Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest.

90+5'

Ipswich Town

Offside, Ipswich Town.

90+4'

L. Delap

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: C. Wood comes on for L. Delap.

90+2'

J. Clarke

Attempt missed. J. Clarke (Ipswich Town), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90'

8 minutes of added time.

90'

C. Hudson Odoi

Attempt missed. C. Hudson Odoi (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

86'

N. Milenković

Attempt missed. N. Milenković (Nottingham Forest), header from a set piece. xG 0.10.

86'

J. Enciso

Substitution, Ipswich Town: C. Akpom comes on for J. Enciso.

85'

F. Luís

Substitution, Ipswich Town: A. Matusiwa comes on for F. Luís.

84'

N. Williams

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: L. Netz comes on for N. Williams.

76'

J. McAtee

Attempt saved. J. McAtee (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

74'

L. Delap

Attempt missed. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

73'

L. Delap

Attempt missed. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), header. xG 0.29.

73'

A. F. Issahaku

Substitution, Ipswich Town: D. Maeda comes on for A. F. Issahaku.

69'

D. Ndoye

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: C. Hudson Odoi comes on for D. Ndoye.

64'

D. Ndoye

Attempt missed. D. Ndoye (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

64'

D. Muñoz

Attempt missed. D. Muñoz (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

63'

Murillo

Attempt missed. Murillo (Nottingham Forest), header from a corner. xG 0.12.

62'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

61'

J. Philogene-Bidace

Substitution, Ipswich Town: J. Clarke comes on for J. Philogene-Bidace.

60'

N. Williams

Attempt blocked. N. Williams (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

60'

Murillo

Attempt saved. Murillo (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

60'

X. Schlager

Attempt missed. X. Schlager (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

60'

Emersonn

Substitution, Ipswich Town: Z. Flemming comes on for Emersonn.

60'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

59'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

55'

Ipswich Town

Offside, Ipswich Town.

54'

Murillo

Yellow card for Murillo (Nottingham Forest) for foul.

51'

I. Diop

Yellow card for I. Diop (Ipswich Town) for foul.

49'

I. Diop

VAR: card upgraded for I. Diop (Ipswich Town).

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

41'

J. Enciso

Goal! Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest. J. Enciso (Ipswich Town) scores.

33'

D. Ndoye

Attempt missed. D. Ndoye (Nottingham Forest), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

32'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

31'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

31'

M. Gibbs-White

Cleared off the line! M. Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.69.

28'

J. Enciso

Attempt saved. J. Enciso (Ipswich Town), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

26'

J. Philogene-Bidace

Attempt saved. J. Philogene-Bidace (Ipswich Town), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

25'

M. Gibbs-White

Attempt missed. M. Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

19'

J. Enciso

Attempt missed. J. Enciso (Ipswich Town), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

13'

N. Williams

Goal! Ipswich Town 0-1 Nottingham Forest. N. Williams (Nottingham Forest) scores, assisted by D. Muñoz.

9'

A. F. Issahaku

Attempt missed. A. F. Issahaku (Ipswich Town), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

8'

L. Delap

Attempt missed. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

7'

Jair

Attempt saved. Jair (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.15.

5'

J. Enciso

Attempt missed. J. Enciso (Ipswich Town), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest.

Where the money is

3049004 EUR matched · captured 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1799852 EUR · live

Away 44.0 · implied 2.3%

51.2%

+48.9 vs price

Draw 1.05 · implied 95.2%

32.4%

-62.8 vs price

Home 40.0 · implied 2.5%

16.5%

+13.9 vs price

Half time 490 EUR

Draw 2.4 · implied 41.7%

89.1%

+47.5 vs price

Home 3.95 · implied 25.3%

5.7%

-19.6 vs price

Away 2.98 · implied 33.6%

5.2%

-28.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 784349 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

53.6%

-41.6 vs price

Over 26.0 · implied 3.8%

46.4%

+42.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 915 EUR

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

72.5%

-15.2 vs price

Over 7.6 · implied 13.2%

27.5%

+14.4 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

13' ⚽ N. Williams · assist D. Muñoz0–1

41' ⚽ J. Enciso1–1

Half-time · 1–1

49' VAR Card check · I. Diop

51' I. Diop · Foul

54' Murillo · Foul

60' 🔁 Z. Flemming ◂ Emersonn

61' 🔁 J. Clarke ◂ J. Philogene-Bidace

69' 🔁 C. Hudson Odoi ◂ D. Ndoye

73' 🔁 D. Maeda ◂ A. F. Issahaku

84' 🔁 L. Netz ◂ N. Williams

85' 🔁 A. Matusiwa ◂ F. Luís

86' 🔁 C. Akpom ◂ J. Enciso

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 C. Wood ◂ L. Delap

Coaches

Gary O'Neil

Oliver Glasner

Recent form

Ipswich Town

LAManchester City2-3

WHFulham2-1

LAEverton0-1

LHArsenal2-4

WACrystal Palace3-2

Nottingham Forest

LHArsenal0-1

LACrystal Palace1-3

LHCoventry City0-1

WAAston Villa2-1

DHTottenham Hotspur0-0

About this match

**Ipswich host a Forest side in freefall** — the visitors haven't won in their last four and sit rock-bottom of the form table. 🔥 This is a golden chance for the Tractor Boys to keep momentum rolling at home.

