Hull City vs Aston Villa — live & stats

Where the money is

3663996 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 2529103 EUR · live

Away 90.0 · implied 1.1%

69.8%

+68.7 vs price

Draw 1.03 · implied 97.1%

21.3%

-75.8 vs price

Home 70.0 · implied 1.4%

8.9%

+7.5 vs price

Half time 3968 EUR

Draw 2.4 · implied 41.7%

46.4%

+4.7 vs price

Away 2.62 · implied 38.2%

29.9%

-8.2 vs price

Home 5.0 · implied 20.0%

23.6%

+3.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 373073 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

63.7%

-35.3 vs price

Over 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

36.3%

+36.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6912 EUR

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

89.4%

+1.6 vs price

Over 7.8 · implied 12.8%

10.6%

-2.2 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

39' S. Ajayi · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

63' 🔁 S. Thomas ◂ E. Stroud

64' 🔁 B. Norton-Cuffy ◂ L. Coyle

67' L. Gourna-Douath · Foul

71' 🔁 L. Herrington ◂ N. Mendy

75' 🔁 M. Ruggeri ◂ I. Maatsen

75' 🔁 A. Garnacho ◂ E. Buendía

75' 🔁 Alysson ◂ G. Hemmings

82' 🔁 M. Cho ◂ M. Belloumi

82' 🔁 J. Hjertø-Dahl ◂ L. Gourna-Douath

85' 🔁 A. Wan-Bissaka ◂ M. Cash

85' 🔁 T. Abraham ◂ N. Jackson

Full-time · 0–0

Coaches

Sergej Jakirović

Unai Emery

Recent form

Hull City

WACoventry City1-0

DAStoke City1-1

WHManchester United2-0

DHNice0-0

LAEintracht Frankfurt0-2

Aston Villa

LHArsenal0-1

LABrighton & Hove Albion0-4

LABorussia M'gladbach1-2

LAParis Saint-Germain1-2

LHFC Bayern München1-2

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 1

Match facts

Stadium

MKM Stadium

City

Hull

Referee

Michael Oliver

3.62 yellows/match · 66 matches

Kickoff

05 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Hull City 5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1 Aston Villa

19 K. Tzolakis 7.3 18 B. Norton-Cuffy 6.7 ↑ 64' 6 S. Ajayi 6.8 15 J. Egan 7.1 22 L. Herrington 6.7 ↑ 71' 3 R. Giles 7.3 14 J. Hjertø-Dahl 6.6 ↑ 82' 27 R. Slater 6.8 50 M. Cho 6.4 ↑ 82' 7 S. Thomas 6.6 ↑ 63' 9 O. McBurnie 7.0 1 Z. Suzuki 7.7 29 A. Wan-Bissaka 6.7 ↑ 85' 3 V. Lindelöf 7.9 5 T. Mings 7.3 13 M. Ruggeri 6.9 ↑ 75' 8 B. Kamara 7.1 6 R. Barkley 6.7 7 J. McGinn 6.2 47 Alysson 6.4 ↑ 75' 17 A. Garnacho 6.4 ↑ 75' 18 T. Abraham 6.5 ↑ 85'

Substitutes

12GD. Phillips 32DN. Mendy↓ 71'7.0 2DL. Coyle↓ 64'6.7 23DM. Targett 10MM. Belloumi↓ 82'7.1 29ML. Gourna-Douath↓ 82'7.0 21ME. Stroud↓ 63'6.4 36MC. Mouzakitis 47FR. Vaz

Coach: Sergej Jakirović

Substitutes

40GM. Bizot 22DI. Maatsen↓ 75'7.2 2DM. Cash↓ 85'6.5 14DP. Torres 53MG. Hemmings↓ 75'6.4 10ME. Buendía↓ 75'6.0 26ML. Bogarde 11FN. Jackson↓ 85'6.6 19FI. Mbaye

Coach: Unai Emery

Top stats

26%Possession74%

0.57Expected goals (xG)1.93

11Total shots13

4Shots on target1

1Big chances2

3Corners4

Shots

7Shots off target7

0Blocked shots5

4Shots inside box10

7Shots outside box3

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances missed2

0.08Goals prevented0.17

Attack

9Touches in box24

37Final third entries76

2Offsides2

5Free kicks10

0Fouled in final third3

Passing

229Passes694

167Accurate passes624

26/54 (48%)Long balls26/39 (67%)

2/21 (10%)Crosses1/12 (8%)

12Throw-ins15

Duels

55Duels45

29/53 (55%)Ground duels24/53 (45%)

17/31 (55%)Aerial duels14/31 (45%)

9/12 (75%)Dribbles8/15 (53%)

4Dispossessed9

Defending

16Tackles7

38Tackles won43

16Interceptions4

16Clearances18

34Recoveries42

Discipline

10Fouls5

2Yellow cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

1Big saves0

12Goal kicks7

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers

Hull 23%

27%

Aston Villa 50%

1X2Aston Villa to win 50% · 2.30 @ William Hill

Who winsAston Villa to win (DNB) 50% · 1.39 @ Bwin

1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Unibet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.20 @ 10bet

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.73 @ betfair

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.35 @ 10bet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.78 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.26 @ 1xBet

1X2Hull to win 23% · 4.15 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.10

Hull City

3.50

Draw

1.89

Aston Villa

Double Chanceconsensus

1.90

Hull City or Draw

1.25

Hull City or Aston Villa

1.22

Draw or Aston Villa

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.75

Yes

1.98

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

4.50

YES

1.17

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

2.60

YES

1.44

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

10.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.29

Over 1.50

3.48

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.90

Over 2.50

1.88

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.27

Over 3.50

1.31

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.35

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.00

Hull City

1.35

Aston Villa

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.32

Over 7.50

2.93

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.67

Over 8.50

2.18

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.05

Over 9.50

1.75

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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