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Álvaro Arbeloa
Fulham
Chelsea
Fulham
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Chelsea
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
6211404 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
87.1%
-11.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.6%
+6.5 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
6.3%
+3.5 vs price
Half time
16513 EUR · live
Away
3.8 · implied 26.3%
73.0%
+46.6 vs price
Draw
1.7 · implied 58.8%
14.2%
-44.7 vs price
Home
6.4 · implied 15.6%
12.9%
-2.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
278372 EUR · live
Over
1.18 · implied 84.7%
75.3%
-9.5 vs price
Under
6.4 · implied 15.6%
24.7%
+9.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
23158 EUR · live
Under
1.85 · implied 54.1%
70.1%
+16.0 vs price
Over
2.16 · implied 46.3%
29.9%
-16.4 vs price
20 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
J. Pedro · assist C. Palmer0–1
5'
L. Colwill · Foul
12'
R. Lavia · Foul
23'
⚽
J. King · assist T. Castagne1–1
41'
⚽
M. Rogers · assist M. Lacroix1–2
Half-time · 1–2
49'
⚽
C. Palmer · assist J. Pedro1–3
54'
⚽
G. García2–3
65'
🔁
J. Chavarría ◂ J. Hato
65'
🔁
E. Fernández ◂ R. Lavia
67'
🔁
S. Charles ◂ O. Bobb
73'
🔁
R. Sessegnon ◂ S. Berge
73'
🔁
Kevin ◂ C. Palacios
75'
R. James · Foul
76'
C. Bassey · Simulation
76'
🔁
P. Neto ◂ M. Gusto
82'
🔁
G. Quenda ◂ M. Rogers
82'
🔁
R. Muniz ◂ A. Robinson
83'
🔁
Estêvão ◂ C. Palmer
88'
T. Castagne · Foul
Full-time · 2–3
Coaches
Xabi Alonso 
Recent form
WHVfB Stuttgart1-0
DAMálaga CF2-2
LHCrystal Palace1-2
WASC Farense2-1
DAAl-Ahli1-1
WHReal Sociedad3-1
DAJohor Darul Ta'zim3-3
WHAC Milan3-0
LHJuventus0-1
LHTottenham Hotspur1-2
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Match facts
Stadium
Craven Cottage
City
London
Kickoff
24 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Highlights & clips
1
B. Leno
6.0
21
T. Castagne
6.9
3
C. Bassey
6.5
4
J. Cuenca
7.0
9
R. Muniz
6.6
↑ 82'
30
R. Sessegnon
6.6
↑ 73'
17
A. Iwobi
6.8
19
S. Charles
6.7
↑ 67'
24
J. King
7.1
11
Kevin
6.7
↑ 73'
7
G. García
7.2
1
R. Sánchez
6.2
34
J. Acheampong
7.2
5
M. Lacroix
7.1
6
L. Colwill
6.0
7
P. Neto
7.0
↑ 76'
24
R. James
6.7
29
J. Chavarría
6.5
↑ 65'
8
E. Fernández
6.9
↑ 65'
41
Estêvão
6.4
↑ 83'
23
G. Quenda
6.6
↑ 82'
9
J. Pedro
7.9
Substitutes
23GB. Lecomte
33DA. Robinson↓ 82'6.3
2DK. Tete
44DL. D. Fougerolles
14MO. Bobb↓ 67'6.8
16MS. Berge↓ 73'6.6
8MC. Palacios↓ 73'6.0
32ME. Smith Rowe
6MH. Reed
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Substitutes
39GM. Penders
21DJ. Hato↓ 65'6.5
27DM. Gusto↓ 76'6.4
10MC. Palmer↓ 83'8.9
17MM. Rogers↓ 82'8.4
45MR. Lavia↓ 65'6.9
4MV. Barco
11MJ. Gittens
18FD. Welbeck
Coach: Xabi Alonso
Top stats
62%Possession38%
1.33Expected goals (xG)2.24
14Total shots18
6Shots on target6
2Big chances4
6Corners4
Shots
3Shots off target5
5Blocked shots7
7Shots inside box13
7Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored3
1Big chances missed1
-0.98Goals prevented-0.83
Attack
25Touches in box38
68Final third entries57
0Offsides3
7Free kicks12
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
639Passes394
553Accurate passes322
34/64 (53%)Long balls24/61 (39%)
4/17 (24%)Crosses5/11 (45%)
17Throw-ins14
Duels
45Duels55
34/82 (41%)Ground duels48/82 (59%)
14/24 (58%)Aerial duels10/24 (42%)
8/20 (40%)Dribbles14/19 (74%)
11Dispossessed14
Defending
19Tackles23
63Tackles won65
8Interceptions7
17Clearances22
46Recoveries52
Discipline
12Fouls7
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
11Goal kicks5
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 79 bookmakers
Who winsChelsea to win (DNB) 61% · 1.61 @ forbet
1X2Chelsea to win 49% · 2.50 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.25 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.36 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 4.40 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 2.05 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 25% · 3.00 @ betcity
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.03 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
1X2Fulham to win 26% · 4.00 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.66
Fulham ▲
3.77
Draw ▲
1.93
Chelsea ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.84
Fulham or Draw ▲
1.26
Fulham or Chelsea
1.27
Draw or Chelsea ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes ▼
2.33
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.50
YES
1.17
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.80
YES
1.38
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.38
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.46
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.62
Over 2.50 ▲
2.25
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.51
Over 3.50 ▲
1.49
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.38
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.39
Fulham ▲
1.52
Chelsea ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.85
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.65
Over 9.50
2.15
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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