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Giovanni Stroppa
Venezia
Lecce
Venezia
3-5-2 · 4-3-3
Lecce
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1043276 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
59.3%
+59.2 vs price
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
29.5%
-69.5 vs price
Draw
120.0 · implied 0.8%
11.2%
+10.4 vs price
Half time
1208 EUR
Away
5.4 · implied 18.5%
44.4%
+25.8 vs price
Draw
2.36 · implied 42.4%
42.3%
-0.1 vs price
Home
2.62 · implied 38.2%
13.2%
-25.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
225857 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
80.1%
-17.9 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
19.9%
+17.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
599 EUR
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
81.9%
-8.2 vs price
Over
9.4 · implied 10.6%
18.0%
+7.4 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
3'
K. Gaspar · Foul
16'
VAR
Goal not given after review · T. Correia
Half-time · 0–0
46'
⚽
O. Gorter · assist L. Coulibaly0–1
46'
🔁
C. Ndaba ◂ A. Gallo
59'
O. Ngom · Foul
61'
🔁
Y. Maleh ◂ O. Gorter
64'
🔁
R. Haps ◂ T. Correia
70'
🔁
M. Dagasso ◂ K. Pérez
71'
D. Veiga · Foul
74'
🔁
N. Štulić ◂ W. Geubbels
74'
🔁
T. Gabriel ◂ N. Konan
78'
M. Dagasso · Foul
80'
⚽
T. Gabriel0–2
85'
🔁
R. Sagrado ◂ A. Hainaut
85'
🔁
A. Rrahmani ◂ T. Bašić
Full-time · 0–2
90'+1
🔁
O. Gandelman ◂ S. Pierotti
Coaches
Eusebio Di Francesco 
Recent form
WHModena3-2
DAStade Brestois2-2
LASaint-Étienne3-4
WAGalatasaray3-0
WHVis Pesaro8-0
LAPalermo0-2
WHMonopoli1-0
WHKety Emmi Bistrica5-2
DHNK Istra 19612-2
LHACS Știința Politehnica Timișoara0-1
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Arena Sport 3 SRB
DAZN Belgium
MAX Sport 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+
Disney+ Premium Chile
Cytavision Sports 7HD
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
MAGENTA | 2HD
Arena Sport 6 HR
DAZN
Arena Sport 3 SRB
Arena Sport 3 SRB
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 4 HD
Sport TV6
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Arena Sport 3 SRB
Match! futbol 3
TV4 Sport Live 2
DAZN
Paramount+Peacock
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Match facts
Stadium
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
City
Venice
Kickoff
23 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
1
F. Stanković
7.0
3
J. Schingtienne
6.2
17
A. Bella-Kotchap
7.1
4
B. Franjić
7.3
20
R. Sagrado
6.6
↑ 85'
30
M. Dagasso
6.3
↑ 70'
6
G. Busio
8.5
7
A. Rrahmani
6.6
↑ 85'
5
R. Haps
6.8
↑ 64'
10
J. Yeboah
7.6
45
A. Adams
6.6
30
W. Falcone
9.9
17
D. Veiga
7.7
4
K. Gaspar
7.9
5
J. Siebert
8.0
3
C. Ndaba
6.8
↑ 46'
29
L. Coulibaly
7.0
79
O. Ngom
6.4
14
Y. Maleh
6.8
↑ 61'
16
O. Gandelman
↑ 90'
44
T. Gabriel
7.4
↑ 74'
9
N. Štulić
6.1
↑ 74'
Substitutes
96GL. Montipò
14DT. Correia↓ 64'6.3
25DR. Halhal
95DA. Gomes
26MT. Bašić↓ 85'6.8
18MA. Hainaut↓ 85'6.7
71MK. Pérez↓ 70'6.6
8ML. Dabo
56MK. Lisman
11MM. Farji
55MS. Panada
19MS. Sohm
21MT. Helgason
90FA. O. Okoro
29FL. Lauberbach
Coach: Giovanni Stroppa
Substitutes
33GP. Penev
1GM. Bleve
25DA. Gallo↓ 46'6.7
28MO. Gorter↓ 61'7.5
34MH. Lærke
8MS. Fofana
11FN. Konan↓ 74'6.8
50FS. Pierotti↓ 90'6.8
69FW. Geubbels↓ 74'5.8
22FP. Esteban
Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Top stats
71%Possession29%
2.05Expected goals (xG)2.7
19Total shots12
7Shots on target5
5Big chances4
5Corners3
Shots
10Shots off target6
2Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box7
7Shots outside box5
2Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
5Big chances missed3
0.13Goals prevented1.82
Attack
23Touches in box21
59Final third entries40
2Offsides2
12Free kicks8
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
632Passes260
548Accurate passes189
31/50 (62%)Long balls13/48 (27%)
5/28 (18%)Crosses2/12 (17%)
31Throw-ins16
Duels
55Duels45
37/70 (53%)Ground duels33/70 (47%)
17/28 (61%)Aerial duels11/28 (39%)
13/23 (57%)Dribbles5/15 (33%)
11Dispossessed4
Defending
14Tackles21
43Tackles won71
5Interceptions12
12Clearances36
51Recoveries41
Discipline
8Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
0Big saves2
6Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 77 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.14 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.01 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 30% · 2.42 @ forbet
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.25 @ 10bet
Who winsVenezia to win (DNB) 57% · 1.70 @ forbet
1X2Lecce to win 28% · 4.25 @ 1xBet
1X2Venezia to win 42% · 2.80 @ betcity
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.45 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.26
Venezia ▲
3.16
Draw ▼
3.33
Lecce ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.32
Venezia or Draw ▼
1.34
Venezia or Lecce
1.62
Draw or Lecce ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.89
Yes ▲
1.85
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.35
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.45
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.62
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.38
Over 1.50 ▲
2.91
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.20
Over 2.50 ▲
1.65
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.94
Over 3.50 ▼
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.95
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.64
Venezia
2.15
Lecce
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50
5.21
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.36
Over 7.50
2.80
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.65
Over 8.50
2.12
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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