Nottingham Forest 3-1 Manchester City: Stats & xG

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Premier League ·Sat 07 Nov

Nottingham Forest

3–1

HT 2–0

Full time

Manchester City

City Ground, Nottingham · Ref: Samuel Barrott

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Nottingham Forest 3-1 Manchester City.

90+5'

I. Jesus

Yellow card for I. Jesus (Nottingham Forest) for time wasting.

90+4'

L. Netz

Yellow card for L. Netz (Nottingham Forest) for foul.

90+1'

P. Foden

Attempt blocked. P. Foden (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

87'

L. Delap

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: I. Jesus comes on for L. Delap.

79'

P. Foden

Attempt blocked. P. Foden (Manchester City), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

79'

R. Yates

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: I. Sangaré comes on for R. Yates.

78'

E. Fernández

Substitution, Manchester City: P. Foden comes on for E. Fernández.

77'

Manchester City

Corner, Manchester City.

73'

L. Delap

Goal! Nottingham Forest 3-1 Manchester City. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest) scores, assisted by M. Gibbs-White.

73'

E. Fernández

Attempt blocked. E. Fernández (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

70'

Murillo

Attempt missed. Murillo (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

69'

D. Ndoye

Yellow card for D. Ndoye (Nottingham Forest) for foul.

68'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

67'

R. Yates

Attempt blocked. R. Yates (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

65'

J. McAtee

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: D. Ndoye comes on for J. McAtee.

65'

D. Muñoz

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: L. Netz comes on for D. Muñoz.

64'

J. McAtee

Yellow card for J. McAtee (Nottingham Forest) for foul.

61'

L. Delap

Attempt blocked. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

60'

Manchester City

Corner, Manchester City.

57'

E. Haaland

Attempt missed. E. Haaland (Manchester City), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

54'

Manchester City

Corner, Manchester City.

52'

R. Cherki

Goal! Nottingham Forest 2-1 Manchester City. R. Cherki (Manchester City) scores.

49'

N. O’Reilly

Attempt missed. N. O’Reilly (Manchester City), header. xG 0.17.

46'

J. Gvardiol

Substitution, Manchester City: N. O’Reilly comes on for J. Gvardiol.

46'

M. Guéhi

Substitution, Manchester City: M. Nunes comes on for M. Guéhi.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Nottingham Forest 2-0 Manchester City.

45+1'

E. Haaland

Attempt missed. E. Haaland (Manchester City), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

45+1'

Manchester City

Corner, Manchester City.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

42'

E. Anderson

Attempt saved. E. Anderson (Manchester City), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

41'

Manchester City

Corner, Manchester City.

41'

E. Haaland

Cleared off the line! E. Haaland (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.34.

36'

Manchester City

Corner, Manchester City.

32'

E. Haaland

Attempt saved. E. Haaland (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

28'

Jair

Attempt missed. Jair (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.15.

24'

E. Fernández

Attempt missed. E. Fernández (Manchester City), header. xG 0.41.

23'

Murillo

Attempt saved. Murillo (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

23'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

20'

J. McAtee

Attempt missed. J. McAtee (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.21.

18'

L. Delap

Goal! Nottingham Forest 2-0 Manchester City. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest) scores, assisted by X. Schlager.

17'

Nottingham Forest

Offside, Nottingham Forest.

15'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

15'

D. Muñoz

Attempt blocked. D. Muñoz (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

Manchester City

Corner, Manchester City.

J. Doku

Attempt blocked. J. Doku (Manchester City), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

Jair

Goal! Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester City. Jair (Nottingham Forest) scores.

Jair

Attempt saved. Jair (Nottingham Forest), header from a throw-in. xG 0.01.

