Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Newcastle host Hull in the Prem with the visitors riding a weird draws-and-losses streak.** St James' Park should be firmly in Magpies' favour, but Hull's stubborn 0-0 at Villa suggests they can grind it out. 🔧
Newcastle sit 3W-1D-1L and fired four past Leeds recently, while Hull's 1W-3D-1L record screams mid-table battler. The hosts are missing key players — Elanga, Burn, Joelinton, and Osula all out — but still field serious attacking intent. Hull's injury list is even grimmer with Hughes, Gyabi, Matazo, Morita, and Ansah unavailable.
Key storylines:
- **Newcastle's depth gets tested early**: without Burn and Elanga, they rely on Hall and Barnes in the wing slots — this could slow their transitions.
- **Hull's 4D-1L run shows resilience over sparkle**: they've drawn with Chelsea and Villa, but **McBurnie** and **Belloumi** will struggle to convert chances against **Botman** and **Thiaw**.
- **Head-to-head split favour draws** (4 in last 9), but form edge goes Newcastle — especially at home.
Expected lineups:
- **Newcastle United**: Horníček, Botman, Thiaw, Schär, Hall, Willock, Miley, Barnes, Ramsey, Wissa, Murphy
- **Hull City**: Tzolakis, Giles, Egan, Ajayi, Coyle, Slater, Gourna-Douath, Thomas, Crooks, Belloumi, McBurnie
Prediction:
**Newcastle 2–0 Hull**. Magpies edge past a stubborn but exhausted visiting side. 🎯
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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