Ipswich are the slight favorite here, riding a 2W-3L stretch with a gutsy draw at City last time out. Forest, meanwhile, are limping through October and missing key bodies. **Nottingham Forest's injury woes** at the back (Jesus and Savona out) leave them stretched thin defensively.

Key storylines:

- **Ipswich's home form vs Forest's touring blues** — the Tractor Boys haven't lost here yet this season, while the Reds haven't won away
- **O'Shea and Diop's defensive solidity** will need to hold against **Ndoye and Wood's pressing** up front
- **McAtee's creativity in the Forest midfield** is their best hope to unlock a rusty Ipswich backline

Expected lineups:

- **Ipswich Town**: C. Walton, L. Davis, D. O'Shea, I. Diop, J. Greaves, S. Lukić, E. Palacios, D. Maeda, J. Enciso, A. F. Issahaku, Emersonn
- **Nottingham Forest**: M. Sels, N. Williams, Jair, O. Diomande, O. Aina, J. McAtee, X. Schlager, I. Sangaré, D. Ndoye, C. Wood, D. Muñoz

Prediction:

**Ipswich 2-0 Forest**. Home advantage and visitor injuries tip the scales — lean Ipswich. ✅

Where to watch

TOD

Match facts

Stadium

Portman Road Stadium

City

Ipswich

Referee

Thomas Bramall

3.95 yellows/match · 43 matches

Kickoff

23 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Ipswich Town 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1 Nottingham Forest

28 C. Walton 6.3 42 A. Ouattara 6.8 6 I. Diop 6.5 26 D. O'Shea 6.4 3 L. Davis 7.9 25 E. Palacios 6.9 5 A. Matusiwa 6.6 ↑ 85' 38 D. Maeda 6.5 ↑ 73' 29 C. Akpom 6.6 ↑ 86' 47 J. Clarke 6.4 ↑ 61' 9 Z. Flemming 6.7 ↑ 60' 26 M. Sels 6.2 23 Jair 6.7 31 N. Milenković 6.0 5 Murillo 6.7 27 D. Muñoz 7.6 24 J. McAtee 7.7 21 X. Schlager 7.3 25 L. Netz 6.5 ↑ 84' 10 M. Gibbs-White 7.0 7 C. Hudson Odoi 6.5 ↑ 69' 9 C. Wood ↑ 90'

Substitutes

37GK. Scherpen 2DD. Furlong 24DJ. Greaves 10MJ. Enciso↓ 86'8.2 12MF. Luís↓ 85'6.6 11MJ. Philogene-Bidace↓ 61'6.4 7MA. F. Issahaku↓ 73'6.0 32MM. Núñez 19FEmersonn↓ 60'6.5

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Substitutes

12GJ. Victor 3DN. Williams↓ 84'7.6 2DO. Diomande 34DO. Aina 14MD. Ndoye↓ 69'7.0 6MI. Sangaré 22MR. Yates 19FL. Delap↓ 90'6.2 15FA. Kalimuendo

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Top stats

49%Possession51%

0.46Expected goals (xG)2.29

7Total shots17

3Shots on target5

1Big chances4

0Corners5

Shots

4Shots off target11

0Blocked shots1

3Shots inside box15

4Shots outside box2

1Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed3

0.05Goals prevented0.04

Attack

12Touches in box25

58Final third entries60

2Offsides1

11Free kicks9

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

486Passes480

385Accurate passes382

13/50 (26%)Long balls25/68 (37%)

1/6 (17%)Crosses5/22 (23%)

16Throw-ins15

Duels

48Duels52

37/74 (50%)Ground duels37/74 (50%)

9/21 (43%)Aerial duels12/21 (57%)

11/24 (46%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)

9Dispossessed9

Defending

15Tackles22

53Tackles won50

8Interceptions13

22Clearances9

56Recoveries64

Discipline

9Fouls11

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

2Big saves1

16Goal kicks8

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Ipswich 31%

27%

Forest 41%

1X2Forest to win 41% · 2.62 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365

Who winsIpswich to win (DNB) 65% · 2.25 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.00 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.98 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.60 @ betfair

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.87 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.43 @ 1xBet

1X2Ipswich to win 31% · 3.20 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.05

Ipswich Town

3.40

Draw

2.30

Nottingham Forest

Double Chanceconsensus

1.62

Ipswich Town or Draw

1.29

Ipswich Town or Nottingham Forest

1.36

Draw or Nottingham Forest

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.19

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.20

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

11.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.23

Over 1.50

4.13

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.73

Over 2.50

2.09

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.84

Over 3.50

1.41

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.20

Ipswich Town

1.61

Nottingham Forest

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.10

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.60

Over 8.50

2.29

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.00

Over 9.50

1.83

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.51

Over 10.50

1.49

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.33

Over 11.50

1.25

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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