Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United.

90+7'

M. Fernández-Pardo

Substitution, Newcastle United: ? comes on for M. Fernández-Pardo.

90+3'

Fulham

Offside, Fulham.

90+3'

R. Sessegnon

Attempt saved. R. Sessegnon (Fulham), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

90+2'

A. Dedić

Yellow card for A. Dedić (Newcastle United) for foul.

90+1'

R. Muniz

Attempt missed. R. Muniz (Fulham), header from a set piece. xG 0.01.

90+1'

C. Palacios

Attempt missed. C. Palacios (Fulham), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

90'

F. Schär

Yellow card for F. Schär (Newcastle United) for foul.

88'

Fulham

Offside, Fulham.

88'

L. Hall

Attempt saved. L. Hall (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

85'

M. Thiaw

Substitution, Newcastle United: F. Schär comes on for M. Thiaw.

85'

W. Osula

Substitution, Newcastle United: A. Elanga comes on for W. Osula.

83'

R. Muniz

Goal! Fulham 1-1 Newcastle United. R. Muniz (Fulham) scores.

80'

J. Murphy

Goal! Fulham 0-1 Newcastle United. J. Murphy (Newcastle United) scores.

78'

J. Willock

Attempt saved. J. Willock (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

78'

O. Bobb

Substitution, Fulham: R. Sessegnon comes on for O. Bobb.

77'

Fulham

Offside, Fulham.

77'

T. Castagne

Attempt saved. T. Castagne (Fulham), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

77'

T. Castagne

Substitution, Fulham: K. Tete comes on for T. Castagne.

76'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

76'

M. Fernández-Pardo

Attempt missed. M. Fernández-Pardo (Newcastle United), header. xG 0.08.

74'

S. Steur

Substitution, Newcastle United: M. Fernández-Pardo comes on for S. Steur.

72'

J. King

Substitution, Fulham: C. Palacios comes on for J. King.

66'

S. Steur

Attempt blocked. S. Steur (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

65'

G. García

Substitution, Fulham: R. Muniz comes on for G. García.

61'

Y. Wissa

Substitution, Newcastle United: J. Willock comes on for Y. Wissa.

61'

N. González

Substitution, Newcastle United: L. Miley comes on for N. González.

58'

Y. Wissa

Attempt missed. Y. Wissa (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

56'

S. Berge

Attempt missed. S. Berge (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

48'

H. Barnes

Attempt missed. H. Barnes (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Fulham 0-0 Newcastle United.

45+1'

J. King

Attempt missed. J. King (Fulham), header. xG 0.04.

45'

1 minute of added time.

37'

J. King

Attempt saved. J. King (Fulham), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

36'

Newcastle United

Offside, Newcastle United.

32'

Newcastle United

Corner, Newcastle United.

32'

H. Barnes

Attempt saved. H. Barnes (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.31.

24'

O. Bobb

Attempt blocked. O. Bobb (Fulham), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

19'

H. Barnes

Attempt saved. H. Barnes (Newcastle United), right-footed shot. xG 0.22.

17'

Newcastle United

Corner, Newcastle United.

14'

O. Bobb

Attempt saved. O. Bobb (Fulham), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

14'

G. García

Off the woodwork! G. García (Fulham), header from a corner. xG 0.10.

14'

Fulham

Corner, Fulham.

6'

Newcastle United

Offside, Newcastle United.

5'

Newcastle United

Corner, Newcastle United.

1'

Kick-off: Fulham vs Newcastle United.

Where the money is

2470867 EUR matched · captured 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1900816 EUR · live

Home 85.0 · implied 1.2%

73.4%

+72.2 vs price

Draw 1.02 · implied 98.0%

17.5%

-80.5 vs price

Away 90.0 · implied 1.1%

9.1%

+8.0 vs price

Half time 451 EUR

Draw 2.52 · implied 39.7%

77.2%

+37.5 vs price

Home 2.76 · implied 36.2%

21.7%

-14.5 vs price

Away 4.2 · implied 23.8%

1.1%

-22.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 283728 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

75.2%

-22.8 vs price

Over 50.0 · implied 2.0%

24.8%

+22.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 10 EUR

Over 6.4 · implied 15.6%

93.2%

+77.6 vs price

Under 1.16 · implied 86.2%

42.6%

-43.6 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

61' 🔁 L. Miley ◂ N. González

61' 🔁 J. Willock ◂ Y. Wissa

65' 🔁 R. Muniz ◂ G. García

72' 🔁 C. Palacios ◂ J. King

74' 🔁 M. Fernández-Pardo ◂ S. Steur

77' 🔁 K. Tete ◂ T. Castagne

78' 🔁 R. Sessegnon ◂ O. Bobb

80' ⚽ J. Murphy0–1

83' ⚽ R. Muniz1–1

85' 🔁 A. Elanga ◂ W. Osula

85' 🔁 F. Schär ◂ M. Thiaw

Full-time · 1–1

90' F. Schär · Foul

90'⁺² A. Dedić · Foul

90'⁺⁷ 🔁 ◂ M. Fernández-Pardo

Coaches

Álvaro Arbeloa

Matthias Jaissle

Recent form

Fulham

DAAston Villa1-1

LHCrystal Palace0-1

WACoventry City1-0

WHHull City1-0

LAIpswich Town1-2

Newcastle United

LHEverton0-1

LAEverton1-3

WACrystal Palace2-0

LHAston Villa0-1

LACoventry City1-4

About this match

**Fulham's turning a corner while Newcastle are absolutely spiralling** — Marco Silva's crew picked up form with back-to-back wins, and they're hosting a Magpies side that's dropped four of their last five. 🔴

Fulham sit in decent shape after that draw at Aston Villa, while Newcastle are limping in with injuries and suspension bites. This screams **home value** for the Cottagers.

