Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 31, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham.

90+4'

R. Barkley

Attempt blocked. R. Barkley (Aston Villa), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

90+2'

A. Garnacho

Attempt blocked. A. Garnacho (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

P. Torres

Attempt missed. P. Torres (Aston Villa), header from a set piece. xG 0.08.

88'

E. Buendía

Attempt missed. E. Buendía (Aston Villa), header. xG 0.04.

87'

G. García

Substitution, Fulham: R. Muniz comes on for G. García.

87'

T. Castagne

Substitution, Fulham: H. Larsson comes on for T. Castagne.

87'

J. McGinn

Substitution, Aston Villa: A. Garnacho comes on for J. McGinn.

84'

P. Torres

Attempt missed. P. Torres (Aston Villa), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

83'

Aston Villa

Corner, Aston Villa.

80'

A. Robinson

Attempt saved. A. Robinson (Fulham), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

79'

O. Bobb

Substitution, Fulham: K. Tete comes on for O. Bobb.

79'

J. King

Substitution, Fulham: C. Palacios comes on for J. King.

79'

B. Kamara

Substitution, Aston Villa: R. Barkley comes on for B. Kamara.

78'

I. Maatsen

Attempt blocked. I. Maatsen (Aston Villa), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

77'

T. Cairney

Yellow card for T. Cairney (Fulham) for foul.

77'

D. Affengruber

Attempt saved. D. Affengruber (Fulham), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

76'

M. Cash

Yellow card for M. Cash (Aston Villa) for foul.

75'

A. Iwobi

Attempt blocked. A. Iwobi (Fulham), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

75'

A. Iwobi

Substitution, Fulham: T. Cairney comes on for A. Iwobi.

75'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

70'

Fulham

Offside, Fulham.

66'

L. Goretzka

Substitution, Aston Villa: I. Mbaye comes on for L. Goretzka.

66'

Alysson

Substitution, Aston Villa: E. Buendía comes on for Alysson.

66'

J. Manzambi

Substitution, Aston Villa: J. Gomes comes on for J. Manzambi.

64'

G. García

Attempt blocked. G. García (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.37.

64'

Z. Suzuki

Goal! Aston Villa 1-1 Fulham. Own goal by Z. Suzuki.

64'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

63'

I. Maatsen

Attempt missed. I. Maatsen (Aston Villa), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

63'

A. Iwobi

Attempt saved. A. Iwobi (Fulham), header. xG 0.24.

62'

Alysson

Attempt missed. Alysson (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

62'

Aston Villa

Corner, Aston Villa.

61'

O. Bobb

Attempt blocked. O. Bobb (Fulham), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

61'

S. Charles

Attempt missed. S. Charles (Fulham), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

60'

D. Affengruber

Attempt missed. D. Affengruber (Fulham), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

59'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

54'

S. Charles

Cleared off the line! S. Charles (Fulham), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.64.

53'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

52'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

50'

Fulham

Offside, Fulham.

49'

N. Jackson

Attempt saved. N. Jackson (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham.

45+4'

C. Bassey

Yellow card for C. Bassey (Fulham) for foul.

45+1'

Fulham

Offside, Fulham.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

44'

Aston Villa

Offside, Aston Villa.

41'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

39'

N. Jackson

Goal! Aston Villa 1-0 Fulham. N. Jackson (Aston Villa) scores, assisted by J. Manzambi.

39'

G. García

Attempt missed. G. García (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

35'

J. Manzambi

Attempt saved. J. Manzambi (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

33'

D. Affengruber

Attempt missed. D. Affengruber (Fulham), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

33'

C. Bassey

Attempt missed. C. Bassey (Fulham), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

32'

O. Bobb

Attempt saved. O. Bobb (Fulham), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.21.

32'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

30'

D. Affengruber

Yellow card for D. Affengruber (Fulham) for foul.

28'

Fulham

Offside, Fulham.

26'

Aston Villa

Offside, Aston Villa.

23'

Aston Villa

Corner, Aston Villa.

22'

Aston Villa

Corner, Aston Villa.

