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Daniel Farke
Leeds United
Brentford
Leeds United
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Brentford
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1179141 EUR · live
Away
27.0 · implied 3.7%
55.6%
+51.9 vs price
Draw
1.1 · implied 90.9%
24.8%
-66.1 vs price
Home
16.0 · implied 6.2%
19.6%
+13.4 vs price
Half time
3013 EUR · live
Away
3.85 · implied 26.0%
53.7%
+27.7 vs price
Draw
1.76 · implied 56.8%
33.3%
-23.5 vs price
Home
5.6 · implied 17.9%
13.0%
-4.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
348955 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
80.0%
-10.1 vs price
Over
9.4 · implied 10.6%
20.0%
+9.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4343 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
82.6%
-15.5 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
17.4%
+15.4 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
30'
J. Anthony · Foul
34'
🔁
N. Elvedi ◂ J. Rodon
41'
⚽
K. Schade · assist K. Lewis-Potter0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
A. Tanaka ◂ J. Bijol
46'
🔁
H. Wilson ◂ B. Aaronson
61'
🔁
D. Ouattara ◂ J. Anthony
68'
🔁
D. James ◂ J. Bogle
69'
🔁
Y. Yarmoliuk ◂ M. Damsgaard
69'
🔁
L. Nmecha ◂ N. Okafor
74'
K. Ajer · Foul
76'
V. Janelt · Argument
79'
⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin · assist L. Nmecha1–1
88'
🔁
R. Henry ◂ K. Lewis-Potter
88'
🔁
A. Hickey ◂ K. Schade
88'
🔁
C. Wilson ◂ M. Kayode
Full-time · 1–1
90'+3
N. Collins · Off the ball foul
Coaches
Daniel FarkeKeith Andrews 
Recent form
Leeds UnitedWANottingham Forest2-0
WANottingham Forest1-0
WHFC Augsburg4-0
DAManchester United1-1
WHRB Leipzig2-0
BrentfordWABirmingham City6-1
WHTottenham Hotspur3-0
WHEintracht Frankfurt7-0
WAStade Rennais4-2
DALiverpool FC1-1
Where to watch
Canal+ Live 2
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Sky Go
Arena Sport Premium 2
Diema Sport HD
Astro Premier League 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ESPN 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ Premium Sur
Sky GoSky Sport 6Sky Sport HD 6WOW
TV3 MAXViaplay
Disney+ Premium Sur
DAZNDAZN3 Spain
Canal+ Live 2
NOW TV UKSky Go UKSky Sports Premier LeagueSky Sports Ultra HD
Viaplay
Novasports | 2 HD
Arena Sport 3 HR
Sport 2
NOW TV UKSky Go UKSky Sports Premier LeagueSky Sports Ultra HD
Sport 2
NOWSky Go
Sky GoSky Sport HD 6
Arena Sport Premium 2
Astro Premier League 2
Viaplay Netherlands
V Sport Premier League 2Viaplay
Disney+ Premium Chile
Canal+ Extra 6
DAZN3 Portugal
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Arena Sport Premium 2
V Sport ExtraViaplay
NOWSky Go
beIN SPORTS 2
TelemundoUSA Network
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Disney+ Premium Sur
FPT Play
Match facts
Stadium
Elland Road
City
Leeds
Kickoff
30 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Highlights & clips
Leeds United
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Brentford
1
J. Trafford
6.8
30
N. Elvedi
6.4
↑ 34'
10
H. Wilson
7.0
↑ 46'
5
T. Muharemović
7.8
7
D. James
6.6
↑ 68'
4
E. Ampadu
7.1
18
A. Stach
6.9
24
J. Justin
7.0
22
A. Tanaka
6.8
↑ 46'
14
L. Nmecha
6.6
↑ 69'
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
7.2
1
C. Kelleher
6.9
2
A. Hickey
↑ 88'
20
K. Ajer
6.8
22
N. Collins
6.5
3
R. Henry
↑ 88'
18
M. Sangare
6.6
27
V. Janelt
6.9
11
D. Ouattara
7.4
↑ 61'
6
Y. Yarmoliuk
6.3
↑ 69'
13
C. Wilson
↑ 88'
9
I. Thiago
6.3
Substitutes
21GA. Cairns
6DJ. Rodon↓ 34'6.7
15DJ. Bijol↓ 46'6.4
3DG. Gudmundsson
2MJ. Bogle↓ 68'7.0
8MS. Longstaff
19FN. Okafor↓ 69'6.9
11FB. Aaronson↓ 46'6.5
29FW. Gnonto
Coach: Daniel Farke
Top stats
47%Possession53%
1.46Expected goals (xG)1.67
12Total shots22
2Shots on target5
1Big chances2
5Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target6
6Blocked shots11
6Shots inside box17
6Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed2
-0.19Goals prevented0.17
Attack
19Touches in box40
62Final third entries66
2Offsides0
13Free kicks5
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
369Passes425
282Accurate passes333
28/59 (47%)Long balls13/48 (27%)
3/25 (12%)Crosses9/30 (30%)
22Throw-ins22
Duels
54Duels46
41/75 (55%)Ground duels34/75 (45%)
21/39 (54%)Aerial duels18/39 (46%)
9/22 (41%)Dribbles10/15 (67%)
6Dispossessed14
Defending
19Tackles19
37Tackles won74
11Interceptions10
46Clearances38
47Recoveries48
Discipline
5Fouls13
0Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.78 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.47 @ Unibet
Who winsLeeds to win (DNB) 64% · 2.07 @ Betsson
1X2Brentford to win 35% · 3.02 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.19 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.09 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
1X2Leeds to win 37% · 2.90 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.56
Leeds United
3.38
Draw
2.71
Brentford
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Leeds United or Draw
1.29
Leeds United or Brentford
1.49
Draw or Brentford
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.63
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50
3.59
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.92
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50
1.34
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.20
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.95
Leeds United
1.77
Brentford
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.39
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.60
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50
2.01
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.19
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.34
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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