Key storylines:

- **Fulham's midfield control** with Iwobi and Charles against a wounded Newcastle engine room missing key bodies
- **García and Palacios leading the line** for Fulham vs a makeshift Newcastle backline forced into rearrangement
- Momentum is everything here — Silva's side building, Eddie Howe's under real pressure 📉

Expected lineups:

- **Fulham**: Leno, Robinson, Bassey, Affengruber, Castagne, Iwobi, Charles, Palacios, King, Bobb, García
- **Newcastle United**: Horníček, Hall, Botman, Dedić, Thiaw, Barnes, González, Wissa, Willock, Elanga, Fernández-Pardo

Prediction:

**Fulham 2–1 Newcastle** — The Magpies' injury pile and suspension worries leave them too stretched at the back. Fulham capitalize on home turf and grab all three. 🎯

Where to watch

Canal+ Live 8

Match facts

Stadium

Craven Cottage

City

London

Referee

Robert Jones

4.02 yellows/match · 55 matches

Kickoff

07 Nov, 15:00 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Fulham 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Newcastle United

1 B. Leno 6.9 2 K. Tete 6.3 ↑ 77' 22 D. Affengruber 7.1 3 C. Bassey 7.1 33 A. Robinson 6.4 16 S. Berge 7.0 19 S. Charles 7.1 30 R. Sessegnon 6.7 ↑ 78' 8 C. Palacios 6.5 ↑ 72' 17 A. Iwobi 7.6 9 R. Muniz 7.6 ↑ 65' 21 L. Horníček 6.5 37 A. Dedić 6.7 5 F. Schär 6.8 ↑ 85' 33 D. Burn 7.0 3 L. Hall 7.1 20 M. Fernández-Pardo 6.3 ↑ 74' 28 J. Willock 6.4 ↑ 61' 23 J. Murphy 8.1 67 L. Miley 6.9 ↑ 61' 11 H. Barnes 6.5 19 A. Elanga 6.7 ↑ 85'

Substitutes

23GB. Lecomte 21DT. Castagne↓ 77'6.9 5DJ. Andersen 14MO. Bobb↓ 78'6.9 24MJ. King↓ 72'6.6 11MKevin 20MM. Á. Morán 15MH. Larsson 7FG. García↓ 65'6.1

Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa

Substitutes

1GN. Pope 12DM. Thiaw↓ 85'7.1 2DT. Livramento 4DS. Botman 14MS. Steur↓ 74'6.7 6MN. González↓ 61'6.6 17MB. Touré 9FY. Wissa↓ 61'6.6 10FW. Osula↓ 85'6.4

Coach: Matthias Jaissle

Top stats

58%Possession42%

0.7Expected goals (xG)1.14

11Total shots9

5Shots on target5

0Big chances3

3Corners3

Shots

5Shots off target3

1Blocked shots1

7Shots inside box6

4Shots outside box3

1Hit woodwork0

0Big chances missed3

0.45Goals prevented0.24

Attack

28Touches in box19

67Final third entries36

3Offsides1

13Free kicks9

2Fouled in final third0

Passing

526Passes380

428Accurate passes295

26/62 (42%)Long balls24/67 (36%)

3/14 (21%)Crosses3/11 (27%)

20Throw-ins19

Duels

48Duels52

33/64 (52%)Ground duels31/64 (48%)

10/25 (40%)Aerial duels15/25 (60%)

9/21 (43%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)

4Dispossessed3

Defending

11Tackles16

55Tackles won63

7Interceptions13

25Clearances33

54Recoveries46

Discipline

9Fouls13

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves5

0Big saves2

7Goal kicks11

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Fulham 47%

26%

Newcastle 27%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.33 @ betfair

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.80 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.90 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.91 @ 1xBet

1X2Fulham to win 47% · 2.45 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 26% · 2.70 @ 1xBet

Who winsFulham to win (DNB) 57% · 1.52 @ Betano

1X2Newcastle to win 27% · 3.50 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.00

Fulham

3.70

Draw

3.45

Newcastle United

Double Chanceconsensus

1.30

Fulham or Draw

1.27

Fulham or Newcastle United

1.74

Draw or Newcastle United

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.55

Yes

2.38

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.67

Over 2.50

2.27

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.62

Over 3.50

1.50

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.78

Over 4.50

1.18

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.49

Fulham

2.45

Newcastle United

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.15

Over 7.50

4.55

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.33

Over 8.50

3.00

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.57

Over 9.50

2.25

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.95

Over 10.50

1.81

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.47

Over 11.50

1.50

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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