Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion — live & stats

Where the money is

5740307 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3914800 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

90.6%

-8.4 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.9%

+4.8 vs price

Draw 260.0 · implied 0.4%

4.6%

+4.2 vs price

Half time 28333 EUR · live

Home 1.02 · implied 98.0%

95.6%

-2.4 vs price

Away 420.0 · implied 0.2%

2.2%

+2.0 vs price

Draw 36.0 · implied 2.8%

2.2%

-0.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 419419 EUR · live

Over 1.12 · implied 89.3%

58.2%

-31.1 vs price

Under 9.4 · implied 10.6%

41.8%

+31.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 32466 EUR · live

Under 1.93 · implied 51.8%

64.1%

+12.3 vs price

Over 2.06 · implied 48.5%

35.9%

-12.6 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

4' ⚽ R. Lavia1–0

14' ⚽ P. Neto · assist M. Rogers2–0

32' ⚽ J. Pedro · assist J. Hato3–0

35' ⚽ M. Yalcouyé3–1

Half-time · 3–1

55' W. Fofana · Foul

63' ⚽ J. Pedro3–2

68' 🔁 M. Caicedo ◂ P. Neto

68' 🔁 J. Acheampong ◂ W. Fofana

68' 🔁 R. James ◂ R. Lavia

70' L. Dunk · Foul

72' 🔁 P. Chavarría ◂ L. Colwill

74' ⚽ C. Palmer · assist J. Pedro4–2

74' 🔁 I. Osman ◂ M. Yalcouyé

80' 🔁 Costinha ◂ M. Wieffer

80' 🔁 P. David ◂ C. Kostoulas

82' 🔁 V. Barco ◂ M. Caicedo

89' O. Boscagli · Foul

Full-time · 4–3

90'⁺¹ Costinha · Foul

90'⁺⁶ ⚽ P. Groß4–3

Coaches

Xabi Alonso

Fabian Hurzeler

Recent form

Chelsea

WHLuton Town2-0

WAFulham3-2

WHReal Sociedad3-1

DAJohor Darul Ta'zim3-3

WHAC Milan3-0

Brighton & Hove Albion

WHTromsø IL4-0

WHAston Villa4-0

DATromsø IL0-0

WHBologna1-0

WHAS Roma3-0

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 1

Match facts

Stadium

Stamford Bridge

City

London

Referee

Michael Oliver

3.63 yellows/match · 65 matches

Kickoff

30 Aug, 13:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Chelsea 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

26 E. Martínez 8.4 34 J. Acheampong 6.3 ↑ 68' 5 M. Lacroix 6.1 29 P. Chavarría 6.4 ↑ 72' 24 R. James 6.2 ↑ 68' 27 M. Gusto 6.3 25 M. Caicedo 6.6 ↑ 68' 21 J. Hato 7.1 10 C. Palmer 7.9 17 M. Rogers 8.2 9 J. Pedro 7.6 1 B. Verbruggen 4.9 20 Costinha 6.5 ↑ 80' 44 L. Vušković 6.5 5 L. Dunk 5.9 24 F. Kadıoğlu 5.6 13 P. Groß 7.3 21 O. Boscagli 6.8 25 D. Gómez 6.3 15 I. Osman 6.6 ↑ 74' 29 M. De Cuyper 6.3 12 P. David 6.4 ↑ 80'

Substitutes

39GM. Penders 3DW. Fofana↓ 68'6.5 6DL. Colwill↓ 72'6.2 7MP. Neto↓ 68'8.4 45MR. Lavia↓ 68'7.4 4MV. Barco↑ 82'6.2 41MEstêvão 11MJ. Gittens 18FD. Welbeck

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Substitutes

23GJ. Steele 27DM. Wieffer↓ 80'7.4 4DP. Struijk 6DJ. Hadjam 35MM. Yalcouyé↓ 74'7.6 22MA. Cozier-Duberry 33MM. O'Riley 19FC. Kostoulas↓ 80'6.4 49FN. Oriola

Coach: Fabian Hurzeler

Top stats

26%Possession74%

2.93Expected goals (xG)1.41

17Total shots15

6Shots on target6

6Big chances5

4Corners7

Shots

5Shots off target8

6Blocked shots1

15Shots inside box13

2Shots outside box2

0Hit woodwork0

3Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed4

-0.39Goals prevented-1.4

Attack

29Touches in box27

43Final third entries81

12Free kicks6

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

227Passes647

155Accurate passes567

18/49 (37%)Long balls36/65 (55%)

3/9 (33%)Crosses7/31 (23%)

13Throw-ins25

Duels

56Duels44

29/51 (57%)Ground duels22/51 (43%)

17/31 (55%)Aerial duels14/31 (45%)

6/10 (60%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)

5Dispossessed8

Defending

12Tackles9

67Tackles won78

9Interceptions5

38Clearances14

37Recoveries45

Discipline

6Fouls12

1Yellow cards3

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

2Big saves0

16Goal kicks8

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Chelsea 50%

25%

Brighton 25%

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.75 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.75 @ betfair

1X2Chelsea to win 50% · 2.25 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.44 @ betfair

Who winsChelsea to win (DNB) 62% · 1.41 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.92 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

1X2Brighton to win 25% · 3.88 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.53 @ betfair

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.85

Chelsea

3.80

Draw

3.80

Brighton & Hove Albion

Double Chanceconsensus

1.24

Chelsea or Draw

1.23

Chelsea or Brighton & Hove Albion

1.92

Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.57

Yes

2.30

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.60

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.19

Over 1.50

4.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.66

Over 2.50

2.23

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.56

Over 3.50

1.48

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.70

Over 4.50

1.16

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.40

Chelsea

2.85

Brighton & Hove Albion

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.22

Over 7.50

3.50

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.43

Over 8.50

2.60

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.72

Over 9.50

2.01

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.14

Over 10.50

1.63

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.75

Over 11.50

1.38

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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