Manchester City 3-2 Ipswich Town: Stats & xG – Oct 17, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Manchester City 3-2 Ipswich Town.

90+12'

L. Davis

Yellow card for L. Davis (Ipswich Town) for foul.

90+11'

E. Haaland

Attempt blocked. E. Haaland (Manchester City), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

90+10'

Ipswich Town

Corner, Ipswich Town.

90+7'

Ipswich Town

Offside, Ipswich Town.

90+7'

J. Gvardiol

Yellow card for J. Gvardiol (Manchester City) for foul.

90+6'

I. Ndiaye

Attempt missed. I. Ndiaye (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+1'

J. Greaves

Substitution, Ipswich Town: J. Clarke comes on for J. Greaves.

90'

12 minutes of added time.

90'

Z. Flemming

Goal! Manchester City 3-2 Ipswich Town. Z. Flemming (Ipswich Town) converts the penalty.

88'

A. F. Issahaku

VAR: no penalty for Ipswich Town.

87'

Manchester City

Offside, Manchester City.

85'

E. Fernández

Attempt saved. E. Fernández (Manchester City), right-footed shot. xG 0.41.

85'

I. Ndiaye

Off the woodwork! I. Ndiaye (Manchester City), right-footed shot. xG 0.72.

85'

I. Ndiaye

Attempt missed. I. Ndiaye (Manchester City), header. xG 0.28.

85'

E. Haaland

VAR check complete: the goal for Manchester City stands.

84'

Manchester City

Offside, Manchester City.

84'

Manchester City

Offside, Manchester City.

80'

Ipswich Town

Offside, Ipswich Town.

80'

Z. Flemming

Attempt saved. Z. Flemming (Ipswich Town), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

78'

Emersonn

Substitution, Ipswich Town: Z. Flemming comes on for Emersonn.

78'

J. Enciso

Substitution, Ipswich Town: C. Akpom comes on for J. Enciso.

77'

P. Foden

Substitution, Manchester City: E. Anderson comes on for P. Foden.

77'

J. Doku

Substitution, Manchester City: A. Semenyo comes on for J. Doku.

76'

M. Nunes

Substitution, Manchester City: A. Khusanov comes on for M. Nunes.

73'

A. Ouattara

Yellow card for A. Ouattara (Ipswich Town) for off the ball foul.

71'

F. Luís

Substitution, Ipswich Town: A. Matusiwa comes on for F. Luís.

71'

D. Maeda

Substitution, Ipswich Town: A. F. Issahaku comes on for D. Maeda.

69'

E. Haaland

Goal! Manchester City 3-1 Ipswich Town. E. Haaland (Manchester City) scores, assisted by I. Ndiaye.

67'

Emersonn

Attempt missed. Emersonn (Ipswich Town), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

64'

E. Fernández

Attempt missed. E. Fernández (Manchester City), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

61'

N. O’Reilly

Substitution, Manchester City: J. Gvardiol comes on for N. O’Reilly.

60'

Ipswich Town

Offside, Ipswich Town.

57'

P. Foden

Attempt blocked. P. Foden (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

56'

Manchester City

Corner, Manchester City.

56'

N. O’Reilly

Attempt missed. N. O’Reilly (Manchester City), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

55'

Emersonn

Attempt missed. Emersonn (Ipswich Town), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

55'

Ipswich Town

Corner, Ipswich Town.

54'

Ipswich Town

Corner, Ipswich Town.

52'

A. Ouattara

Attempt missed. A. Ouattara (Ipswich Town), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

50'

M. Kovačić

Substitution, Manchester City: E. Fernández comes on for M. Kovačić.

49'

J. Greaves

Attempt missed. J. Greaves (Ipswich Town), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

48'

Ipswich Town

Corner, Ipswich Town.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Manchester City 2-1 Ipswich Town.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

43'

R. Dias

Attempt saved. R. Dias (Manchester City), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

40'

I. Ndiaye

Attempt blocked. I. Ndiaye (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

40'

J. Doku

Attempt blocked. J. Doku (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

34'

E. Haaland

Goal! Manchester City 2-1 Ipswich Town. E. Haaland (Manchester City) scores, assisted by M. Kovačić.

34'

E. Haaland

Attempt blocked. E. Haaland (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

33'

E. Haaland

Attempt blocked. E. Haaland (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

33'

Manchester City

Corner, Manchester City.

