Fulham 1-0 Hull City: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 17, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Fulham 1-0 Hull City.

90+7'

R. Vaz

Substitution, Hull City: ? comes on for R. Vaz.

90+4'

R. Sessegnon

Red card! R. Sessegnon (Fulham) is sent off for foul.

90+3'

T. Cairney

Attempt saved. T. Cairney (Fulham), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

90+1'

M. Belloumi

Attempt missed. M. Belloumi (Hull City), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

85'

G. García

Substitution, Fulham: C. Palacios comes on for G. García.

84'

S. Berge

Yellow card for S. Berge (Fulham) for foul.

83'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

79'

M. Belloumi

Attempt missed. M. Belloumi (Hull City), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

78'

O. Bobb

Attempt missed. O. Bobb (Fulham), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

78'

J. King

Substitution, Fulham: R. Sessegnon comes on for J. King.

78'

O. Bobb

Substitution, Fulham: T. Cairney comes on for O. Bobb.

75'

R. Slater

Substitution, Hull City: H. Morita comes on for R. Slater.

74'

G. García

Off the woodwork! G. García (Fulham), header. xG 0.47.

74'

O. Bobb

Attempt missed. O. Bobb (Fulham), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

74'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

73'

S. Charles

Attempt blocked. S. Charles (Fulham), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

73'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

70'

A. Iwobi

Attempt missed. A. Iwobi (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

68'

M. Crooks

Substitution, Hull City: R. Vaz comes on for M. Crooks.

68'

S. Thomas

Substitution, Hull City: J. Gelhardt comes on for S. Thomas.

68'

B. Norton-Cuffy

Substitution, Hull City: R. Giles comes on for B. Norton-Cuffy.

61'

L. Coyle

Attempt missed. L. Coyle (Hull City), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

58'

A. Iwobi

Attempt saved. A. Iwobi (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.45.

53'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

53'

J. King

Attempt saved. J. King (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

52'

Hull City

Corner, Hull City.

46'

L. Herrington

Substitution, Hull City: T. Iroegbunam comes on for L. Herrington.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Fulham 1-0 Hull City.

45+1'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

R. Slater

Attempt missed. R. Slater (Hull City), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

42'

J. King

Attempt saved. J. King (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

41'

A. Iwobi

Attempt missed. A. Iwobi (Fulham), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

40'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

40'

O. Bobb

Attempt blocked. O. Bobb (Fulham), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

39'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

39'

C. Bassey

Attempt missed. C. Bassey (Fulham), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

33'

A. Iwobi

Goal! Fulham 1-0 Hull City. A. Iwobi (Fulham) scores, assisted by S. Berge.

31'

Hull City

Offside, Hull City.

30'

Hull City

Corner, Hull City.

29'

Fulham

Offside, Fulham.

27'

R. Slater

Yellow card for R. Slater (Hull City) for foul.

27'

J. King

Yellow card for J. King (Fulham) for foul.

26'

M. Belloumi

Attempt blocked. M. Belloumi (Hull City), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

25'

S. Berge

Attempt blocked. S. Berge (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

23'

O. Bobb

Attempt saved. O. Bobb (Fulham), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

22'

L. Herrington

Yellow card for L. Herrington (Hull City) for foul.

21'

Hull City

Offside, Hull City.

18'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

16'

J. King

Attempt blocked. J. King (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

8'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

7'

O. Bobb

Attempt blocked. O. Bobb (Fulham), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

6'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

3'

A. Iwobi

Attempt blocked. A. Iwobi (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Fulham vs Hull City.

Where the money is

1154055 EUR matched · captured 4 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 802181 EUR · live

Home 1.02 · implied 98.0%

85.0%

-13.1 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

8.5%

+8.4 vs price

Draw 60.0 · implied 1.7%

6.5%

+4.9 vs price

Half time 3296 EUR · live

Home 3.0 · implied 33.3%

44.0%

+10.7 vs price

Draw 1.79 · implied 55.9%

33.1%

-22.8 vs price

Away 9.0 · implied 11.1%

22.9%

+11.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 67417 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

66.1%

-32.9 vs price

Over 110.0 · implied 0.9%

33.9%

+33.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 11703 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

97.9%

-0.2 vs price

Over 70.0 · implied 1.4%

2.1%

+0.7 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

22' L. Herrington · Foul

27' R. Slater · Foul

27' J. King · Foul

33' ⚽ A. Iwobi · assist S. Berge1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 T. Iroegbunam ◂ L. Herrington

68' 🔁 R. Giles ◂ B. Norton-Cuffy

68' 🔁 J. Gelhardt ◂ S. Thomas

68' 🔁 R. Vaz ◂ M. Crooks

75' 🔁 H. Morita ◂ R. Slater

78' 🔁 T. Cairney ◂ O. Bobb

78' 🔁 R. Sessegnon ◂ J. King

84' S. Berge · Foul

85' 🔁 C. Palacios ◂ G. García

Full-time · 1–0

90'⁺⁴ R. Sessegnon · Foul

90'⁺⁷ 🔁 ◂ R. Vaz

Coaches

Álvaro Arbeloa

Sergej Jakirović

Recent form

Fulham

LAIpswich Town1-2

DHManchester United1-1

WAWest Ham United3-2

DALiverpool FC0-0

LHCrystal Palace2-3

Hull City

DHEverton2-2

LANewcastle United1-2

DAChelsea2-2

LASunderland0-1

DHAston Villa0-0

About this match

**Fulham's been scrappy but dangerous at home; Hull's defensive setup is built to frustrate.** This is textbook "low block vs attacking intent" theatre, and Craven Cottage usually tilts that ledger in favour of the hosts. 🏟️

Fulham's mixed run (1W 2D 2L) keeps them dangerous—they've nicked wins on the road and drawn with the big boys. Hull, meanwhile, are drawing everything (3D in their last 5) and rarely finding that killer moment, which screams they'll sit deep and hope for set-piece magic.

