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Neill Collins
Sacramento Republic FC
SC Jacksonville
Sacramento Republic FC
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
SC Jacksonville
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
T. Wolff · assist P. Casas1–0
14'
H. Neville · Foul
25'
E. Jääskeläinen · Argument
29'
V. Alvarado · Foul
38'
⚽
J. Timmer · assist M. Rodríguez2–0
40'
⚽
T. Wolff · assist M. Rodríguez3–0
43'
⚽
L. Desmond · assist M. Rodríguez4–0
Half-time · 4–0
47'
L. Desmond · Foul
61'
🔁
A. Gomez ◂ V. Alvarado
65'
🔁
D. Crisostomo ◂ M. Kaye
65'
🔁
T. Leibold ◂ J. Gurr
66'
🔁
K. Edwards ◂ M. Rodríguez
69'
⚽
T. Wolff5–0
72'
🔁
A. Midence ◂ M. Malango
76'
🔁
J. Evans ◂ R. Pedder
76'
🔁
E. Rito ◂ T. Rose
77'
🔁
J. Mota ◂ K. Sadlier
81'
🔁
A. Rodriguez ◂ B. Willey
85'
J. Rossiter · Foul
Full-time · 5–0
Coaches
Liam Fox 
Recent form
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DACharleston Battery1-1
WHRhode Island FC2-1
LHNew Mexico United0-1
WAColorado Springs Switchbacks FC1-0
LAEl Paso Locomotive FC0-2
DHBrooklyn FC2-2
WHPittsburgh Riverhounds2-1
LAAustin FC0-4
DALoudoun United FC2-2
Where to watch
BetanoDisney+
Match facts
Stadium
Papa Murphy's Park
City
Sacramento
Kickoff
02 Aug, 03:00 UTC
Competition
USL Championship
Highlights & clips
1
D. Vitiello
6.8
21
T. Leibold
6.7
↑ 65'
55
C. Ukaegbu
7.7
5
J. Timmer
7.9
4
L. Desmond
8.3
24
P. Casas
8.4
27
D. Crisostomo
6.8
↑ 65'
10
A. Rodriguez
6.6
↑ 81'
71
K. Edwards
6.3
↑ 66'
19
A. Midence
6.7
↑ 72'
16
T. Wolff
10.0
1
J. McGuire
6.4
18
W. Ackwei
5.0
22
A. Gomez
7.1
↑ 61'
27
D. Wilson
5.9
2
H. Neville
6.3
44
R. Somersall
5.9
6
J. Rossiter
5.7
12
E. Rito
6.7
↑ 76'
7
J. Evans
6.7
↑ 76'
16
E. Jääskeläinen
6.8
14
J. Mota
6.5
↑ 77'
Substitutes
31GJ. Randolph
2DJ. Gurr↓ 65'7.0
6DF. Kleemann
8MM. Rodríguez↓ 66'9.0
18MM. Kaye↓ 65'7.4
20MB. Willey↓ 81'6.4
7FM. Malango↓ 72'7.1
11FF. Ajago
43R. Paskey
Coach: Neill Collins
Substitutes
42GJ. Casas
3DT. Rose↓ 76'6.1
13DV. Alvarado↓ 61'5.5
4DE. Dudley
19MR. Pedder↓ 76'6.0
26ML. Granitur
10FK. Sadlier↓ 77'6.3
Coach: Liam Fox
Top stats
65%Possession35%
2.87Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.08
16Total shots1
10Shots on target1
6Big chances1
5Corners0
Shots
1Shots off target0
5Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box1
4Shots outside box0
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
Attack
28Touches in box4
63Final third entries31
5Offsides3
11Free kicks10
6Fouled in final third1
Passing
653Passes339
585Accurate passes262
24/42 (57%)Long balls13/42 (31%)
5/10 (50%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
11Throw-ins11
Duels
52Duels48
28/54 (52%)Ground duels26/54 (48%)
12/23 (52%)Aerial duels11/23 (48%)
8/15 (53%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)
6Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles13
89Tackles won62
5Interceptions7
16Clearances11
48Recoveries43
Discipline
10Fouls11
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
0Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD engine
Who winsSacramento Republic to win (DNB) 87%
1X2Sacramento Republic to win 71%
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82%
BTTSBoth teams to score 54%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54%
1X2Draw 18%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62%
1X2SC Jacksonville to win 11%
2.3 – 0.9Expected goals
2-0Most likely score
~9Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Republic to win (DNB)Who wins | 87% | — | — | — | high |
| Sacramento Republic to win1X2 | 71% | — | — | — | high |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 61% | — | — | — | medium |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 82% | — | — | — | high |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 54% | — | — | — | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 57% | — | — | — | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 66% | — | — | — | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 54% | — | — | — | low |
| Draw1X2 | 18% | — | — | — | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 62% | — | — | — | medium |
| SC Jacksonville to win1X2 | 11% | — | — | — | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 74% | +8% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 50% | +11% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 32% | +6% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 55% | -1% | No |
| Home win | 71% | 44% | +27% | Yes |
| Draw | 18% | 29% | -11% | No |
| Away win | 11% | 27% | -16% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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