Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽B. Johnson
11'
S. T. Þórðarson
28'
⚽H. Wilson
assist N. Williams
assist N. Williams
29'
B. Johnson
31'
J. D. Þórsteinsson
31'
C. Roberts
41'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁W. Burns ◂ B. Johnson
46'
🔁M. Ellertsson ◂ W. Willumsson
46'
🔁L. Tómasson ◂ K. Finnsson
46'
K. Moore
51'
J. James
59'
⚽L. Tómasson
assist J. D. Þórsteinsson
assist J. D. Þórsteinsson
69'
⚽D. Ward
72'
🔁B. Cabango ◂ S. Thomas
76'
🔁L. Cullen ◂ C. Roberts
76'
🔁A. Traustason ◂ J. Guðmundsson
82'
🔁G. Sigurðsson ◂ A. Guðjohnsen
84'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
D. Ward
90'+3
Form
Iceland
WL
Wales
DLLDW
Match facts
Stadium
Laugardalsvöllur
City
Reykjavik
Referee
Antoni Bandić
Kickoff
11 Oct, 18:45 UTC
Iceland
4-4-2
12
H. R. Valdimarsson
7.1
3
V. Fridriksson
6.4
5
S. Ingason
6.5
20
D. Grétarsson
6.8
14
K. Finnsson
6.6
15
W. Willumsson
6.2
7
J. Guðmundsson
6.8
16
S. T. Þórðarson
6.6
11
J. D. Þórsteinsson
7.3
9
O. S. Óskarsson
7.8
22
A. Guðjohnsen
6.7
Substitutes
17
L. Tómasson
7.8
23
M. Ellertsson
6.5
21
A. Traustason
6.9
10
G. Sigurðsson
6.5
1
E. Ólafsson
13
P. S. Gunnarsson
6
H. Hermannsson
2
A. Sampsted
4
V. Pálsson
18
M. Anderson
19
Í. B. Jóhannesson
8
B. Darri Willumsson
Wales
4-2-3-1
12
D. Ward
6.2
14
C. Roberts
6.4
6
J. Rodon
6.8
4
B. Davies
6.4
3
N. Williams
8.8
17
J. James
6.9
10
O. Cooper
6.6
11
B. Johnson
⚽1
7.2
8
H. Wilson
⚽1
7.5
19
S. Thomas
6.4
13
K. Moore
6.9
Substitutes
20
W. Burns
5.9
16
B. Cabango
7.0
15
L. Cullen
6.8
1
K. Darlow
21
A. Davies
2
C. Mepham
5
R. Norrington-Davies
7
D. Brooks
22
J. Sheehan
9
L. Koumas
23
N. Broadhead
18
M. Harris
Coach: Arnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson
Coach: Craig Bellamy