22'

L. Goretzka

Attempt blocked. L. Goretzka (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

16'

J. McGinn

Penalty missed! J. McGinn (Aston Villa), off the woodwork.

13'

L. Goretzka

VAR: no penalty for Aston Villa.

12'

L. Goretzka

Attempt blocked. L. Goretzka (Aston Villa), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

12'

Aston Villa

Corner, Aston Villa.

11'

Aston Villa

Corner, Aston Villa.

7'

L. Goretzka

Attempt missed. L. Goretzka (Aston Villa), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

7'

J. Manzambi

Attempt blocked. J. Manzambi (Aston Villa), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

6'

Aston Villa

Corner, Aston Villa.

5'

A. Iwobi

Attempt missed. A. Iwobi (Fulham), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.30.

1'

Kick-off: Aston Villa vs Fulham.

Where the money is

4606327 EUR matched · captured 5 days, 8 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3706046 EUR · live

Home 34.0 · implied 2.9%

75.5%

+72.6 vs price

Draw 1.03 · implied 97.1%

16.4%

-80.7 vs price

Away 290.0 · implied 0.3%

8.1%

+7.7 vs price

Half time 1446 EUR

Draw 2.48 · implied 40.3%

52.2%

+11.9 vs price

Home 2.72 · implied 36.8%

42.6%

+5.8 vs price

Away 4.2 · implied 23.8%

5.2%

-18.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 471539 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

61.3%

-34.9 vs price

Over 23.0 · implied 4.3%

38.7%

+34.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 542 EUR

Over 7.0 · implied 14.3%

53.6%

+39.3 vs price

Under 1.17 · implied 85.5%

46.5%

-39.0 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

13' VAR Penalty check · L. Goretzka

16' 🚫 Penalty missed · J. McGinn

30' D. Affengruber · Foul

39' ⚽ N. Jackson · assist J. Manzambi1–0

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺⁴ C. Bassey · Foul

64' ⚽ Z. Suzuki1–1

66' 🔁 J. Gomes ◂ J. Manzambi

66' 🔁 E. Buendía ◂ Alysson

66' 🔁 I. Mbaye ◂ L. Goretzka

75' 🔁 T. Cairney ◂ A. Iwobi

76' M. Cash · Foul

77' T. Cairney · Foul

79' 🔁 R. Barkley ◂ B. Kamara

79' 🔁 C. Palacios ◂ J. King

79' 🔁 K. Tete ◂ O. Bobb

87' 🔁 A. Garnacho ◂ J. McGinn

87' 🔁 H. Larsson ◂ T. Castagne

87' 🔁 R. Muniz ◂ G. García

Full-time · 1–1

Coaches

Unai Emery

Álvaro Arbeloa

Recent form

Aston Villa

LABournemouth0-3

WHManchester City2-1

WHViking FK3-1

WANewcastle United1-0

WHFenerbahçe6-0

Fulham

LHCrystal Palace0-1

WACoventry City1-0

WHHull City1-0

LAIpswich Town1-2

DHManchester United1-1

About this match

**Aston Villa roll into Halloween week as the hottest side in the league — Fulham's got a stiff test at Villa Park.** Villa are 4-1 in their last five while Fulham have stumbled lately (2-2-1). This one's got some edge written all over it. 🔴

Villa's attack has been clinical under the lights, and Fulham's defense will need to be sharp. The Cottagers haven't won on the road in their last two, but they've shown they can nick goals away from home.

Key storylines:

- **N. Jackson** leading Villa's charge up front — the striker's been a force with the home crowd behind him
- **R. Barkley** and **J. McGinn** pulling strings in midfield against **A. Iwobi** and **S. Charles** for Fulham's playmaking battle
- Villa's injury woes at the back — **A. Wan-Bissaka**, **A. Onana**, and **M. Ruggeri** all sidelined — tested by a hungry Fulham attack

Expected lineups:

- **Aston Villa**: Z. Suzuki, I. Maatsen, V. Lindelöf, T. Mings, M. Cash, B. Kamara, J. Gomes, R. Barkley, E. Buendía, J. McGinn, N. Jackson
- **Fulham**: B. Leno, A. Robinson, C. Bassey, D. Affengruber, T. Castagne, A. Iwobi, S. Charles, C. Palacios, J. King, O. Bobb, G. García

