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Maurizio Sarri
Atalanta
Bologna
Atalanta
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Bologna
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1213826 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
67.6%
-31.4 vs price
Draw
140.0 · implied 0.7%
19.4%
+18.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
13.5%
+13.4 vs price
Half time
13495 EUR · live
Home
11.5 · implied 8.7%
45.0%
+36.3 vs price
Draw
1.19 · implied 84.0%
34.1%
-49.9 vs price
Away
15.0 · implied 6.7%
20.9%
+14.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
157923 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.5%
-23.5 vs price
Over
140.0 · implied 0.7%
24.5%
+23.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9812 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.0%
-6.0 vs price
Over
200.0 · implied 0.5%
7.0%
+6.5 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
55'
🔁
N. Zalewski ◂ C. De Ketelaere
56'
🔁
E. Elmas ◂ G. Raspadori
60'
🔁
A. Dovbyk ◂ R. Piccoli
60'
🔁
R. Orsolini ◂ J. Odgaard
61'
D. Tedesco · Argument
68'
🔁
L. Samardžić ◂ Éderson
68'
🔁
N. Krstović ◂ G. Scamacca
72'
🔁
M. Amondarain ◂ T. Pobega
72'
🔁
N. Zortea ◂ E. Holm
73'
N. Krstović · Argument
78'
🔁
R. Bellanova ◂ S. Kolašinac
80'
🔁
N. Moro ◂ R. Orsolini
Full-time · 1–0
90'+6
⚽
L. Samardžić · assist N. Zalewski1–0
Coaches
Maurizio SarriDomenico Tedesco 
Recent form
AtalantaWAHapoel Tel Aviv1-0
WHSassuolo2-1
DHHapoel Tel Aviv0-0
WHAthletic Club1-0
WAFC Schalke 043-0
BolognaLHLazio0-1
LABrighton & Hove Albion0-1
LHPisa1-4
WHSC Cambuur3-1
WHPOT Iraklis2-0
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 3
DAZN Belgium
MAX Sport 3
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+SportyNetYouTube - SportyNet
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
MAGENTA | 3HD
Arena Sport 2 HR
Sport 4
DAZNNOWSky GoSky Sport Calcio
Arena Sport Premium 3
Ziggo GoZiggo Sport 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 1 HD
Sport TV2
Arena Sport Premium 3
TV4 Sport Live 2
DAZNNOWSky GoSky Sport Calcio
Paramount+Peacock
Match facts
Stadium
New Balance Arena
City
Bergamo
Kickoff
31 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
Atalanta
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Bologna
29
M. Carnesecchi
8.3
77
D. Zappacosta
7.0
3
O. Kossounou
7.2
42
G. Scalvini
7.3
16
R. Bellanova
7.1
↑ 78'
8
M. Pašalić
6.8
70
G. Gaetano
6.8
10
L. Samardžić
7.6
↑ 68'
59
N. Zalewski
6.9
↑ 55'
90
N. Krstović
6.2
↑ 68'
99
E. Elmas
6.5
↑ 56'
1
Ł. Skorupski
6.2
20
N. Zortea
6.5
↑ 72'
5
E. Helland
7.1
14
T. Heggem
7.1
23
A. R. Alhassane
6.6
8
M. Amondarain
6.6
↑ 72'
19
L. Ferguson
7.1
10
F. Bernardeschi
6.9
7
R. Orsolini
6.5
↑ 60'
28
N. Cambiaghi
6.3
9
A. Dovbyk
6.5
↑ 60'
Top stats
42%Possession58%
0.15Expected goals (xG)1.05
6Total shots16
2Shots on target3
0Big chances1
1Corners2
Shots
2Shots off target10
2Blocked shots3
3Shots inside box10
3Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances missed1
1.13Goals prevented-0.95
Attack
11Touches in box19
55Final third entries46
0Offsides4
13Free kicks10
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
478Passes683
407Accurate passes620
19/39 (49%)Long balls25/44 (57%)
2/5 (40%)Crosses0/6 (0%)
21Throw-ins15
Duels
43Duels57
26/60 (43%)Ground duels34/60 (57%)
4/10 (40%)Aerial duels6/10 (60%)
5/11 (45%)Dribbles6/8 (75%)
12Dispossessed6
Defending
8Tackles18
75Tackles won50
12Interceptions11
13Clearances17
31Recoveries46
Discipline
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
1Big saves0
11Goal kicks3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsAtalanta to win (DNB) 65% · 1.42 @ Betsson
1X2Atalanta to win 50% · 2.25 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.18 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.67 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.50 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.85 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.13 @ 1xBet
1X2Bologna to win 24% · 4.05 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.88
Atalanta
3.60
Draw
4.10
Bologna
Double Chanceconsensus
1.23
Atalanta or Draw
1.29
Atalanta or Bologna
1.88
Draw or Bologna
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
2.00
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.62
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.33
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.91
Over 2.50
1.90
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.38
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.40
Atalanta
2.80
Bologna
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
2.88
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.61
Over 8.50
2.18
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.96
Over 9.50
1.77
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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