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Carlos Cuesta
Parma
Cagliari
Parma
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Cagliari
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
280170 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
49.0%
-49.1 vs price
Draw
95.0 · implied 1.1%
33.5%
+32.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
18.1%
+18.0 vs price
Half time
3373 EUR · live
Draw
1.28 · implied 78.1%
79.7%
+1.6 vs price
Away
8.4 · implied 11.9%
14.2%
+2.3 vs price
Home
9.6 · implied 10.4%
6.1%
-4.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
70797 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
80.5%
-18.5 vs price
Over
200.0 · implied 0.5%
19.5%
+19.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7094 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.3%
-2.8 vs price
Over
150.0 · implied 0.7%
3.7%
+3.1 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
Z. Pedro · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
57'
J. Fazzini · Foul
66'
🔁
G. Borrelli ◂ P. Mendy
66'
🔁
M. Felici ◂ J. Fazzini
66'
🔁
G. Zappa ◂ Z. Pedro
66'
🔁
P. Almqvist ◂ A. Bernabé
75'
🔁
O. Diallo ◂ S. Lontani
75'
🔁
R. Kouda ◂ M. Keita
79'
⚽
A. Romano · assist M. N. Adopo0–1
84'
🔁
N. Elphege ◂ A. Konaté
85'
🔁
B. Cremaschi ◂ M. Troilo
87'
🔁
K. Mutandwa ◂ D. Maldini
87'
🔁
G. Aurelio ◂ A. Obert
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Carlos CuestaFabio Pisacane 
Recent form
ParmaWHCatania2-0
LHSampdoria0-2
DHPOT Iraklis1-1
DHArezzo1-1
DASassuolo0-0
CagliariWHArezzo1-0
DHNice0-0
DA1. FC Union Berlin2-2
WHModena1-0
DHSampdoria0-0
Where to watch
Arena Sport 3 SRB
DAZN Belgium
MAX Sport 2
Disney+
DAZN
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
Arena Sport 4 HR
DAZN
Eleven Sports 3 HD
TV4 Sport Live 2
DAZN
CBS Sports Network
Match facts
Highlights & clips
Parma
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Cagliari
40
E. Corvi
7.0
15
E. Delprato
6.8
8
B. Cremaschi
6.7
↑ 85'
3
A. Ndiaye
6.5
14
E. Valeri
7.1
11
P. Almqvist
6.5
↑ 66'
23
N. Elphege
6.4
↑ 84'
32
C. Ordoñez
7.6
80
R. Kouda
5.9
↑ 75'
19
E. B. Touré
6.4
7
O. Diallo
6.5
↑ 75'
1
E. Caprile
7.1
28
G. Zappa
6.7
↑ 66'
14
A. Deiola
6.9
15
J. Rodríguez
7.2
24
G. Aurelio
6.6
↑ 87'
4
A. Romano
8.1
6
H. Winks
6.7
8
M. N. Adopo
7.0
18
K. Mutandwa
6.2
↑ 87'
29
G. Borrelli
6.6
↑ 66'
17
M. Felici
6.3
↑ 66'
Top stats
47%Possession53%
0.75Expected goals (xG)0.94
13Total shots14
2Shots on target5
2Big chances2
3Corners2
Shots
10Shots off target6
1Blocked shots3
7Shots inside box9
6Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork2
2Big chances missed2
-0.44Goals prevented0.08
Attack
18Touches in box22
47Final third entries49
1Offsides0
20Free kicks6
6Fouled in final third2
Passing
443Passes497
373Accurate passes445
16/39 (41%)Long balls12/27 (44%)
4/16 (25%)Crosses5/16 (31%)
18Throw-ins15
Duels
59Duels41
52/80 (65%)Ground duels28/80 (35%)
7/20 (35%)Aerial duels13/20 (65%)
9/15 (60%)Dribbles11/22 (50%)
6Dispossessed12
Defending
23Tackles12
61Tackles won67
6Interceptions14
13Clearances24
47Recoveries49
Discipline
6Fouls20
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
5Goal kicks12
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 75 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.13 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.21 @ veikkaus
1X2Draw 30% · 2.33 @ forbet
1X2Cagliari to win 35% · 3.60 @ fonbet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.23 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.45 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.77 @ Unibet
Who winsParma to win (DNB) 54% · 1.78 @ forbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.60 @ William Hill
1X2Parma to win 35% · 3.00 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.53
Parma ▼
3.03
Draw ▲
3.00
Cagliari ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
Parma or Draw ▼
1.37
Parma or Cagliari
1.50
Draw or Cagliari ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.97
Yes ▼
1.77
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.62
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.90
YES
1.36
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.83
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.65
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.09
Over 0.50
7.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.44
Over 1.50
2.66
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.38
Over 2.50
1.56
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.46
Over 3.50 ▲
1.18
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.11
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.74
Parma
2.01
Cagliari
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
1.00
Over 3.50
14.50
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50
10.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.08
Over 5.50
6.00
Under 5.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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