Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal.

90+3'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

90+3'

L. Delap

Attempt blocked. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

90+2'

Murillo

Attempt missed. Murillo (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

C. Wood

Attempt blocked. C. Wood (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.

85'

Jair

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: C. Wood comes on for Jair.

85'

J. McAtee

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: C. Hudson Odoi comes on for J. McAtee.

82'

M. Merino

Attempt blocked. M. Merino (Arsenal), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

80'

N. Madueke

Goal! Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal. N. Madueke (Arsenal) scores, assisted by D. Rice.

79'

V. Gyökeres

Attempt missed. V. Gyökeres (Arsenal), header. xG 0.08.

74'

N. Domínguez

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: I. Sangaré comes on for N. Domínguez.

73'

D. Ndoye

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: A. Kalimuendo comes on for D. Ndoye.

73'

Nottingham Forest

Offside, Nottingham Forest.

72'

D. Rice

Attempt missed. D. Rice (Arsenal), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

69'

L. Delap

Attempt saved. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

68'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

67'

G. Magalhães

Attempt missed. G. Magalhães (Arsenal), header from a corner. xG 0.19.

66'

B. White

Substitution, Arsenal: J. Timber comes on for B. White.

66'

K. Havertz

Substitution, Arsenal: V. Gyökeres comes on for K. Havertz.

66'

B. Guimarães

Substitution, Arsenal: M. Merino comes on for B. Guimarães.

66'

Arsenal

Corner, Arsenal.

65'

Arsenal

Corner, Arsenal.

63'

D. Ndoye

Attempt blocked. D. Ndoye (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

61'

Arsenal

Corner, Arsenal.

59'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

59'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

54'

Arsenal

Corner, Arsenal.

54'

Murillo

Attempt saved. Murillo (Nottingham Forest), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

53'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

53'

N. Madueke

Attempt blocked. N. Madueke (Arsenal), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

53'

L. Delap

Attempt blocked. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

53'

N. Madueke

Yellow card for N. Madueke (Arsenal) for foul.

49'

J. McAtee

Attempt missed. J. McAtee (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

48'

J. McAtee

Attempt missed. J. McAtee (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

46'

E. Eze

Substitution, Arsenal: N. Madueke comes on for E. Eze.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Nottingham Forest 0-0 Arsenal.

45+3'

X. Schlager

Attempt missed. X. Schlager (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

45+3'

Murillo

Attempt blocked. Murillo (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.

45+3'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

N. Williams

Attempt blocked. N. Williams (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.

41'

K. Havertz

Attempt missed. K. Havertz (Arsenal), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

37'

K. Havertz

Attempt missed. K. Havertz (Arsenal), header from a set piece. xG 0.22.

35'

L. Delap

Attempt missed. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

35'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

28'

Arsenal

Corner, Arsenal.

26'

G. Magalhães

Attempt blocked. G. Magalhães (Arsenal), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.17.

25'

Arsenal

Corner, Arsenal.

22'

Arsenal

Offside, Arsenal.

19'

D. Ndoye

Attempt missed. D. Ndoye (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

19'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

17'

N. Williams

Yellow card for N. Williams (Nottingham Forest) for foul.

1'

Kick-off: Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal.

Where the money is

9589733 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 7718305 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

91.2%

-7.8 vs price

Draw 180.0 · implied 0.6%

4.9%

+4.3 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.0%

+3.9 vs price

Half time 4498 EUR

Away 2.06 · implied 48.5%

48.1%

-0.4 vs price

Draw 2.6 · implied 38.5%

34.4%

-4.0 vs price

Home 7.8 · implied 12.8%

17.4%

+4.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 455825 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

74.0%

-25.0 vs price

Over 200.0 · implied 0.5%

26.0%

+25.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 9674 EUR

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

72.1%

-15.6 vs price

Over 8.0 · implied 12.5%

27.9%

+15.4 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

17' N. Williams · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 N. Madueke ◂ E. Eze

53' N. Madueke · Foul

66' 🔁 M. Merino ◂ B. Guimarães

66' 🔁 V. Gyökeres ◂ K. Havertz

66' 🔁 J. Timber ◂ B. White

73' 🔁 A. Kalimuendo ◂ D. Ndoye

74' 🔁 I. Sangaré ◂ N. Domínguez

80' ⚽ N. Madueke · assist D. Rice0–1

85' 🔁 C. Hudson Odoi ◂ J. McAtee

85' 🔁 C. Wood ◂ Jair

Full-time · 0–1

Coaches

Oliver Glasner

Mikel Arteta

Recent form

Nottingham Forest

LACrystal Palace1-3

LHCoventry City0-1

WAAston Villa2-1

DHTottenham Hotspur0-0

DALiverpool FC2-2

Arsenal

WHLille3-0

WHLeeds United2-1

LABrighton & Hove Albion0-3

WAIpswich Town4-2

WASunderland2-0

About this match

**Forest are buzzing at home, but Arsenal's hitting another level.** The Gunners have been ruthless in the league, while Nottingham are stuck in that frustrating mid-table chop — inconsistency is their calling card. 🔴

Arsenal's form is **elite right now** (4 wins in their last 5), and they've got the quality to dismantle most teams. Forest have a decent spine but injuries are piling up — Jesus and Savono out is a real blow to their depth.

