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Luís Castro
Grêmio
Bolívar
Grêmio
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Bolívar
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
16'
⚽
D. Asprilla · assist R. Matheus0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
M. Villasanti ◂ Dodi
46'
🔁
M. Nascimento ◂ J. Nardoni
46'
🔁
Marlon ◂ P. Gabriel
58'
🔁
G. Mec ◂ Tetê
58'
🔁
J. Enamorado ◂ F. Amuzu
63'
G. Mec · Foul
64'
C. Pavón · Argument
65'
C. Melgar · Time wasting
79'
🔁
E. Saavedra ◂ R. Matheus
Full-time · 0–1
90'+2
E. Noriega · Violent conduct
90'+2
L. Justiniano · Violent conduct
90'+3
W. Kannemann · Argument
90'+5
🔁
L. F. Paz ◂ C. Melgar
90'+5
🔁
L. Zabala ◂ D. Asprilla
90'+5
🔁
E. Vaca ◂ P. Rodríguez
90'+8
Marlon · Foul
Coaches
Luís CastroAlejandro Restrepo 
Recent form
GrêmioDHFluminense1-1
LABolívar2-3
LAMirassol1-2
WACruzeiro3-1
LHChapecoense1-2
BolívarWHGrêmio3-2
LHIndependiente Rivadavia1-3
LAFluminense1-2
DADeportivo La Guaira1-1
WHFluminense2-0
Where to watch
DGO
Tigo Sports 1
Paramount+
DGO
DGO
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
DGO
Arena Sport 1 HR
Disney+ Premium Mexico
DGODIRECTV Sports
Sport TV1
beIN SportsbeIN Sports en EspañolfuboTV
DGO
DGO
Match facts
Stadium
Arena do Grêmio
City
Porto Alegre
Kickoff
30 Jul, 22:00 UTC
Competition
Copa Sudamericana
Highlights & clips
Grêmio
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Bolívar
12
G. Grando
6.8
7
C. Pavón
7.1
6
G. Martins
7.4
4
W. Kannemann
7.0
23
Marlon
7.1
↑ 46'
19
E. Noriega
7.3
99
J. Enamorado
6.5
↑ 58'
20
M. Villasanti
6.8
↑ 46'
30
M. Nascimento
7.0
↑ 46'
37
G. Mec
7.2
↑ 58'
22
M. Braithwaite
6.1
1
C. Lampe
10.0
2
J. Sagredo
7.3
5
S. Echeverria
6.7
3
X. Arreaga
7.4
4
J. Sagredo
7.3
23
L. Justiniano
6.6
16
L. Zabala
↑ 90'
77
D. Romero
7.2
26
E. Saavedra
6.6
↑ 79'
8
L. F. Paz
↑ 90'
6
E. Vaca
↑ 90'
Substitutes
1GWeverton
54DP. Gabriel↓ 46'6.3
3DW. Leonardo
43DL. Guedes
14DM. Rocha
2DF. Balbuena
5MJ. Nardoni↓ 46'7.5
17MDodi↓ 46'6.6
9MF. Amuzu↓ 58'6.5
65MRiquelme
50MZortéa
21FTetê↓ 58'7.4
Coach: Luís Castro
Substitutes
13GD. Méndez
33DF. Mena
35DE. Rivero
14MR. Matheus↓ 79'7.5
80MC. Melgar↓ 90'7.1
10MB. Arce
19MJ. García
18ML. Chávez
7MJ. Velásquez
27FD. Asprilla↓ 90'7.6
17FP. Rodríguez↓ 90'6.6
9FM. Cauteruccio
Coach: Alejandro Restrepo
Top stats
66%Possession34%
2.2Expected goals (xG)1.42
31Total shots19
12Shots on target6
5Big chances3
11Corners1
Shots
13Shots off target7
6Blocked shots6
22Shots inside box7
9Shots outside box12
1Hit woodwork0
5Big chances missed3
-0.18Goals prevented2.82
Attack
40Touches in box14
71Final third entries44
0Offsides1
9Free kicks16
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
553Passes302
484Accurate passes226
34/50 (68%)Long balls23/66 (35%)
11/32 (34%)Crosses1/3 (33%)
18Throw-ins15
Duels
52Duels48
46/89 (52%)Ground duels43/89 (48%)
15/28 (54%)Aerial duels13/28 (46%)
21/35 (60%)Dribbles6/16 (38%)
8Dispossessed6
Defending
16Tackles22
63Tackles won59
11Interceptions8
13Clearances30
67Recoveries66
Discipline
16Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
2Red cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves11
0Big saves2
6Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 34 bookmakers
Who winsGrêmio to win (DNB) 87% · 1.19 @ Novibet
1X2Grêmio to win 73% · 1.51 @ Novibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.44 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 2.07 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 1.75 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.26 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 18% · 4.75 @ SportingBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ Betway
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle
1X2Bolívar to win 10% · 7.40 @ Betsson
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.43
Grêmio ▼
4.02
Draw ▼
5.95
Bolívar ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.11
Grêmio or Draw ▲
1.20
Grêmio or Bolívar ▲
2.60
Draw or Bolívar ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.78
Yes ▼
1.95
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.58
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50 ▲
4.25
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.69
Over 2.50
2.15
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.70
Over 3.50
1.46
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.85
Over 4.50 ▲
1.18
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.16
Grêmio ▲
4.87
Bolívar ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.80
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.70
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50 ▼
3.79
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50
2.68
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.68
Over 9.50 ▼
2.06
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.10
Over 10.50 ▼
1.65
Under 10.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Grêmio to win or draw
✗
90% confidence
Grêmio to avoid defeat
✗
87% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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