Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland.

90+2'

J. Kluivert

Attempt missed. J. Kluivert (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

90+1'

J. Kluivert

Attempt missed. J. Kluivert (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

90'

J. Kluivert

Attempt blocked. J. Kluivert (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

89'

T. Adams

Substitution, Bournemouth: B. Diakité comes on for T. Adams.

89'

Rayan

Substitution, Bournemouth: B. Doak comes on for Rayan.

86'

Rayan

Attempt blocked. Rayan (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

82'

A. Adli

Attempt missed. A. Adli (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.

80'

T. Hume

Attempt missed. T. Hume (Sunderland), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

79'

R. Christie

Yellow card for R. Christie (Bournemouth) for foul.

79'

Evanilson

Substitution, Bournemouth: Á. Rodriguez comes on for Evanilson.

79'

M. Tavernier

Substitution, Bournemouth: A. Adli comes on for M. Tavernier.

73'

E. Le Fée

Attempt missed. E. Le Fée (Sunderland), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

72'

A. Truffert

Attempt missed. A. Truffert (Bournemouth), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

69'

Evanilson

Attempt missed. Evanilson (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

65'

C. Rigg

Yellow card for C. Rigg (Sunderland) for foul.

65'

C. Rigg

Substitution, Sunderland: J. Ahoka comes on for C. Rigg.

62'

R. Christie

Attempt missed. R. Christie (Bournemouth), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

62'

L. Cook

Substitution, Bournemouth: J. Kluivert comes on for L. Cook.

61'

Rayan

Attempt blocked. Rayan (Bournemouth), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

61'

M. Tavernier

Attempt saved. M. Tavernier (Bournemouth), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.53.

59'

T. Tuterov

Substitution, Sunderland: H. Diarra comes on for T. Tuterov.

59'

O. Alderete

Substitution, Sunderland: L. O'Nien comes on for O. Alderete.

57'

R. Christie

Attempt blocked. R. Christie (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

53'

L. Cook

Attempt blocked. L. Cook (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

52'

Evanilson

Attempt missed. Evanilson (Bournemouth), header. xG 0.11.

52'

R. Christie

Attempt blocked. R. Christie (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

48'

Evanilson

Goal! Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland. Evanilson (Bournemouth) scores.

46'

Rayan

Attempt missed. Rayan (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Bournemouth 1-0 Sunderland.

45+6'

L. Cook

Yellow card for L. Cook (Bournemouth) for foul.

45+1'

Rayan

Attempt saved. Rayan (Bournemouth), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

45+1'

Evanilson

Attempt missed. Evanilson (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45'

6 minutes of added time.

43'

Rayan

Attempt missed. Rayan (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

40'

O. Alderete

Yellow card for O. Alderete (Sunderland) for foul.

37'

Rayan

Attempt saved. Rayan (Bournemouth), header from a corner. xG 0.12.

33'

Evanilson

Attempt blocked. Evanilson (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

32'

Rayan

Attempt saved. Rayan (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

32'

A. Smith

Attempt missed. A. Smith (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.59.

26'

A. Silva

Yellow card for A. Silva (Bournemouth) for foul.

22'

J. Hill

Attempt missed. J. Hill (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

22'

J. Hill

Attempt missed. J. Hill (Bournemouth), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

20'

M. Tavernier

Attempt missed. M. Tavernier (Bournemouth), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

17'

K. Danso

Red card! K. Danso (Sunderland) is sent off for professional foul last man.

10'

K. Danso

Attempt missed. K. Danso (Sunderland), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

6'

M. Tavernier

Goal! Bournemouth 1-0 Sunderland. M. Tavernier (Bournemouth) scores, assisted by Evanilson.

2'

T. Adams

Attempt missed. T. Adams (Bournemouth), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.10.

2'

Evanilson

Attempt blocked. Evanilson (Bournemouth), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Bournemouth vs Sunderland.

Where the money is

1796782 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1140663 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

84.7%

-14.3 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

9.7%

+9.6 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.6%

+5.5 vs price

Half time 4255 EUR · live

Draw 11.5 · implied 8.7%

54.9%

+46.2 vs price

Home 1.09 · implied 91.7%

40.2%

-51.5 vs price

Away 34.0 · implied 2.9%

4.9%

+1.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 324813 EUR · live

Under 1.09 · implied 91.7%

65.7%

-26.1 vs price

Over 8.2 · implied 12.2%

34.4%

+22.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2533 EUR · live

Under 1.13 · implied 88.5%

67.1%

-21.4 vs price

Over 9.6 · implied 10.4%

32.9%

+22.5 vs price

17 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

6' ⚽ M. Tavernier · assist Evanilson1–0

17' K. Danso · Professional foul last man

26' A. Silva · Foul

40' O. Alderete · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺⁶ L. Cook · Foul

48' ⚽ Evanilson2–0

59' 🔁 L. O'Nien ◂ O. Alderete

59' 🔁 H. Diarra ◂ T. Tuterov

62' 🔁 J. Kluivert ◂ L. Cook

65' 🔁 J. Ahoka ◂ C. Rigg

65' C. Rigg · Foul

79' 🔁 A. Adli ◂ M. Tavernier

79' 🔁 Á. Rodriguez ◂ Evanilson

79' R. Christie · Foul

89' 🔁 B. Doak ◂ Rayan

89' 🔁 B. Diakité ◂ T. Adams

Full-time · 2–0

Coaches

Marco Rose

Régis Le Bris

Recent form

Bournemouth

WHSK Sturm Graz3-0

LAChelsea1-5

LHLiverpool FC0-1

WAReal Sociedad2-1

DHBrentford2-2

Sunderland

WATorreense2-1

LHBrighton & Hove Albion0-2

LAManchester City3-5

WHAZ Alkmaar1-0

LHArsenal0-2

About this match

**Bournemouth's high-octane attack meets Sunderland's injury-ravaged backline** — this should be a proper showcase for the hosts. 🏟️

Bournemouth are mixing decent form (2W in five) with some rough defeats, while Sunderland sit lower on the table and are dealing with a hamstring crisis in their defence. The Cherries' attacking depth should have enough to exploit a stretched visiting side.

