Torino vs AC Milan — live & stats

Where the money is

2570940 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1813058 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

86.2%

-12.8 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.0%

+6.9 vs price

Draw 65.0 · implied 1.5%

6.8%

+5.2 vs price

Half time 6128 EUR · live

Away 7.8 · implied 12.8%

43.2%

+30.4 vs price

Draw 1.23 · implied 81.3%

38.0%

-43.3 vs price

Home 17.5 · implied 5.7%

18.7%

+13.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 289136 EUR · live

Under 1.06 · implied 94.3%

77.5%

-16.9 vs price

Over 15.5 · implied 6.5%

22.6%

+16.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 17796 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

96.4%

-1.7 vs price

Over 160.0 · implied 0.6%

3.6%

+3.0 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

52' R. Loftus-Cheek · Foul

56' 🔁 L. Modrić ◂ R. Loftus-Cheek

56' 🔁 A. Rabiot ◂ A. Jashari

64' ⚽ A. Cissè · assist A. Rabiot0–1

66' ⚽ A. Rabiot · assist S. Chukwueze0–2

66' 🔁 A. Saelemaekers ◂ A. Cissè

66' 🔁 D. Bartesaghi ◂ P. Estupiñán

70' 🔁 A. Njie ◂ G. Simeone

70' 🔁 N. Fortini ◂ M. Pedersen

70' 🔁 C. Adams ◂ C. Casadei

76' 🔁 M. Gabbia ◂ M. Gila

81' 🔁 Z. Aboukhlal ◂ A. Cacciamani

85' 🔁 S. Kulenović ◂ P. Comuzzo

Full-time · 1–2

90'⁺³ ⚽ C. Adams · assist G. Gineitis1–2

Coaches

Ignazio Abate

Rúben Amorim

Recent form

Torino

WHCarrarese1-0

DAUS Avellino 19121-1

WHVado3-1

WABurnley1-0

LHCittadella0-1

AC Milan

WHManchester United4-2

LAChelsea0-3

DHInter1-1

DACeltic2-2

LHCagliari1-2

Where to watch

Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN 2 Sur

Match facts

Stadium

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

City

Turin

Referee

Luca Zufferli

2.86 yellows/match · 22 matches

Kickoff

23 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Serie A

Highlights & clips

Torino 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1 AC Milan

26 D. Mascardi 6.1 23 S. Coco 6.7 44 A. Ismajli 6.4 17 S. Kulenović 6.4 ↑ 85' 29 N. Fortini 7.0 ↑ 70' 66 G. Gineitis 6.8 28 K. Fitz-Jim 6.9 7 Z. Aboukhlal 6.4 ↑ 81' 10 N. Vlašić 6.3 92 A. Njie 6.9 ↑ 70' 19 C. Adams 7.3 ↑ 70' 16 M. Maignan 6.4 46 M. Gabbia 6.4 ↑ 76' 5 K. De Winter 7.4 31 S. Pavlović 6.9 21 S. Chukwueze 7.5 80 Y. Musah 6.4 14 L. Modrić 6.8 ↑ 56' 33 D. Bartesaghi 6.8 ↑ 66' 12 A. Rabiot 7.4 ↑ 56' 56 A. Saelemaekers 6.5 ↑ 66' 9 G. Ramos 6.1

Top stats

41%Possession59%

1.29Expected goals (xG)2.15

8Total shots19

1Shots on target4

2Big chances2

2Corners4

Shots

5Shots off target9

2Blocked shots6

7Shots inside box19

1Shots outside box0

1Hit woodwork0

0Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed1

0.05Goals prevented-0.11

Attack

20Touches in box40

36Final third entries39

2Offsides0

9Free kicks10

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

384Passes547

315Accurate passes482

13/41 (32%)Long balls28/51 (55%)

2/14 (14%)Crosses11/22 (50%)

15Throw-ins21

Duels

45Duels55

26/54 (48%)Ground duels28/54 (52%)

11/28 (39%)Aerial duels17/28 (61%)

6/9 (67%)Dribbles4/15 (27%)

11Dispossessed1

Defending

12Tackles14

75Tackles won86

6Interceptions6

19Clearances22

45Recoveries43

Discipline

10Fouls9

0Yellow cards1

Goalkeeping

2Saves0

12Goal kicks10

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 77 bookmakers

Torino 21%

26%

Milan 53%

Who winsMilan to win (DNB) 71% · 1.42 @ forbet

1X2Milan to win 53% · 2.30 @ 888Sport

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 72% · 1.32 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 60% · 1.77 @ 10bet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.18 @ 10bet

1X2Draw 26% · 2.70 @ hardrock

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.35 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.75 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.40 @ 888Sport

CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ betfair

1X2Torino to win 21% · 4.50 @ granmadrid

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.43

Torino ▲

3.67

Draw ▲

1.78

AC Milan ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

2.00

Torino or Draw ▲

1.27

Torino or AC Milan ▲

1.20

Draw or AC Milan

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes ▲

1.94

No ▲

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

4.50

YES

1.17

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

2.40

YES

1.50

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

7.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.94

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

8.80

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.27

Over 1.50

3.52

Under 1.50 ▲

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.89

Over 2.50 ▲

1.88

Under 2.50 ▼

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.18

Over 3.50 ▲

1.33

Under 3.50 ▲

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.45

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.19

Torino ▲

1.31

AC Milan

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.45

Over 7.50

2.52

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.79

Over 8.50

1.97

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.28

Over 9.50

1.55

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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