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Massimiliano Allegri
SSC Napoli
Como
SSC Napoli
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Como
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2023576 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
56.2%
-40.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
30.7%
+30.6 vs price
Draw
32.0 · implied 3.1%
13.5%
+10.3 vs price
Half time
2423 EUR
Draw
2.14 · implied 46.7%
96.8%
+50.1 vs price
Home
3.2 · implied 31.2%
1.6%
-29.7 vs price
Away
4.5 · implied 22.2%
1.5%
-20.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
268638 EUR · live
Over
1.17 · implied 85.5%
57.8%
-27.7 vs price
Under
6.6 · implied 15.2%
42.2%
+27.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1731 EUR
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
77.6%
-13.3 vs price
Over
11.5 · implied 8.7%
22.4%
+13.7 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
M. Baturina · assist A. Diao0–1
30'
⚽
R. Højlund · assist A. Rrahmani1–1
34'
⚽
A. Douvikas · assist M. Baturina1–2
37'
G. Di Lorenzo · Foul
Half-time · 1–2
56'
🔁
A. Santos ◂ N. Lang
56'
🔁
L. Spinazzola ◂ M. Olivera
56'
🔁
K. De Bruyne ◂ S. McTominay
58'
🔁
I. Smolčić ◂ Y. Couto
58'
🔁
M. Caqueret ◂ M. Baturina
65'
🔁
M. Kempf ◂ A. Diao
66'
🔁
M. Perrone ◂ L. Da Cunha
80'
🔁
D. Neres ◂ F. Anguissa
80'
🔁
L. Lucca ◂ R. Højlund
81'
🔁
Kaiki ◂ N. Paz
Full-time · 1–2
Coaches
Cesc Fàbregas 
Recent form
WAGenoa2-0
WHAris Thessaloniki6-2
DHCelta Vigo1-1
WHOsasuna2-1
WHCarrarese2-0
DAUdinese1-1
LALiverpool FC0-2
DALiverpool FC0-0
DAArsenal1-1
WHAlula SC3-1
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
DAZN Austria
Arena Sport Premium 3
DAZN Belgium
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+SportyNetYouTube - SportyNet
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZN
TV2 Play DenmarkTV2 Sport X
DAZN
MTV Urheilu 3
TV2 Play DenmarkTV2 Sport X
TNT Sports 1
MAGENTA | 1HD
Arena Sport 2 HR
TNT Sports 1
DAZN
Arena Sport Premium 3
Ziggo GoZiggo SportZiggo Sport 2
Disney+ Premium Chile
Eleven Sports 1 HD
Sport TV4
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Digi Sport 2Prima Sport 2
Arena Sport Premium 3
TV4 Fotball
DAZN
CBS Sports Network
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Disney+ Premium Sur
Match facts
Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
City
Naples
Kickoff
30 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
1
A. Meret
6.8
22
G. Di Lorenzo
6.3
13
A. Rrahmani
7.2
16
R. Marín
6.6
37
L. Spinazzola
7.2
↑ 56'
7
D. Neres
6.6
↑ 80'
68
S. Lobotka
6.7
11
K. De Bruyne
7.1
↑ 56'
21
M. Politano
7.1
20
L. Lucca
6.4
↑ 80'
27
A. Santos
6.5
↑ 56'
1
J. Butez
7.0
28
I. Smolčić
6.9
↑ 58'
4
J. Ramón
7.4
99
T. Chalobah
7.1
3
Á. Valle
6.5
6
L. Milla
7.3
5
M. Perrone
6.6
↑ 66'
2
M. Kempf
6.9
↑ 65'
16
Kaiki
7.0
↑ 81'
8
M. Caqueret
6.6
↑ 58'
9
A. Douvikas
7.4
Top stats
42%Possession58%
1.39Expected goals (xG)1.05
13Total shots21
2Shots on target6
1Big chances0
2Corners7
Shots
7Shots off target10
4Blocked shots5
9Shots inside box13
4Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed0
-0.38Goals prevented-0.54
Attack
30Touches in box39
64Final third entries65
9Offsides0
5Free kicks9
Passing
442Passes609
385Accurate passes555
19/35 (54%)Long balls20/44 (45%)
5/16 (31%)Crosses6/19 (32%)
16Throw-ins12
Duels
44Duels56
23/56 (41%)Ground duels33/56 (59%)
12/24 (50%)Aerial duels12/24 (50%)
6/17 (35%)Dribbles9/15 (60%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles16
50Tackles won56
4Interceptions14
13Clearances26
37Recoveries37
Discipline
9Fouls5
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
1Big saves0
10Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsComo to win (DNB) 53% · 2.08 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.12 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 73% · 1.25 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.20 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 31% · 2.30 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ 10bet
1X2Como to win 31% · 3.40 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle
1X2Napoli to win 38% · 2.87 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 66% · 2.48 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.50
SSC Napoli
3.00
Draw
3.02
Como
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
SSC Napoli or Draw
1.36
SSC Napoli or Como
1.50
Draw or Como
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.90
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.65
YES
1.42
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.88
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.67
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
7.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.43
Over 1.50
2.73
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.34
Over 2.50
1.60
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.33
Over 3.50
1.18
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.70
SSC Napoli
2.05
Como
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.54
Over 7.50
2.28
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.97
Over 8.50
1.78
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.58
Over 9.50
1.43
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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