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Matthias Jaissle
Newcastle United
Bournemouth
Newcastle United
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Bournemouth
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
3414541 EUR · live
Away
70.0 · implied 1.4%
63.7%
+62.3 vs price
Home
38.0 · implied 2.6%
19.5%
+16.8 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
16.8%
-78.4 vs price
Half time
23932 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.9%
-15.1 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.3%
+10.2 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
5.7%
+3.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
159645 EUR · live
Over
1.12 · implied 89.3%
55.5%
-33.8 vs price
Under
9.2 · implied 10.9%
44.5%
+33.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7470 EUR
Under
1.19 · implied 84.0%
85.6%
+1.5 vs price
Over
6.0 · implied 16.7%
14.4%
-2.2 vs price
20 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
9'
⚽
M. Tavernier0–1
28'
A. Elanga · Foul
35'
⚽
M. Thiaw0–2
37'
⚽
H. Barnes · assist L. Hall1–2
Half-time · 1–2
57'
Y. Wissa · Argument
63'
🔁
J. Ramsey ◂ L. Miley
63'
🔁
M. Fernández-Pardo ◂ J. Willock
66'
J. Kluivert · Foul
71'
M. Jaissle · Argument
76'
🔁
D. Brooks ◂ J. Kluivert
76'
🔁
L. Cook ◂ T. Adams
77'
🔁
S. Steur ◂ N. González
78'
🔁
J. Murphy ◂ A. Elanga
87'
A. Truffert · Foul
88'
⚽
J. Ramsey2–2
89'
🔁
B. Doak ◂ Rayan
89'
🔁
D. Jebbison ◂ M. Tavernier
Full-time · 2–2
90'
🔁
T. Livramento ◂ L. Hall
90'+4
A. Smith · Foul
90'+6
🔁
R. Christie ◂ A. Scott
Coaches
Marco Rose 
Recent form
WATottenham Hotspur2-0
WHWest Bromwich Albion3-2
DHLiverpool FC2-2
DHRC Strasbourg1-1
LHBayer 04 Leverkusen1-2
DHEverton1-1
LAManchester City1-2
LA1. FSV Mainz 051-2
DAReal Betis2-2
WHGenoa10-1
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Match facts
Stadium
St James' Park
City
Newcastle upon Tyne
Kickoff
05 Sep, 11:30 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Highlights & clips
21
L. Horníček
7.8
37
A. Dedić
6.0
12
M. Thiaw
5.7
4
S. Botman
7.0
2
T. Livramento
↑ 90'
14
S. Steur
6.7
↑ 77'
41
J. Ramsey
7.2
↑ 63'
23
J. Murphy
6.7
↑ 78'
20
M. Fernández-Pardo
6.4
↑ 63'
11
H. Barnes
7.6
9
Y. Wissa
6.5
1
Đ. Petrović
6.4
15
A. Smith
6.3
5
J. Hill
6.3
14
A. Silva
6.8
3
A. Truffert
6.2
4
L. Cook
6.2
↑ 76'
10
R. Christie
↑ 90'
11
B. Doak
6.6
↑ 89'
7
D. Brooks
6.3
↑ 76'
29
D. Jebbison
6.6
↑ 89'
9
Evanilson
6.5
Substitutes
1GN. Pope
3DL. Hall↓ 90'6.8
5DF. Schär
28MJ. Willock↓ 63'6.4
6MN. González↓ 77'6.3
67ML. Miley↓ 63'6.2
8MA. Bamba
17MB. Touré
19FA. Elanga↓ 78'6.7
Coach: Matthias Jaissle
Top stats
58%Possession42%
0.71Expected goals (xG)1.37
8Total shots17
2Shots on target5
1Big chances2
4Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots7
5Shots inside box9
3Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
0.0Goals prevented-0.33
Attack
20Touches in box23
38Final third entries64
1Offsides1
17Free kicks19
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
459Passes335
377Accurate passes256
26/63 (41%)Long balls18/47 (38%)
2/11 (18%)Crosses2/12 (17%)
18Throw-ins16
Duels
47Duels53
35/74 (47%)Ground duels39/74 (53%)
20/42 (48%)Aerial duels22/42 (52%)
13/20 (65%)Dribbles9/10 (90%)
5Dispossessed4
Defending
5Tackles12
40Tackles won42
6Interceptions8
13Clearances22
54Recoveries51
Discipline
19Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
4Saves0
7Goal kicks7
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.45 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 70% · 1.26 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.60 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.81 @ Unibet
Who winsNewcastle to win (DNB) 62% · 1.61 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 26% · 2.77 @ 1xBet
1X2Newcastle to win 45% · 2.45 @ William Hill
1X2Bournemouth to win 29% · 3.36 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.63 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 2.09 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
Newcastle United
3.68
Draw
3.25
Bournemouth
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Newcastle United or Draw
1.27
Newcastle United or Bournemouth
1.70
Draw or Bournemouth
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes
2.45
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.75
YES
1.15
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.16
Over 1.50
4.85
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.57
Over 2.50
2.35
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.40
Over 3.50
1.55
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.27
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.55
Newcastle United
2.38
Bournemouth
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50
4.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.25
Over 8.50
3.40
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.45
Over 9.50
2.55
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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