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Fernando Diniz
Corinthians
Rosario Central
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Rosario Central
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
589332 EUR · live
Home
1.05 · implied 95.2%
65.6%
-29.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
19.3%
+19.2 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
15.4%
+10.8 vs price
Half time
7721 EUR · live
Away
50.0 · implied 2.0%
40.6%
+38.6 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
35.1%
-63.9 vs price
Home
15.0 · implied 6.7%
24.2%
+17.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
59870 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.7%
-12.3 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
13.3%
+13.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
13760 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.3%
-2.7 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.7%
+3.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
36'
Raniele · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
56'
VAR
Card check · Raniele
58'
Raniele · Foul
70'
🔁
M. Depay ◂ P. Raul
76'
🔁
J. Fernández ◂ F. Ibarra
76'
🔁
G. Cantizano ◂ J. Campaz
80'
⚽
B. Bidon · assist M. Depay1–0
83'
🔁
M. Rubén ◂ A. Sández
87'
🔁
T. Badaloni ◂ F. Navarro
87'
🔁
J. Pedro ◂ B. Bidon
Full-time · 1–0
90'
🔁
Charles ◂ Kaio César
Coaches
Fernando DinizJorge Almiron 
Recent form
CorinthiansLHCruzeiro1-2
DARosario Central0-0
WARed Bull Bragantino2-0
WHInternacional2-1
LAInternacional0-2
Rosario CentralWABarracas Central1-0
DHCorinthians0-0
WHAldosivi2-1
WARiver Plate1-0
DHRacing Club0-0
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaFox Sports ArgentinaTelefe
sportdigital1+
beIN SPORTS 1
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStartimes World Football
BetanoDisney+ESPNGloboplay
StarTimes App
Sporty TVSporty TV AppStarTimes AppStartimes World Football
sportdigital1+
ESPN5 Chile
StarTimes App
Disney+ Premium SurESPN Colombia
Sportdigital+sportdigital1+
beIN SPORTS 1
beIN SPORTS 1
Disney+ Premium SurESPN Colombia
beIN SPORTS 1
Arena Sport 1 HR
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
City
Sao Paulo
Kickoff
21 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Copa Libertadores
Highlights & clips
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Rosario Central
1
H. Souza
6.9
2
Matheuzinho
7.4
3
G. Paulista
7.0
13
G. Henrique
7.3
21
M. Bidu
7.4
19
A. Carrillo
6.6
14
Raniele
6.1
35
Charles
↑ 90'
8
R. Garro
7.3
4
J. Pedro
6.6
↑ 87'
10
M. Depay
6.5
↑ 70'
23
C. Ledesma
6.6
32
E. Coronel
6.5
46
I. Ovando
6.8
13
G. Ávila
6.5
29
M. Rubén
6.3
↑ 83'
18
J. Fernández
6.4
↑ 76'
16
T. Badaloni
6.3
↑ 87'
88
Á. Rodríguez
6.6
11
Á. Di María
6.7
26
G. Cantizano
6.7
↑ 76'
22
E. Copetti
5.7
Substitutes
51GKauê
55DI. Machado
20DP. Milans
26DF. Angileri
7MB. Bidon↓ 87'7.5
61MDieguinho
54MBahia
23MM. Pereira
63MA. Santana
37FKaio César↓ 90'7.7
18FP. Raul↓ 70'6.5
56FG. Negão
Coach: Fernando Diniz
Top stats
44%Possession56%
0.38Expected goals (xG)0.47
8Total shots10
3Shots on target1
1Big chances0
3Corners8
Shots
3Shots off target7
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside box1
3Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
0.08Goals prevented-0.12
Attack
12Touches in box15
55Final third entries57
4Offsides0
14Free kicks15
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
305Passes379
230Accurate passes306
28/55 (51%)Long balls16/47 (34%)
4/8 (50%)Crosses2/26 (8%)
25Throw-ins26
Duels
56Duels44
48/92 (52%)Ground duels44/92 (48%)
17/25 (68%)Aerial duels8/25 (32%)
11/23 (48%)Dribbles11/21 (52%)
7Dispossessed15
Defending
25Tackles19
60Tackles won58
11Interceptions5
35Clearances14
39Recoveries45
Discipline
15Fouls14
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
0Big saves1
16Goal kicks3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 62% · 1.60 @ fanduel
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 84% · 1.02 @ Novibet
Who winsCorinthians to win (DNB) 70% · 1.60 @ merkurxtip
1X2Draw 31% · 2.20 @ tipico
1X2Corinthians to win 49% · 2.91 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.52 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.83 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.66 @ Marathon
1X2Rosario Central to win 20% · 4.40 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 59% · 1.78 @ mansion
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.25
Corinthians ▲
2.77
Draw ▼
3.80
Rosario Central ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Corinthians or Draw ▲
1.42
Corinthians or Rosario Central ▲
1.60
Draw or Rosario Central ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.43
Yes ▼
1.51
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.15
Over 0.50
5.12
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.67
Over 1.50 ▲
2.13
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
3.08
Over 2.50 ▲
1.34
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
6.39
Over 3.50 ▲
1.10
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
13.12
Over 4.50
1.02
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.49
Corinthians ▲
2.50
Rosario Central ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
1.00
Over 3.50
15.25
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50
11.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50
7.10
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.23
Over 6.50
3.60
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
3.15
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.20
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.01
Over 9.50
1.73
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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