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Ivan Jurić
Monza
Udinese
Monza
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Udinese
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
512390 EUR · live
Away
1.06 · implied 94.3%
68.8%
-25.6 vs price
Draw
19.5 · implied 5.1%
17.7%
+12.5 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
13.6%
+13.5 vs price
Half time
1244 EUR
Draw
2.14 · implied 46.7%
79.0%
+32.3 vs price
Away
3.5 · implied 28.6%
20.2%
-8.4 vs price
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
0.7%
-24.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
56219 EUR · live
Over
1.34 · implied 74.6%
52.2%
-22.4 vs price
Under
4.1 · implied 24.4%
47.8%
+23.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1074 EUR
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
94.2%
+3.3 vs price
Over
11.5 · implied 8.7%
5.8%
-2.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
32'
⚽
J. Piotrowski · assist H. Kamara0–1
37'
⚽
A. Colpani · assist R. Mangas1–1
Half-time · 1–3
45'
⚽
H. Kamara1–2
45'+3
⚽
J. Ekkelenkamp1–3
46'
L. Lucchesi · Foul
54'
🔁
E. Akinsanmiro ◂ M. Mout
54'
🔁
M. Folorunsho ◂ M. F. Ondoa
60'
🔁
O. Zarraga ◂ U. Gómez
60'
🔁
L. Miller ◂ J. Piotrowski
61'
🔁
F. Delli Carri ◂ L. Lucchesi
63'
⚽
G. Varela · assist E. Akinsanmiro2–3
68'
🔁
N. Bertola ◂ E. Ebosse
68'
🔁
I. Gueye ◂ K. Davis
84'
🔁
D. Mota ◂ A. Colpani
84'
🔁
O. Forson ◂ S. Birindelli
85'
🔁
J. Arizala ◂ M. Vojvoda
Full-time · 2–3
Coaches
Ivan JurićKosta Runjaic 
Recent form
MonzaLAInter1-4
WHUS Avellino 19123-0
DHPadova3-3
LHAris Thessaloniki1-3
WAGalatasaray2-0
UdineseDHComo1-1
WHPadova1-0
WHFC Barcelona1-0
WHNottingham Forest1-0
LHTrabzonspor0-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport 2 SRB
DAZN Belgium
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
TV2 Play Denmark
Arena Sport 6 HR
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 3 HD
TV4 Sport Live 1
Match facts
Stadium
U-Power Stadium
City
Monza
Referee
Kickoff
29 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
Monza
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Udinese
20
D. Thiam
5.6
60
E. Kouadio
6.6
15
F. Delli Carri
6.8
↑ 61'
44
A. Carboni
6.3
47
D. Mota
6.5
↑ 84'
90
M. Folorunsho
7.0
↑ 54'
14
E. Akinsanmiro
7.2
↑ 54'
7
R. Mangas
7.1
11
O. Forson
6.8
↑ 84'
10
P. Cutrone
7.0
9
G. Varela
7.1
40
M. Okoye
7.4
14
J. Abankwah
6.7
28
O. Solet
6.8
13
N. Bertola
6.6
↑ 68'
20
J. Arizala
6.6
↑ 85'
38
L. Miller
6.2
↑ 60'
8
J. Karlström
6.4
11
H. Kamara
8.3
6
O. Zarraga
6.5
↑ 60'
32
J. Ekkelenkamp
7.3
7
I. Gueye
6.6
↑ 68'
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.98
15Total shots12
5Shots on target5
3Big chances0
3Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots4
11Shots inside box10
4Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed0
-1.18Goals prevented-0.22
Attack
25Touches in box21
67Final third entries55
4Offsides1
12Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
420Passes418
346Accurate passes335
18/55 (33%)Long balls29/66 (44%)
7/27 (26%)Crosses1/11 (9%)
26Throw-ins19
Duels
50Duels50
26/51 (51%)Ground duels25/51 (49%)
14/29 (48%)Aerial duels15/29 (52%)
3/9 (33%)Dribbles5/9 (56%)
4Dispossessed8
Defending
12Tackles10
42Tackles won70
12Interceptions6
25Clearances40
52Recoveries50
Discipline
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves2
5Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsUdinese to win (DNB) 56% · 1.73 @ Bwin
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.12 @ William Hill
1X2Udinese to win 39% · 2.88 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.22 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 30% · 2.33 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.25 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 2.45 @ William Hill
1X2Monza to win 31% · 3.42 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.10
Monza
3.12
Draw
2.42
Udinese
Double Chanceconsensus
1.58
Monza or Draw
1.33
Monza or Udinese
1.33
Draw or Udinese
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.80
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.20
YES
1.30
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.40
Over 1.50
2.88
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.21
Over 2.50
1.65
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.20
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.05
Monza
1.70
Udinese
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.43
Over 7.50
2.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.77
Over 8.50
1.96
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.27
Over 9.50
1.58
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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