Prediction:

**Villa 2-1 Fulham**. Home form and momentum give Villa the edge, but Fulham will make them sweat it out.

Where to watch

TODbeIN SPORTS 2

Match facts

Stadium

Villa Park

City

Birmingham

Referee

Samuel Barrott

4.09 yellows/match · 54 matches

Kickoff

31 Oct, 20:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Fulham

1 Z. Suzuki 9.2 2 M. Cash 7.2 3 V. Lindelöf 7.2 14 P. Torres 6.5 22 I. Maatsen 6.8 6 R. Barkley 6.5 ↑ 79' 10 E. Buendía 6.6 ↑ 66' 35 J. Gomes 6.6 ↑ 66' 17 A. Garnacho 6.7 ↑ 87' 19 I. Mbaye 6.8 ↑ 66' 11 N. Jackson 8.5 1 B. Leno 6.3 15 H. Larsson 6.6 ↑ 87' 22 D. Affengruber 7.6 3 C. Bassey 6.6 33 A. Robinson 6.9 16 S. Berge 7.3 19 S. Charles 6.2 2 K. Tete 7.2 ↑ 79' 8 C. Palacios 6.6 ↑ 79' 10 T. Cairney 6.8 ↑ 75' 9 R. Muniz 6.6 ↑ 87'

Substitutes

40GM. Bizot 4DT. Harwood-Bellis 5DT. Mings 8MB. Kamara↓ 79'7.1 44MJ. Manzambi↓ 66'6.9 27ML. Goretzka↓ 66'6.5 47MAlysson↓ 66'6.5 7MJ. McGinn↓ 87'6.2 39FB. Madjo

Coach: Unai Emery

Substitutes

23GB. Lecomte 21DT. Castagne↓ 87'7.1 5DJ. Andersen 14MO. Bobb↓ 79'8.1 17MA. Iwobi↓ 75'6.5 24MJ. King↓ 79'6.5 20MM. Á. Morán 11MKevin 7FG. García↓ 87'6.5

Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa

Top stats

45%Possession55%

1.83Expected goals (xG)2.24

16Total shots14

3Shots on target5

4Big chances4

7Corners7

Shots

7Shots off target6

6Blocked shots3

12Shots inside box13

4Shots outside box1

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

3Big chances missed4

0.87Goals prevented-0.38

Attack

24Touches in box40

55Final third entries44

2Offsides4

11Free kicks7

4Fouled in final third1

Passing

434Passes540

374Accurate passes478

20/36 (56%)Long balls27/41 (66%)

6/17 (35%)Crosses6/18 (33%)

15Throw-ins9

Duels

53Duels47

36/64 (56%)Ground duels28/64 (44%)

9/21 (43%)Aerial duels12/21 (57%)

7/16 (44%)Dribbles7/17 (41%)

6Dispossessed8

Defending

18Tackles15

50Tackles won53

5Interceptions13

15Clearances27

42Recoveries44

Discipline

7Fouls12

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves2

1Big saves0

7Goal kicks6

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Aston Villa 46%

27%

Fulham 28%

Who winsAston Villa to win (DNB) 65% · 1.53 @ 10bet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.40 @ betfair

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.20 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 27% · 2.61 @ 1xBet

1X2Aston Villa to win 46% · 2.45 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.43 @ 1xBet

1X2Fulham to win 28% · 3.50 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

Aston Villa

3.50

Draw

3.40

Fulham

Double Chanceconsensus

1.30

Aston Villa or Draw

1.25

Aston Villa or Fulham

1.73

Draw or Fulham

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.15

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.04

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.04

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.92

Over 3.50

1.41

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.00

Over 4.50

1.13

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.50

Aston Villa

2.49

Fulham

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.19

Over 7.50

3.70

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.39

Over 8.50

2.67

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.73

Over 9.50

2.03

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.20

Over 10.50

1.64

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.74

Over 11.50

1.37

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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