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Alberto Aquilani
Sassuolo
Torino
Sassuolo
4-3-3 · 5-3-2
Torino
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
291739 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
65.7%
-31.3 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
22.1%
+18.4 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.2%
+12.1 vs price
Half time
525 EUR
Draw
2.26 · implied 44.2%
89.6%
+45.3 vs price
Home
3.1 · implied 32.3%
6.7%
-25.6 vs price
Away
4.1 · implied 24.4%
3.4%
-21.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
102039 EUR · live
Over
2.04 · implied 49.0%
55.4%
+6.4 vs price
Under
1.95 · implied 51.3%
44.6%
-6.7 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
23'
G. Gineitis · Foul
32'
⚽
C. Volpato · assist V. Adžić1–0
40'
N. Matić · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
45'+2
⚽
P. Comuzzo · assist A. Cacciamani1–1
47'
C. Volpato · Foul
60'
🔁
B. Domínguez ◂ C. Volpato
60'
🔁
K. Thorstvedt ◂ V. Adžić
61'
🔁
R. Obrador ◂ J. Doig
67'
🔁
A. Ismajli ◂ E. Cömert
67'
🔁
E. İlkhan ◂ G. Gineitis
70'
A. Laurienté · Foul
72'
🔁
D. Berardi ◂ K. Bowie
73'
🔁
Z. Aboukhlal ◂ N. Fortini
73'
🔁
S. Kulenović ◂ G. Simeone
78'
⚽
D. Berardi · assist F. Leysen2–1
83'
🔁
D. Zapata ◂ C. Adams
Full-time · 2–1
90'
🔁
L. Lipani ◂ N. Matić
Coaches
Ignazio Abate 
Recent form
LAAtalanta1-2
WHCesena3-0
LAFC Augsburg2-3
LHCelta Vigo1-4
DHFolgore Caratese0-0
LHAC Milan1-2
WHCarrarese1-0
DAUS Avellino 19121-1
WHVado3-1
WABurnley1-0
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Arena Sport Premium 3
DAZN Belgium
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
TV2 Play Denmark
Arena Sport 2 HR
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
TV4 Sport Live 2
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Mapei Stadium
City
Reggio Emilia
Referee
Kickoff
29 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
49
A. Murić
8.0
46
S. Cinquegrano
6.6
21
J. Idzes
6.5
16
F. Leysen
6.8
33
R. Obrador
7.0
↑ 61'
25
B. Domínguez
6.0
↑ 60'
35
L. Lipani
↑ 90'
50
D. Bakola
7.5
42
K. Thorstvedt
7.0
↑ 60'
10
D. Berardi
7.9
↑ 72'
45
A. Laurienté
7.1
26
D. Mascardi
6.5
17
S. Kulenović
6.6
↑ 73'
15
P. Comuzzo
8.1
23
S. Coco
6.9
44
A. Ismajli
6.3
↑ 67'
77
A. Cacciamani
7.4
6
E. İlkhan
6.8
↑ 67'
28
K. Fitz-Jim
7.4
10
N. Vlašić
6.1
7
Z. Aboukhlal
6.5
↑ 73'
91
D. Zapata
6.6
↑ 83'
Top stats
46%Possession54%
1.85Expected goals (xG)1.26
19Total shots10
7Shots on target4
1Big chances4
4Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target3
6Blocked shots3
11Shots inside box8
8Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed3
0.38Goals prevented-1.04
Attack
36Touches in box16
58Final third entries37
5Offsides0
9Free kicks12
5Fouled in final third2
Passing
436Passes527
385Accurate passes475
26/43 (60%)Long balls25/41 (61%)
6/19 (32%)Crosses4/14 (29%)
26Throw-ins10
Duels
42Duels58
24/67 (36%)Ground duels43/67 (64%)
12/18 (67%)Aerial duels6/18 (33%)
7/16 (44%)Dribbles14/20 (70%)
8Dispossessed3
Defending
9Tackles17
56Tackles won65
3Interceptions2
17Clearances25
43Recoveries41
Discipline
12Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
1Big saves1
3Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.38 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.50 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.70 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365
Who winsSassuolo to win (DNB) 59% · 1.63 @ Betsson
1X2Torino to win 30% · 3.50 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ betfair
1X2Sassuolo to win 42% · 2.75 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.24 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.25
Sassuolo
3.30
Draw
3.20
Torino
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Sassuolo or Draw
1.30
Sassuolo or Torino
1.62
Draw or Torino
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.98
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.80
YES
1.38
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.60
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.83
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.05
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.54
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.58
Sassuolo
2.25
Torino
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.38
Over 7.50
2.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.70
Over 8.50
2.04
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.11
Over 9.50
1.64
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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