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Rúben Amorim
AC Milan
Venezia
AC Milan
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2
Venezia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1926169 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.0%
-11.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.3%
+6.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.7%
+5.6 vs price
Half time
12749 EUR · live
Home
4.5 · implied 22.2%
51.4%
+29.2 vs price
Draw
1.44 · implied 69.4%
41.2%
-28.2 vs price
Away
12.5 · implied 8.0%
7.3%
-0.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
187914 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
79.9%
-15.4 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
20.1%
+14.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7605 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.1%
-2.9 vs price
Over
160.0 · implied 0.6%
3.9%
+3.3 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
27'
J. Schingtienne · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
45'+3
🔁
R. Halhal ◂ B. Franjić
48'
K. Pérez · Foul
54'
R. Haps · Foul
59'
🔁
A. Rabiot ◂ A. Cissè
59'
🔁
A. Saelemaekers ◂ R. Loftus-Cheek
65'
🔁
S. Sohm ◂ T. Bašić
66'
🔁
T. Correia ◂ R. Haps
69'
⚽
G. Ramos · assist A. Saelemaekers1–0
71'
S. Pavlović · Foul
74'
🔁
A. Jashari ◂ L. Modrić
80'
🔁
A. Rrahmani ◂ K. Pérez
80'
🔁
L. Lauberbach ◂ J. Yeboah
87'
🔁
M. Gabbia ◂ M. Gila
87'
🔁
P. Estupiñán ◂ D. Bartesaghi
89'
⚽
R. Halhal2–0
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Rúben AmorimGiovanni Stroppa 
Recent form
AC MilanWATorino2-1
WHManchester United4-2
LAChelsea0-3
DHInter1-1
DACeltic2-2
VeneziaLHLecce0-2
WHModena3-2
DAStade Brestois2-2
LASaint-Étienne3-4
WAGalatasaray3-0
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
DAZN Austria
Arena Sport Premium 2
Canal+
MAX Sport 3
Canal+
Canal+
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ESPN 4
Canal+
Canal+
DAZN
Canal+
Disney+ Premium Chile
Canal+
Canal+
Cytavision Sports 4HD
DAZN
Canal+
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
Canal+
Canal+
Canal+
Canal+
Canal+
MAGENTA | 2HD
Canal+
Arena Sport 2 HR
One 2 Sports
DAZN
Arena Sport Premium 2
Canal+
Canal+
sooka
Canal+
Canal+
Ziggo GoZiggo Sport 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 1 HD
Sport TV2
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Digi Sport 3
Arena Sport Premium 2
Canal+
TV4 Fotball
Canal+
DAZN
Canal+
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MEGOGO Football 2
Paramount+Telemundo DeportesUniversoUniverso NowfuboTV
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Match facts
Stadium
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
City
Milano
Kickoff
28 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
AC Milan
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2
Venezia
16
M. Maignan
7.2
46
M. Gabbia
↑ 87'
5
K. De Winter
6.8
31
S. Pavlović
7.5
21
S. Chukwueze
7.8
80
Y. Musah
7.2
30
A. Jashari
6.8
↑ 74'
2
P. Estupiñán
↑ 87'
56
A. Saelemaekers
7.4
↑ 59'
12
A. Rabiot
6.5
↑ 59'
9
G. Ramos
6.8
1
F. Stanković
7.4
3
J. Schingtienne
6.3
17
A. Bella-Kotchap
6.6
25
R. Halhal
5.8
↑ 45'
18
A. Hainaut
6.6
7
A. Rrahmani
6.3
↑ 80'
6
G. Busio
7.0
19
S. Sohm
6.3
↑ 65'
14
T. Correia
6.2
↑ 66'
29
L. Lauberbach
6.6
↑ 80'
45
A. Adams
6.4
Top stats
58%Possession42%
2.21Expected goals (xG)0.8
16Total shots9
5Shots on target2
8Big chances1
2Corners3
Shots
9Shots off target3
2Blocked shots4
11Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
7Big chances missed1
0.2Goals prevented-0.66
Attack
26Touches in box14
43Final third entries41
1Offsides4
11Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
508Passes363
444Accurate passes301
22/45 (49%)Long balls18/38 (47%)
6/14 (43%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
19Throw-ins16
Duels
49Duels51
37/73 (51%)Ground duels36/73 (49%)
14/31 (45%)Aerial duels17/31 (55%)
6/15 (40%)Dribbles4/15 (27%)
15Dispossessed9
Defending
20Tackles24
60Tackles won50
4Interceptions6
21Clearances25
48Recoveries45
Discipline
8Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Milan to win 68% · 1.80 @ William Hill
Who winsMilan to win (DNB) 80% · 1.18 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.30 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.00 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 20% · 2.90 @ Unibet
1X2Venezia to win 12% · 6.50 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.46
AC Milan
4.60
Draw
6.90
Venezia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.10
AC Milan or Draw
1.17
AC Milan or Venezia
2.65
Draw or Venezia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes
1.88
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
1.85
YES
1.85
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
6.25
YES
1.08
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.30
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
11.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.19
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.12
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.83
Over 3.50
1.42
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.16
AC Milan
4.80
Venezia
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50
3.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.58
Over 8.50
2.24
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.95
Over 9.50
1.77
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AC Milan to win or draw
✓
88% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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