29'

Emersonn

Attempt missed. Emersonn (Ipswich Town), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

25'

Ipswich Town

Offside, Ipswich Town.

23'

P. Foden

Attempt missed. P. Foden (Manchester City), header. xG 0.04.

21'

D. Maeda

Goal! Manchester City 1-1 Ipswich Town. D. Maeda (Ipswich Town) scores, assisted by A. Ouattara.

19'

P. Foden

Goal! Manchester City 1-0 Ipswich Town. P. Foden (Manchester City) scores, assisted by J. Doku.

17'

R. Dias

Attempt saved. R. Dias (Manchester City), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

9'

Ipswich Town

Offside, Ipswich Town.

6'

R. Dias

Attempt missed. R. Dias (Manchester City), header from a set piece. xG 0.17.

1'

Kick-off: Manchester City vs Ipswich Town.

Where the money is

4310749 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3108620 EUR · live

Home 1.04 · implied 96.2%

93.9%

-2.3 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.2%

+3.1 vs price

Draw 28.0 · implied 3.6%

3.0%

-0.6 vs price

Half time 24995 EUR · live

Home 2.18 · implied 45.9%

94.2%

+48.3 vs price

Draw 2.26 · implied 44.2%

3.5%

-40.8 vs price

Away 11.5 · implied 8.7%

2.3%

-6.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 178062 EUR · live

Over 1.07 · implied 93.5%

87.7%

-5.7 vs price

Under 16.0 · implied 6.2%

12.3%

+6.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 15219 EUR · live

Under 2.3 · implied 43.5%

63.4%

+19.9 vs price

Over 1.76 · implied 56.8%

36.6%

-20.2 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

19' ⚽ P. Foden · assist J. Doku1–0

21' ⚽ D. Maeda · assist A. Ouattara1–1

34' ⚽ E. Haaland · assist M. Kovačić2–1

Half-time · 2–1

50' 🔁 E. Fernández ◂ M. Kovačić

61' 🔁 J. Gvardiol ◂ N. O’Reilly

69' ⚽ E. Haaland · assist I. Ndiaye3–1

71' 🔁 A. F. Issahaku ◂ D. Maeda

71' 🔁 A. Matusiwa ◂ F. Luís

73' A. Ouattara · Off the ball foul

76' 🔁 A. Khusanov ◂ M. Nunes

77' 🔁 A. Semenyo ◂ J. Doku

77' 🔁 E. Anderson ◂ P. Foden

78' 🔁 C. Akpom ◂ J. Enciso

78' 🔁 Z. Flemming ◂ Emersonn

85' VAR Goal not given after review · E. Haaland

88' VAR Penalty check · A. F. Issahaku

Full-time · 3–2

90' ⚽ Z. Flemming (pen)3–2

90'⁺¹ 🔁 J. Clarke ◂ J. Greaves

90'⁺⁷ J. Gvardiol · Foul

90'⁺¹² L. Davis · Foul

Coaches

Enzo Maresca

Gary O'Neil

Recent form

Manchester City

LHParis Saint-Germain2-4

WALiverpool FC3-0

WHSunderland5-3

WHNorwich City5-0

WAManchester United1-0

Ipswich Town

WHFulham2-1

LAEverton0-1

LHArsenal2-4

WACrystal Palace3-2

LHLiverpool FC0-2

About this match

**City are absolutely rolling, and Ipswich are about to run into a buzz saw.** Manchester City's last five reads like a highlights reel—three wins including a demolition of Liverpool—while Ipswich are treading water with just two wins in their last five. 🔵

City are missing **Phil Foden** to suspension, but **Erling Haaland** and the rest of their attack more than compensate. Ipswich have shown fight (beat Fulham recently) but lack the quality to withstand this level of sustained pressure.

