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Luis Zubeldia
Fluminense
Independiente Rivadavia
Fluminense
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Independiente Rivadavia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
668364 EUR · live
Home
40.0 · implied 2.5%
70.7%
+68.2 vs price
Away
160.0 · implied 0.6%
14.8%
+14.1 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
14.5%
-83.5 vs price
Half time
12784 EUR · live
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
53.5%
-44.5 vs price
Home
890.0 · implied 0.1%
31.5%
+31.4 vs price
Away
44.0 · implied 2.3%
15.0%
+12.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
99988 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.5%
-11.5 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.5%
+12.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
12083 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.6%
-10.4 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.5%
+11.4 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
17'
L. Costa · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'
Ignácio · Foul
46'
🔁
L. Acosta ◂ Hércules
46'
🔁
A. Canobbio ◂ R. Castillo
55'
🔁
Renê ◂ G. Arana
61'
🔁
G. Cano ◂ Hulk
66'
🔁
K. Vázquez ◂ L. Costa
66'
🔁
G. Ríos ◂ L. Bucca
70'
Nonato · Foul
78'
🔁
A. Osella ◂ I. Villalba
78'
🔁
Ganso ◂ Nonato
78'
🔁
J. Savarino ◂ Y. Soteldo
79'
🔁
A. Vigo ◂ M. Salas
89'
🔁
D. Crego ◂ M. Fernández
Full-time · 0–0
90'+5
🔁
S. Moreyra ◂ A. Arce
Coaches
Alfredo Berti 
Recent form
DABotafogo1-1
LHVasco da Gama1-3
DAVasco da Gama0-0
DHBahia0-0
DAGrêmio1-1
WHEstudiantes de Río Cuarto2-1
LASarmiento1-2
WHHuracán2-1
DAAtlético Tucumán0-0
WABolívar3-1
Where to watch
TOD
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 2 SurFox Sports Argentina
Arena Sport Premium 1
TOD
Startimes World Football
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ESPN
StarTimes App
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
Disney+ Premium Chile
StarTimes App
TOD
TOD
TOD
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
TOD
Como
TOD
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
TOD
TOD
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
TOD
TOD
StarTimes App
Arena Sport Premium 1
TOD
StarTimes App
Disney+ Premium Mexico
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
TOD
Disney+ Premium Chile
TOD
Sport TV1
TOD
Arena Sport Premium 1
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
TOD
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
fuboTV
TOD
StarTimes AppStartimes World Football
StarTimes App
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio do Maracanã
City
Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Cristian Garay
Kickoff
11 Aug, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Copa Libertadores
Highlights & clips
1
Fábio
7.5
23
Guga
7.5
4
Ignácio
6.6
3
T. Silva
7.6
6
Renê
6.8
↑ 55'
17
A. Canobbio
6.4
↑ 46'
8
Martinelli
7.4
11
J. Savarino
6.7
↑ 78'
14
G. Cano
6.4
↑ 61'
32
L. Acosta
7.2
↑ 46'
10
Ganso
6.7
↑ 78'
1
N. Bolcato
7.0
36
E. Bonifacio
7.1
13
A. Osella
6.8
↑ 78'
42
S. Studer
7.2
3
J. M. Elordi
7.0
27
D. Crego
↑ 89'
11
G. Ríos
6.8
↑ 66'
5
T. Bottari
6.7
32
K. Vázquez
7.1
↑ 66'
34
S. Moreyra
↑ 90'
28
A. Vigo
6.6
↑ 79'
Top stats
74%Possession26%
1.19Expected goals (xG)0.46
17Total shots11
3Shots on target3
1Big chances1
7Corners6
Shots
10Shots off target5
4Blocked shots3
9Shots inside box8
8Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances missed1
0.63Goals prevented0.21
Attack
30Touches in box14
52Final third entries47
0Offsides1
14Free kicks5
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
668Passes232
578Accurate passes156
15/34 (44%)Long balls26/55 (47%)
5/27 (19%)Crosses3/19 (16%)
22Throw-ins13
Duels
56Duels44
35/60 (58%)Ground duels25/60 (42%)
15/30 (50%)Aerial duels15/30 (50%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)
8Dispossessed9
Defending
15Tackles16
53Tackles won56
6Interceptions9
13Clearances36
45Recoveries47
Discipline
5Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
2Big saves0
7Goal kicks9
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 28 bookmakers
Who winsFluminense to win (DNB) 75% · 1.25 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 60% · 1.53 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 58% · 1.60 @ William Hill
1X2Fluminense to win 54% · 1.73 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.19 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.33 @ Bwin
1X2Draw 28% · 4.32 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.91 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 65% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
1X2Ind. Rivadavia to win 18% · 6.25 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.63
Fluminense ▲
3.21
Draw ▼
5.88
Independiente Rivadavia ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
Fluminense or Draw ▼
1.30
Fluminense or Independiente Rivadavia ▲
2.05
Draw or Independiente Rivadavia ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.40
Yes
1.53
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.12
Over 0.50 ▲
6.40
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.50
Over 1.50
2.60
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.50
Over 2.50 ▼
1.53
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.80
Over 3.50
1.18
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.48
Over 4.50 ▲
1.04
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.21
Fluminense ▲
4.08
Independiente Rivadavia ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
1.01
Over 3.50
13.50
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.04
Over 4.50 ▲
9.10
Under 4.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.10
Over 5.50
5.86
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.25
Over 6.50
3.54
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.48
Over 7.50
2.46
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.83
Over 8.50
1.87
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.35
Over 9.50 ▲
1.52
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Fluminense to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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