Kick-off: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

6' ⚽ Jair1–0

18' ⚽ L. Delap · assist X. Schlager2–0

Half-time · 2–0

46' 🔁 M. Nunes ◂ M. Guéhi

46' 🔁 N. O’Reilly ◂ J. Gvardiol

52' ⚽ R. Cherki2–1

64' J. McAtee · Foul

65' 🔁 L. Netz ◂ D. Muñoz

65' 🔁 D. Ndoye ◂ J. McAtee

69' D. Ndoye · Foul

73' ⚽ L. Delap · assist M. Gibbs-White3–1

78' 🔁 P. Foden ◂ E. Fernández

79' 🔁 I. Sangaré ◂ R. Yates

87' 🔁 I. Jesus ◂ L. Delap

Full-time · 3–1

90'⁺⁴ L. Netz · Foul

90'⁺⁵ I. Jesus · Time wasting

Coaches

Oliver Glasner

Enzo Maresca

Recent form

Nottingham Forest

LABrentford0-2

DAIpswich Town1-1

LHArsenal0-1

LACrystal Palace1-3

LHCoventry City0-1

Manchester City

WARB Leipzig3-2

LHBrighton & Hove Albion0-1

DHBrighton & Hove Albion2-2

LAAston Villa1-2

WHAEK Athens5-1

About this match

**Forest are winless in five and facing the league's most lethal attack — City smell blood at the Madness Box.** 🔥 This is a mismatch waiting to happen, even if Pep's been cagey all season.

Forest have won just once in their last 15 and sit near the relegation zone. City wobbled against Brighton twice but bounced back with a Leipzig win; they're the sharper blade here.

Key storylines:

- **Erling Haaland** leads City's charge — Forest's back line (Murillo, **N. Williams**, and co.) will need a perfect day to contain him
- **M. Gibbs-White** is Forest's creative heartbeat but operating without **I. Jesus**, who's sidelined with a calf injury
- City's midfield engine of **E. Anderson** and **E. Fernández** should dominate possession and transitions

Expected lineups:

- **Nottingham Forest**: M. Sels, N. Williams, Murillo, Jair, O. Aina, J. McAtee, X. Schlager, N. Domínguez, D. Ndoye, L. Delap, M. Gibbs-White
- **Manchester City**: G. Donnarumma, J. Gvardiol, R. Dias, M. Guéhi, M. Nunes, E. Anderson, E. Fernández, I. Ndiaye, R. Cherki, Allan, E. Haaland

Prediction:

**Manchester City 3–0 Nottingham Forest** — City should stroll this one. Forest's leak shows no sign of plugging.

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 1

Match facts

Stadium

City Ground

City

Nottingham

Referee

Samuel Barrott

3.95 yellows/match · 65 matches

Kickoff

07 Nov, 17:30 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Top stats

22%Possession78%

1.06Expected goals (xG)1.76

11Total shots12

5Shots on target4

1Big chances3

3Corners7

Shots

3Shots off target4

3Blocked shots4

7Shots inside box10

4Shots outside box2

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

0Big chances missed3

-0.2Goals prevented-1.29

Attack

14Touches in box33

38Final third entries79

2Offsides0

7Free kicks13

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

208Passes771

137Accurate passes679

17/61 (28%)Long balls13/31 (42%)

2/12 (17%)Crosses7/23 (30%)

11Throw-ins22

Duels

45Duels55

33/70 (47%)Ground duels37/70 (53%)

9/24 (38%)Aerial duels15/24 (63%)

6/11 (55%)Dribbles11/21 (52%)

8Dispossessed10

Defending

20Tackles13

65Tackles won69

13Interceptions1

32Clearances18

53Recoveries45

Discipline

13Fouls7

4Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

10Goal kicks7

1Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Forest 21%

24%

Man City 55%

Who winsMan City to win (DNB) 67% · 1.29 @ Betano

1X2Man City to win 55% · 2.05 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.80 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.90 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 24% · 2.78 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.53 @ Bet365

1X2Forest to win 21% · 4.30 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.50

Nottingham Forest

4.00

Draw

1.72

Manchester City

Double Chanceconsensus

2.12

Nottingham Forest or Draw

1.23

Nottingham Forest or Manchester City

1.20

Draw or Manchester City

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.17

Home Win to Nilconsensus

9.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.18

Over 1.50

4.55

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.65

Over 2.50

2.29

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.50

Over 3.50

1.50

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.60

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.70

Nottingham Forest

1.25

Manchester City

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.40

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.51

Over 8.50

2.35

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.90

Over 9.50

1.85

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.40

Over 10.50

1.50

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.10

Over 11.50

1.31

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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