Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño — live & stats

Where the money is

2664326 EUR matched · captured 4 days, 9 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1482532 EUR · live

Home 16.0 · implied 6.2%

87.7%

+81.5 vs price

Draw 1.1 · implied 90.9%

8.6%

-82.3 vs price

Away 36.0 · implied 2.8%

3.7%

+0.9 vs price

Half time 14616 EUR · live

Home 2.4 · implied 41.7%

88.1%

+46.4 vs price

Draw 1.96 · implied 51.0%

7.6%

-43.5 vs price

Away 19.0 · implied 5.3%

4.4%

-0.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 200271 EUR · live

Under 1.09 · implied 91.7%

85.8%

-6.0 vs price

Over 12.0 · implied 8.3%

14.2%

+5.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 11337 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

92.6%

-4.5 vs price

Over 36.0 · implied 2.8%

7.4%

+4.7 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

40' F. Domínguez · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

49' M. Chaparro · Foul

53' 🔁 J. Torres ◂ C. Domínguez

57' A. Cañete · Foul

62' 🔁 M. Klimowicz ◂ A. Gamarra

62' 🔁 G. Benitez ◂ M. Chaparro

68' 🔁 A. Gabriel ◂ E. Martínez

73' A. Pereira · Violent conduct

73' VAR Goal not given after review · G. Benitez

80' 🔁 F. Anderson ◂ Allan

80' 🔁 L. Evangelista ◂ V. Roque

80' 🔁 R. Sosa ◂ J. Arias

82' ⚽ J. López · assist M. Freitas1–0

86' J. Morel · Argument

87' 🔁 G. Gómez ◂ J. López

89' 🔁 I. Aliseda ◂ F. Domínguez

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺³ ⚽ C. Miguel1–1

90'⁺⁵ C. Bobadilla · Foul

90'⁺⁶ VAR Review · G. Gómez

Coaches

Abel Ferreira

Ariel Holan

Recent form

Palmeiras

DHInternacional0-0

LAFortaleza2-3

WHFortaleza3-0

WAVitória4-0

LHAtlético Mineiro1-2

Cerro Porteño

WHClub Sporting Cristal2-0

WAPalmeiras1-0

WAJunior Barranquilla1-0

DHPalmeiras1-1

WHJunior Barranquilla1-0

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium ArgentinaFox Sports 2 Argentina

Match facts

Stadium

Nubank Parque

City

Sao Paulo

Referee

Gustavo Tejera

Kickoff

12 Aug, 22:00 UTC

Competition

Copa Libertadores

Highlights & clips

Palmeiras 4-4-2 · 5-3-2 Cerro Porteño

1 C. Miguel 6.0 56 A. Gabriel 6.4 ↑ 68' 26 Murilo 7.5 2 A. Barboza 7.1 22 J. Piquerez 6.7 30 L. Evangelista 6.9 ↑ 80' 8 A. Pereira 6.5 17 M. Freitas 7.0 7 F. Anderson 6.7 ↑ 80' 15 G. Gómez 6.2 ↑ 87' 19 R. Sosa 6.6 ↑ 80' 1 M. Roffo 6.5 31 I. Aliseda 6.5 ↑ 89' 14 L. Quintana 7.5 23 G. Velázquez 7.2 24 A. Cañete 6.5 13 G. Benitez 6.4 ↑ 62' 40 M. Klimowicz 6.3 ↑ 62' 5 J. Morel 6.4 32 C. Bobadilla 6.4 27 J. Torres 6.4 ↑ 53' 19 P. Vegetti 6.6

Top stats

61%Possession39%

1.76Expected goals (xG)0.23

21Total shots8

7Shots on target1

3Big chances1

7Corners2

Shots

11Shots off target4

3Blocked shots3

13Shots inside box3

8Shots outside box5

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed1

-0.85Goals prevented0.09

Attack

30Touches in box10

55Final third entries43

6Offsides1

16Free kicks10

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

379Passes250

311Accurate passes167

17/40 (43%)Long balls17/57 (30%)

6/27 (22%)Crosses2/15 (13%)

22Throw-ins16

Duels

58Duels42

41/75 (55%)Ground duels34/75 (45%)

26/40 (65%)Aerial duels14/40 (35%)

7/13 (54%)Dribbles6/17 (35%)

12Dispossessed7

Defending

18Tackles18

50Tackles won56

10Interceptions4

26Clearances44

44Recoveries40

Discipline

10Fouls16

0Yellow cards5

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves5

1Big saves2

7Goal kicks12

2Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers

Palmeiras 72%

19%

Cerro Porteño 9%

Who winsPalmeiras to win (DNB) 88% · 1.07 @ Bet365

1X2Palmeiras to win 72% · 1.33 @ Betano

BTTSBTTS: No 62% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.78 @ Unibet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.48 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.80 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ fonbet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.38 @ 10bet

1X2Draw 19% · 5.50 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.72 @ Bwin

1X2Cerro Porteño to win 9% · 14.00 @ fonbet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.27

Palmeiras ▼

5.12

Draw ▲

12.26

Cerro Porteño ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.04

Palmeiras or Draw ▼

1.14

Palmeiras or Cerro Porteño

3.43

Draw or Cerro Porteño ▼

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.90

Yes ▼

1.37

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50 ▲

8.87

Under 0.50 ▲

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.37

Over 1.50

3.10

Under 1.50 ▼

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.02

Over 2.50 ▼

1.79

Under 2.50 ▲

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.90

Over 3.50 ▲

1.26

Under 3.50 ▼

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.80

Over 4.50 ▲

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.04

Palmeiras

9.08

Cerro Porteño ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus

1.01

Over 4.50

21.00

Under 4.50

Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus

1.02

Over 5.50

12.00

Under 5.50

Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus

1.09

Over 6.50

7.50

Under 6.50

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.21

Over 7.50 ▼

3.91

Under 7.50 ▼

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.39

Over 8.50 ▼

2.71

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.69

Over 9.50

2.05

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.10

Over 10.50 ▲

1.65

Under 10.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Palmeiras to win or draw

✓

91% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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