Key storylines:

- **Evanilson and Rayan** leading Bournemouth's front line against a Sunderland defence minus four key players (Brobbey, Ballard, Diarra, Mundle)
- **G. Xhaka's midfield battle** — Sunderland need to control tempo, but their backline is stretched thin
- Home advantage at the Vitality with fresh legs — Bournemouth have won twice recently and smell blood 🔪

Expected lineups:

- **Bournemouth**: Petrović, Smith, Silva, Hill, Truffert, Adams, Christie, Tavernier, Cook, Rayan, Evanilson
- **Sunderland**: Ellborg, Meunier, Mandava, Hume, Mukiele, Sadiki, Xhaka, Roefs, Le Fée, Bi, Isidor

Prediction:

**Bournemouth 3–1 Sunderland**

The hosts should cruise here — attacking firepower on show, and Sunderland's injury list is simply too long to hold the line.

Where to watch

Canal+ Live 2

Match facts

Stadium

Vitality Stadium

City

Bournemouth

Referee

Craig Pawson

3.62 yellows/match · 40 matches

Kickoff

18 Oct, 13:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Bournemouth 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1 Sunderland

1 Đ. Petrović 6.3 15 A. Smith 6.9 5 J. Hill 8.4 14 A. Silva 7.9 3 A. Truffert 6.8 18 B. Diakité 6.7 ↑ 89' 11 B. Doak 6.9 ↑ 89' 10 R. Christie 7.0 19 J. Kluivert 6.2 ↑ 62' 21 A. Adli 6.2 ↑ 79' 30 Á. Rodriguez 6.4 ↑ 79' 22 R. Roefs 7.4 20 N. Mukiele 7.6 4 K. Danso 3.0 13 L. O'Nien 7.0 ↑ 59' 17 R. Mandava 6.2 34 G. Xhaka 7.3 27 N. Sadiki 6.4 32 T. Hume 6.8 29 J. Ahoka 6.7 ↑ 65' 28 E. Le Fée 6.6 19 H. Diarra 6.5 ↑ 59'

Substitutes

20GM. Di Gregorio 6DJ. Soler 37MRayan↓ 89'7.8 4ML. Cook↓ 62'7.7 12MT. Adams↓ 89'7.6 16MM. Tavernier↓ 79'6.7 24MJ. Sánchez 7MD. Brooks 9FEvanilson↓ 79'8.9

Coach: Marco Rose

Substitutes

31GM. Ellborg 15DO. Alderete↓ 59'5.7 11MC. Rigg↓ 65'6.6 6MD. Methalie 7MC. Talbi 10MN. Angulo 39MM. Fofana 57FT. Tuterov↓ 59'6.4 50FJ. Angulo

Coach: Régis Le Bris

Top stats

65%Possession35%

4.23Expected goals (xG)0.07

29Total shots3

6Shots on target0

6Big chances1

5Corners3

Shots

15Shots off target3

8Blocked shots0

21Shots inside box2

8Shots outside box1

2Big chances scored0

4Big chances missed1

0.0Goals prevented0.89

Attack

56Touches in box14

79Final third entries73

1Offsides2

7Free kicks16

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

573Passes309

478Accurate passes195

32/67 (48%)Long balls15/68 (22%)

7/27 (26%)Crosses4/16 (25%)

15Throw-ins16

Duels

50Duels50

20/50 (40%)Ground duels30/50 (60%)

26/42 (62%)Aerial duels16/42 (38%)

3/7 (43%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)

7Dispossessed5

Defending

10Tackles11

80Tackles won55

4Interceptions7

34Clearances38

55Recoveries45

Discipline

16Fouls7

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

0Saves4

0Big saves1

7Goal kicks14

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Bournemouth 45%

28%

Sunderland 28%

Who winsBournemouth to win (DNB) 66% · 1.58 @ Betsson

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 28% · 2.53 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.25 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.10 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.50 @ 1xBet

1X2Bournemouth to win 45% · 2.40 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ Bet365

1X2Sunderland to win 28% · 3.64 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.57 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

Bournemouth

3.42

Draw

3.50

Sunderland

Double Chanceconsensus

1.29

Bournemouth or Draw

1.29

Bournemouth or Sunderland

1.73

Draw or Sunderland

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.00

Yes

1.75

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.60

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.78

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.86

Over 2.50

1.95

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.10

Over 3.50

1.33

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.97

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.52

Bournemouth

2.40

Sunderland

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.22

Over 7.50

3.48

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.44

Over 8.50

2.51

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.78

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.25

Over 10.50

1.57

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.99

Over 11.50

1.31

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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