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Régis Le Bris
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fulham
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
764800 EUR · live
Home
1.05 · implied 95.2%
62.7%
-32.5 vs price
Draw
19.0 · implied 5.3%
19.5%
+14.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
17.9%
+17.8 vs price
Half time
1538 EUR · live
Draw
1.65 · implied 60.6%
65.1%
+4.5 vs price
Away
6.0 · implied 16.7%
24.9%
+8.2 vs price
Home
4.6 · implied 21.7%
10.0%
-11.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
118008 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.4%
-15.6 vs price
Over
300.0 · implied 0.3%
16.6%
+16.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5332 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
90.9%
-7.1 vs price
Over
60.0 · implied 1.7%
9.1%
+7.4 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
35'
J. Andersen · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
59'
C. Palacios · Foul
64'
🔁
W. Isidor ◂ B. Brobbey
65'
🔁
H. Diarra ◂ N. Angulo
68'
🔁
R. Sessegnon ◂ T. Castagne
68'
🔁
S. Charles ◂ O. Bobb
75'
⚽
W. Isidor · assist H. Diarra1–0
77'
🔁
E. Smith Rowe ◂ C. Palacios
83'
🔁
Kevin ◂ S. Berge
83'
🔁
C. Rigg ◂ H. Diarra
Full-time · 1–0
90'
🔁
R. Mundle ◂ E. Le Fée
Coaches
Álvaro Arbeloa 
Recent form
LAIpswich Town1-2
WHStade Rennais2-1
WHWrexham1-0
LALeeds United0-1
LALiverpool FC2-4
WHAFC Wimbledon3-0
LHChelsea2-3
WHVfB Stuttgart1-0
DAMálaga CF2-2
LHCrystal Palace1-2
Where to watch
Canal+ Live 3
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Sky Go
Play Sports 2
Nova Sport
Astro Premier League 3
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+YouTube - ESPN Brasil
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ Premium Sur
Sky GoSky Sport 7Sky Sport HD 7WOW
Viaplay
Disney+ Premium Sur
DAZNDAZN2 Spain
Canal+ Live 3
Sky Sports+
Viaplay
Arena Sport 6 HR
Sky Sports+
NOWSky Go
Sky GoSky Sport HD 7
Arena 4 Premium
Astro Premier League 3
Viaplay Netherlands
V Sport 1V Sport Premier LeagueViaplay
Disney+ Premium Chile
Canal+ Extra 5
DAZN4 Portugal
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Arena 4 Premium
V Sport 1Viaplay
NOWSky Go
beIN Sports 4
Peacock
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Disney+ Premium Sur
Match facts
Stadium
Stadium of Light
City
Sunderland
Kickoff
30 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Highlights & clips
22
R. Roefs
6.7
12
T. Meunier
6.9
20
N. Mukiele
8.1
5
D. Ballard
7.2
17
R. Mandava
7.2
34
G. Xhaka
8.5
27
N. Sadiki
7.3
32
T. Hume
6.8
14
R. Mundle
↑ 90'
19
H. Diarra
7.1
↑ 65'
18
W. Isidor
7.3
↑ 64'
1
B. Leno
5.9
30
R. Sessegnon
6.8
↑ 68'
5
J. Andersen
6.6
3
C. Bassey
6.8
33
A. Robinson
6.4
11
Kevin
6.5
↑ 83'
17
A. Iwobi
7.1
19
S. Charles
6.6
↑ 68'
24
J. King
5.9
32
E. Smith Rowe
6.5
↑ 77'
7
G. García
6.6
Substitutes
31GM. Ellborg
13DL. O'Nien
15DO. Alderete
10MN. Angulo↓ 65'6.9
28ME. Le Fée↓ 90'6.9
11MC. Rigg↑ 83'6.6
7MC. Talbi
29MJ. Ahoka
9FB. Brobbey↓ 64'6.7
Coach: Régis Le Bris
Substitutes
23GB. Lecomte
21DT. Castagne↓ 68'6.6
4DJ. Cuenca
8MC. Palacios↓ 77'6.5
14MO. Bobb↓ 68'6.4
16MS. Berge↓ 83'6.2
6MH. Reed
9FR. Muniz
35FM. Zepa
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Top stats
41%Possession59%
2.02Expected goals (xG)0.95
12Total shots11
4Shots on target0
4Big chances2
3Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target3
2Blocked shots8
9Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed2
0.0Goals prevented0.33
Attack
19Touches in box26
47Final third entries52
1Offsides1
15Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
390Passes560
326Accurate passes473
28/46 (61%)Long balls17/46 (37%)
8/18 (44%)Crosses4/18 (22%)
14Throw-ins22
Duels
56Duels44
34/65 (52%)Ground duels31/65 (48%)
22/35 (63%)Aerial duels13/35 (37%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles11/19 (58%)
3Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles11
54Tackles won36
7Interceptions7
39Clearances17
43Recoveries38
Discipline
10Fouls15
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves3
3Goal kicks9
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.50 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.16 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.43 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
1X2Fulham to win 32% · 3.25 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ 1xBet
Who winsSunderland to win (DNB) 54% · 1.68 @ Betsson
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.61 @ Unibet
1X2Sunderland to win 39% · 2.75 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.44
Sunderland
3.25
Draw
2.98
Fulham
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Sunderland or Draw
1.30
Sunderland or Fulham
1.55
Draw or Fulham
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
2.00
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.08
Over 2.50
1.79
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.51
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.75
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.67
Sunderland
2.10
Fulham
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.30
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.47
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.85
Over 11.50
1.31
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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