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Unai Emery
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Arsenal
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
7796753 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.4%
-6.6 vs price
Draw
110.0 · implied 0.9%
3.8%
+2.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.8%
+3.7 vs price
Half time
28834 EUR · live
Away
2.52 · implied 39.7%
75.4%
+35.7 vs price
Draw
1.9 · implied 52.6%
17.0%
-35.6 vs price
Home
10.5 · implied 9.5%
7.6%
-1.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
622175 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
68.4%
-30.6 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
31.6%
+31.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
21178 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
83.7%
-13.4 vs price
Over
38.0 · implied 2.6%
16.3%
+13.7 vs price
20 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
29'
C. Tzolis · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
E. Eze ◂ C. Tzolis
55'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · B. Saka
59'
⚽
B. Saka · assist R. Calafiori0–1
71'
🔁
Alysson ◂ G. Hemmings
71'
🔁
T. Abraham ◂ N. Jackson
71'
🔁
M. Merino ◂ M. Ødegaard
71'
🔁
B. Guimarães ◂ M. Lewis-Skelly
78'
🔁
A. Garnacho ◂ R. Barkley
78'
🔁
A. Wan-Bissaka ◂ M. Cash
79'
🔁
E. Konsa ◂ C. Mosquera
80'
Alysson · Foul
81'
J. McGinn · Foul
85'
🔁
M. Zubimendi ◂ D. Rice
Full-time · 0–1
90'+6
I. Maatsen · Foul
Coaches
Mikel Arteta 
Recent form
LABrighton & Hove Albion0-4
LABorussia M'gladbach1-2
LAParis Saint-Germain1-2
LHFC Bayern München1-2
WABG Pathum United3-1
WHCoventry City3-0
DHComo1-1
LHReal Betis1-3
WAGirona FC4-1
DAParis Saint-Germain1-1
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Match facts
Stadium
Villa Park
City
Birmingham
Kickoff
31 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Highlights & clips
1
Z. Suzuki
6.5
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
6.8
↑ 78'
3
V. Lindelöf
6.9
14
P. Torres
6.5
22
I. Maatsen
5.7
8
B. Kamara
6.6
17
A. Garnacho
6.5
↑ 78'
7
J. McGinn
6.0
10
E. Buendía
6.5
47
Alysson
6.6
↑ 71'
18
T. Abraham
6.5
↑ 71'
1
D. Raya
6.8
4
B. White
7.1
15
E. Konsa
6.7
↑ 79'
6
G. Magalhães
7.1
33
R. Calafiori
7.9
36
M. Zubimendi
6.9
↑ 85'
39
B. Guimarães
6.5
↑ 71'
7
B. Saka
7.8
23
M. Merino
7.1
↑ 71'
10
E. Eze
6.5
↑ 46'
29
K. Havertz
6.0
Substitutes
40GM. Bizot
2DM. Cash↓ 78'7.0
5DT. Mings
13DM. Ruggeri
6MR. Barkley↓ 78'7.2
53MG. Hemmings↓ 71'6.2
26ML. Bogarde
74ML. Lynch
11FN. Jackson↓ 71'7.0
Coach: Unai Emery
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.33Expected goals (xG)1.04
7Total shots7
0Shots on target2
0Big chances2
2Corners4
Shots
5Shots off target4
2Blocked shots1
3Shots inside box5
4Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.2Goals prevented0.0
Attack
16Touches in box21
58Final third entries61
0Offsides8
6Free kicks17
0Fouled in final third6
Passing
339Passes530
273Accurate passes465
14/40 (35%)Long balls15/40 (38%)
1/11 (9%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
15Throw-ins21
Duels
44Duels56
31/68 (46%)Ground duels37/68 (54%)
9/23 (39%)Aerial duels14/23 (61%)
5/10 (50%)Dribbles8/20 (40%)
8Dispossessed8
Defending
20Tackles13
55Tackles won54
3Interceptions9
19Clearances20
47Recoveries54
Discipline
17Fouls6
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves0
4Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Arsenal to win 62% · 1.91 @ William Hill
Who winsArsenal to win (DNB) 67% · 1.21 @ Betano
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.00 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.95 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 22% · 2.88 @ Unibet
1X2Aston Villa to win 15% · 5.55 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
6.23
Aston Villa
4.33
Draw
1.50
Arsenal
Double Chanceconsensus
2.50
Aston Villa or Draw
1.21
Aston Villa or Arsenal
1.12
Draw or Arsenal
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes
1.90
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
10.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.40
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
4.05
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.70
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.81
Over 3.50
1.41
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.35
Aston Villa
1.19
Arsenal
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.31
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.83
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.42
Over 10.50
1.48
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.20
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Arsenal to win or draw
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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