofeng, K. Bevis, A. Firmino, X. Zhang
- **Shanghai Shenhua**: X. Qinghao, S. Chan, C. Zhu, S. Li, W. Manafá, G. Tianyi, W. Xi, H. Wang

Prediction:

**Shenhua 2–1 Wuhan** — they have the form and the firepower. Slight favorite. ⚽

Match facts

Stadium

Wuhan Sports Center Stadium

City

Wuhan

Referee

Muhammad Taqi

4.50 yellows/match · 10 matches

Kickoff

18 Oct, 10:00 UTC

Competition

Chinese Super League

Top stats

47%Possession53%

2.22Expected goals (xG)4.18

14Total shots14

8Shots on target5

3Big chances6

5Corners3

Shots

4Shots off target6

2Blocked shots3

11Shots inside box11

3Shots outside box3

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed5

Attack

23Touches in box28

97Final third entries54

2Offsides1

15Free kicks8

5Fouled in final third2

Passing

495Passes576

426Accurate passes521

34/59 (58%)Long balls28/49 (57%)

7/23 (30%)Crosses5/12 (42%)

16Throw-ins11

Duels

48Duels52

31/61 (51%)Ground duels30/61 (49%)

7/19 (37%)Aerial duels12/19 (63%)

9/19 (47%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)

7Dispossessed3

Defending

9Tackles17

56Tackles won82

10Interceptions4

12Clearances32

49Recoveries54

Discipline

9Fouls15

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves7

1Big saves1

7Goal kicks6

0Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Three Towns 35%

23%

Shenhua 42%

Who winsShenhua to win (DNB) 63% · 1.63 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 71% · 2.62 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 70% · 2.20 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.51 @ 1xBet

1X2Shenhua to win 42% · 2.43 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 23% · 2.94 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle

1X2Three Towns to win 35% · 2.90 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 51% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.62

Wuhan Three Towns

3.92

Draw

2.20

Shanghai Shenhua

Double Chanceconsensus

1.62

Wuhan Three Towns or Draw

1.22

Wuhan Three Towns or Shanghai Shenhua

1.42

Draw or Shanghai Shenhua

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.33

Yes

3.10

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

25.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.06

Over 1.50

7.17

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.33

Over 2.50

3.23

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.84

Over 3.50

1.94

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.90

Over 4.50

1.36

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.30

Wuhan Three Towns

1.55

Shanghai Shenhua

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.15

Over 7.50

4.12

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.40

Over 8.50

2.70

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.67

Over 9.50

2.10

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.06

Over 10.50

1.71

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.52

Over 11.50

1.46

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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