Key storylines:

- **Arsenal's midfield dominance**: Rice and Ødegaard should control the tempo against Forest's McAtee and Schlager
- **Nottingham's creative void**: Without Jesus, they'll lean heavily on Gibbs-White and Delap to conjure chances
- **Early season statement**: Arsenal can cement a top-four position with a comfortable away win here

Expected lineups:

- **Nottingham Forest**: M. Sels, N. Williams, Murillo, J. McAtee, I. Sangaré, D. Ndoye, L. Delap, M. Gibbs-White
- **Arsenal**: D. Raya, P. Hincapié, G. Magalhães, M. Lewis-Skelly, D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, B. Saka, K. Havertz, N. Madueke

Prediction:

**0-2 Arsenal** — The Gunners have too much in the tank, and Forest's injury list leaves them short up front. Lean Gooners.

Where to watch

TODbeIN SPORTS 1

Match facts

Stadium

City Ground

City

Nottingham

Referee

Michael Oliver

3.59 yellows/match · 78 matches

Kickoff

18 Oct, 15:30 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1 Arsenal

26 M. Sels 6.2 7 C. Hudson Odoi 6.8 ↑ 85' 2 O. Diomande 7.1 5 Murillo 7.4 27 D. Muñoz 6.8 9 C. Wood 6.5 ↑ 85' 21 X. Schlager 6.7 3 N. Williams 6.4 6 I. Sangaré 6.4 ↑ 74' 15 A. Kalimuendo 6.6 ↑ 73' 19 L. Delap 7.5 1 D. Raya 7.4 12 J. Timber 7.2 ↑ 66' 15 E. Konsa 7.4 6 G. Magalhães 8.1 33 R. Calafiori 6.8 41 D. Rice 7.6 23 M. Merino 6.6 ↑ 66' 7 B. Saka 6.9 8 M. Ødegaard 7.1 20 N. Madueke 7.4 ↑ 46' 14 V. Gyökeres 6.5 ↑ 66'

Substitutes

12GJ. Victor 23DJair↓ 85'6.7 25DL. Netz 31DN. Milenković 34DO. Aina 24MJ. McAtee↓ 85'7.1 8MN. Domínguez↓ 74'6.7 14MD. Ndoye↓ 73'6.3 22MR. Yates

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Substitutes

30GI. Meslier 4DB. White↓ 66'6.9 3DC. Mosquera 49DM. Lewis-Skelly 39MB. Guimarães↓ 66'7.6 10ME. Eze↓ 46'6.4 56MM. Dowman 36MM. Zubimendi 29FK. Havertz↓ 66'6.3

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Top stats

26%Possession74%

0.9Expected goals (xG)1.14

14Total shots9

2Shots on target1

0Big chances1

8Corners6

Shots

6Shots off target5

6Blocked shots3

8Shots inside box7

6Shots outside box2

0Big chances missed1

-0.81Goals prevented0.12

Attack

17Touches in box30

33Final third entries76

2Offsides1

8Free kicks14

2Fouled in final third4

Passing

224Passes634

158Accurate passes569

30/63 (48%)Long balls15/37 (41%)

1/14 (7%)Crosses7/27 (26%)

12Throw-ins16

Duels

51Duels49

37/67 (55%)Ground duels30/67 (45%)

14/33 (42%)Aerial duels19/33 (58%)

8/9 (89%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)

8Dispossessed17

Defending

22Tackles9

50Tackles won22

7Interceptions8

30Clearances12

44Recoveries48

Discipline

14Fouls8

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves2

0Big saves1

10Goal kicks4

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Forest 16%

24%

Arsenal 60%

Who winsArsenal to win (DNB) 73% · 1.24 @ Betano

1X2Arsenal to win 60% · 1.91 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.25 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.51 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.90 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.19 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 24% · 2.68 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.15 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle

1X2Forest to win 16% · 5.65 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

5.72

Nottingham Forest

3.90

Draw

1.60

Arsenal

Double Chanceconsensus

2.30

Nottingham Forest or Draw

1.22

Nottingham Forest or Arsenal

1.15

Draw or Arsenal

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.90

Yes

1.83

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

9.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.60

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

11.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.60

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.93

Over 2.50

1.87

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.40

Over 3.50

1.32

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

4.10

Nottingham Forest

1.21

Arsenal

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.17

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.50

Over 8.50

2.35

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.91

Over 9.50

1.80

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.54

Over 10.50

1.50

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.20

Over 11.50

1.27

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Arsenal to win or draw

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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