Key storylines:

- **Erling Haaland** continues his hunt for goals against a fragile Ipswich defense that's been carved open by better teams
- Manchester City's midfield depth—**Rodri Cherki**, **E. Anderson**, **E. Fernández**—should dominate possession and tempo
- **Ipswich's back line** featuring **Diop** and **O'Shea** will be tested constantly; one lapse could snowball quickly

Expected lineups:

- **Manchester City**: Donnarumma, Gvardiol, Dias, Guéhi, Nunes, Anderson, Fernández, Semenyo, Cherki, Allan, Haaland
- **Ipswich Town**: Walton, Davis, O'Shea, Diop, Furlong, Lukić, Núñez, Maeda, Enciso, Issahaku, Emersonn

Prediction:

**Manchester City 4-0 Ipswich Town**

City's attacking depth and Ipswich's defensive fragility point to a comfortable home win. 🎯

Where to watch

TODbeIN SPORTS 1beIN SPORTS ENGLISH 1

Match facts

Stadium

Etihad Stadium

City

Manchester

Referee

Farai Hallam

3.66 yellows/match · 67 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Manchester City 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1 Ipswich Town

1 G. Donnarumma 6.2 45 A. Khusanov 6.3 ↑ 76' 3 R. Dias 6.7 6 M. Guéhi 7.0 24 J. Gvardiol 6.2 ↑ 61' 17 E. Fernández 7.6 ↑ 50' 32 A. Bouaddi 7.3 7 I. Ndiaye 6.3 5 E. Anderson 6.8 ↑ 77' 42 A. Semenyo 6.5 ↑ 77' 9 E. Haaland 9.9 28 C. Walton 6.3 26 D. O'Shea 7.4 6 I. Diop 6.2 47 J. Clarke 6.7 ↑ 90' 42 A. Ouattara 6.5 5 A. Matusiwa 6.9 ↑ 71' 25 E. Palacios 6.8 3 L. Davis 6.8 7 A. F. Issahaku 7.5 ↑ 71' 29 C. Akpom 6.8 ↑ 78' 9 Z. Flemming 6.9 ↑ 78'

Substitutes

28GG. Rulli 27DM. Nunes↓ 76'6.9 33DN. O’Reilly↓ 61'6.1 21DR. Aït-Nouri 47MP. Foden↓ 77'8.2 8MM. Kovačić↓ 50'7.3 11MJ. Doku↓ 77'7.2 10MR. Cherki 37MAllan

Coach: Enzo Maresca

Substitutes

37GK. Scherpen 24DJ. Greaves↓ 90'6.5 2DD. Furlong 4DC. Kipré 12MF. Luís↓ 71'6.6 10MJ. Enciso↓ 78'6.2 11MJ. Philogene-Bidace 38FD. Maeda↓ 71'7.2 19FEmersonn↓ 78'6.6

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Top stats

70%Possession30%

3.53Expected goals (xG)1.66

19Total shots8

6Shots on target3

6Big chances3

2Corners3

Shots

7Shots off target5

6Blocked shots1

15Shots inside box7

4Shots outside box1

1Hit woodwork0

3Big chances scored2

3Big chances missed1

-0.2Goals prevented-1.44

Attack

40Touches in box15

85Final third entries39

2Offsides5

16Free kicks7

6Fouled in final third2

Passing

745Passes313

674Accurate passes253

27/51 (53%)Long balls25/51 (49%)

6/18 (33%)Crosses5/15 (33%)

16Throw-ins8

Duels

48Duels52

39/80 (49%)Ground duels41/80 (51%)

9/20 (45%)Aerial duels11/20 (55%)

8/14 (57%)Dribbles5/16 (31%)

22Dispossessed5

Defending

16Tackles28

63Tackles won39

5Interceptions12

12Clearances25

48Recoveries57

Discipline

8Fouls16

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

0Big saves2

7Goal kicks6

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Man City 77%

14%

Ipswich 9%

1X2Man City to win 77% · 1.55 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 70% · 3.00 @ William Hill

Who winsMan City to win (DNB) 77% · 1.09 @ Betano

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.65 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.36 @ betfair

BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.40 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 14% · 3.60 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.93 @ 1xBet

1X2Ipswich to win 9% · 7.50 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.23

Manchester City

6.92

Draw

10.22

Ipswich Town

Double Chanceconsensus

1.06

Manchester City or Draw

1.12

Manchester City or Ipswich Town

3.90

Draw or Ipswich Town

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.68

Yes

2.10

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.15

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

21.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

24.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.08

Over 1.50

6.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.35

Over 2.50

3.20

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.92

Over 3.50

1.89

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.12

Over 4.50

1.35

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.08

Manchester City

7.50

Ipswich Town

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.17

Over 7.50

4.15

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.34

Over 8.50

2.94

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.55

Over 9.50

2.25

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.95

Over 10.50

1.81

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.45

Over 11.50

1.50

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Manchester City to win or draw

✓

91% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

86% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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