Key storylines:

- **Fulham's midfield creativity vs Hull's five-at-the-back wall** — with **Berge** and **Charles** orchestrating, the hosts should have enough angles to unpick a stubborn defence.

- **Hull's injury pile** — **Hughes**, **Gyabi**, **Matazo**, **Ansah**, and **Buttal** all out leaves them stretched; their back five will earn every inch.

- **García's finishing** — the striker's been involved in Fulham's best moments; needs service in transition to punish Hull's counter-threat.

Expected lineups:

- **Fulham**: Leno, Sessegnon, Bassey, Andersen, Castagne, Charles, Berge, Iwobi, King, Bobb, García

- **Hull City**: Tzolakis, Egan, Ajayi, Mendy, Giles, Coyle, Stroud, Slater, Gourna-Douath, Norton-Cuffy, McBurnie

Prediction:

**Fulham 2–0 Hull City** — Home comforts and a lighter injury load edge the Cottagers clear. 📌

Where to watch

TODbeIN SPORTS 4

Match facts

Stadium

Craven Cottage

City

London

Referee

Chris Kavanagh

4.37 yellows/match · 82 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Fulham 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1 Hull City

1 B. Leno 6.7 21 T. Castagne 7.6 22 D. Affengruber 7.4 3 C. Bassey 7.8 33 A. Robinson 6.7 16 S. Berge 6.8 19 S. Charles 7.7 30 R. Sessegnon 6.6 ↑ 78' 10 T. Cairney 7.1 ↑ 78' 17 A. Iwobi 9.7 8 C. Palacios 6.8 ↑ 85' 19 K. Tzolakis 6.0 2 L. Coyle 6.8 6 S. Ajayi 6.5 15 J. Egan 7.6 42 T. Iroegbunam 6.5 ↑ 46' 3 R. Giles 6.9 ↑ 68' 10 M. Belloumi 7.0 11 J. Gelhardt 6.1 ↑ 68' 5 H. Morita 6.8 ↑ 75' 47 R. Vaz 6.5 ↑ 68' 9 O. McBurnie 6.4

Substitutes

23GB. Lecomte 2DK. Tete 5DJ. Andersen 24MJ. King↓ 78'7.5 14MO. Bobb↓ 78'7.0 20MM. Á. Morán 11MKevin 7FG. García↓ 85'6.2 9FR. Muniz

Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa

Substitutes

12GD. Phillips 22DL. Herrington↓ 46'6.8 17DP. McNair 7MS. Thomas↓ 68'6.6 27MR. Slater↓ 75'6.6 25MM. Crooks↓ 68'6.5 18MB. Norton-Cuffy↓ 68'6.4 21ME. Stroud 14MJ. Hjertø-Dahl

Coach: Sergej Jakirović

Top stats

77%Possession23%

1.38Expected goals (xG)0.16

18Total shots5

6Shots on target0

4Big chances0

10Corners2

Shots

6Shots off target4

6Blocked shots1

13Shots inside box1

5Shots outside box4

1Hit woodwork0

4Big chances missed0

0.0Goals prevented-0.46

Attack

54Touches in box8

68Final third entries39

1Offsides2

11Free kicks13

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

752Passes225

682Accurate passes143

21/36 (58%)Long balls15/54 (28%)

5/26 (19%)Crosses0/8 (0%)

26Throw-ins14

Duels

55Duels45

42/78 (54%)Ground duels36/78 (46%)

12/20 (60%)Aerial duels8/20 (40%)

15/25 (60%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)

9Dispossessed10

Defending

16Tackles19

50Tackles won58

6Interceptions4

23Clearances33

45Recoveries41

Discipline

13Fouls11

2Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves5

4Goal kicks9

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Fulham 55%

24%

Hull 21%

1X2Fulham to win 55% · 2.05 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.32 @ 1xBet

Who winsFulham to win (DNB) 62% · 1.28 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.30 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 24% · 2.81 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.44 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.85 @ betfair

1X2Hull to win 21% · 4.85 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.62

Fulham

3.80

Draw

5.12

Hull City

Double Chanceconsensus

1.17

Fulham or Draw

1.23

Fulham or Hull City

2.20

Draw or Hull City

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.73

Yes

2.02

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

9.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.27

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.73

Over 2.50

2.10

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.78

Over 3.50

1.44

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.30

Over 4.50

1.15

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.25

Fulham

3.62

Hull City

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.15

Over 7.50

4.97

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.31

Over 8.50

3.33

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.56

Over 9.50

2.40

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.97

Over 10.50

1.83

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.40

Over 11.50

1.57

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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