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Maurizio Sarri
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Atalanta
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Sassuolo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
841406 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
85.1%
-12.9 vs price
Draw
40.0 · implied 2.5%
10.5%
+8.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.4%
+4.3 vs price
Half time
4552 EUR · live
Home
1.1 · implied 90.9%
90.2%
-0.7 vs price
Away
100.0 · implied 1.0%
6.4%
+5.4 vs price
Draw
11.0 · implied 9.1%
3.4%
-5.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
55855 EUR · live
Over
1.51 · implied 66.2%
74.0%
+7.8 vs price
Under
2.94 · implied 34.0%
26.0%
-8.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3109 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
80.8%
-17.2 vs price
Over
42.0 · implied 2.4%
19.2%
+16.8 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
G. Raspadori · assist G. Gaetano1–0
Half-time · 1–0
55'
⚽
C. Odenthal1–1
60'
🔁
L. Samardžić ◂ M. Pašalić
60'
🔁
N. Krstović ◂ G. Scamacca
60'
🔁
C. De Ketelaere ◂ N. Zalewski
64'
🔁
K. Thorstvedt ◂ V. Adžić
65'
⚽
N. Krstović2–1
71'
🔁
S. Kolašinac ◂ L. Bernasconi
74'
🔁
B. Domínguez ◂ N. Matić
74'
🔁
F. Leysen ◂ T. Macchioni
82'
🔁
E. Elmas ◂ G. Raspadori
88'
🔁
R. Ciervo ◂ C. Volpato
88'
🔁
G. Kulla ◂ K. Bowie
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Alberto Aquilani 
Recent form
DHHapoel Tel Aviv0-0
WHAthletic Club1-0
WAFC Schalke 043-0
LAFeyenoord1-2
WHArezzo3-2
WHCesena3-0
LAFC Augsburg2-3
LHCelta Vigo1-4
DHFolgore Caratese0-0
DHParma0-0
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Arena Sport 3 SRB
DAZN Belgium
MAX Sport 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+YouTube - ESPN Brasil
Disney+ Premium Chile
Cytavision Sports 7HD
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZN
MTV Urheilu 3
TV2 Play Denmark
BBC AlbaBBC Sport WebBBC iPlayer
MAGENTA | 2HD
Arena Sport 3 HR
BBC AlbaBBC Sport WebBBC iPlayer
DAZN
Arena Sport 3 SRB
Arena Sport 3 SRB
Disney+ Premium Mexico
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 2 HD
Sport TV6
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Arena Sport 3 SRB
TV4 Sportkanalen
DAZN
Paramount+Peacock
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Match facts
Stadium
New Balance Arena
City
Bergamo
Kickoff
23 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
29
M. Carnesecchi
7.7
77
D. Zappacosta
7.0
3
O. Kossounou
6.3
42
G. Scalvini
6.7
23
S. Kolašinac
6.8
↑ 71'
10
L. Samardžić
6.9
↑ 60'
70
G. Gaetano
7.1
13
Éderson
6.5
17
C. De Ketelaere
7.1
↑ 60'
90
N. Krstović
7.2
↑ 60'
99
E. Elmas
6.5
↑ 82'
49
A. Murić
6.8
46
S. Cinquegrano
6.6
26
C. Odenthal
7.4
16
F. Leysen
7.0
↑ 74'
3
J. Doig
7.3
42
K. Thorstvedt
6.7
↑ 64'
25
B. Domínguez
6.3
↑ 74'
50
D. Bakola
7.2
20
R. Ciervo
↑ 88'
14
G. Kulla
↑ 88'
45
A. Laurienté
6.7
Top stats
56%Possession44%
0.88Expected goals (xG)2.7
14Total shots22
7Shots on target8
1Big chances4
4Corners4
Shots
4Shots off target9
3Blocked shots5
8Shots inside box12
6Shots outside box10
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed3
0.77Goals prevented-0.77
Attack
23Touches in box25
48Final third entries31
0Offsides1
10Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
596Passes466
544Accurate passes422
19/42 (45%)Long balls17/25 (68%)
1/10 (10%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
17Throw-ins15
Duels
45Duels55
29/60 (48%)Ground duels31/60 (52%)
2/9 (22%)Aerial duels7/9 (78%)
3/7 (43%)Dribbles8/18 (44%)
10Dispossessed6
Defending
16Tackles14
63Tackles won50
6Interceptions6
13Clearances15
39Recoveries49
Discipline
9Fouls10
Goalkeeping
7Saves5
1Big saves2
12Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 77 bookmakers
1X2Atalanta to win 62% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
Who winsAtalanta to win (DNB) 79% · 1.29 @ forbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.00 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.95 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.70 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.60 @ betfair
1X2Draw 22% · 2.95 @ hardrock
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.49 @ bet9ja
1X2Sassuolo to win 16% · 5.60 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.52
Atalanta ▲
4.34
Draw ▲
5.85
Sassuolo ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
Atalanta or Draw
1.21
Atalanta or Sassuolo ▲
2.45
Draw or Sassuolo ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.77
Yes ▲
1.97
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.30
YES
1.55
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
6.25
YES
1.09
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.70
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
10.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50 ▲
4.23
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50 ▼
2.16
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.64
Over 3.50 ▲
1.45
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.67
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.18
Atalanta
4.38
Sassuolo ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.33
Over 7.50
3.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.27
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Atalanta to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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