Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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Massimiliano Alvini
Frosinone
Venezia**Frosinone's looking sharp while Venezia's hitting the skids** — this feels like a classic home-team bounce-back spot, especially with the Lagunari dealing with a nasty injury pile-up. 🔥
Frosinone just stuffed Fiorentina 3-0 away but then lost to Juve, so they're hunting consistency. Venezia, meanwhile, has dropped games to Lecce, Milan, and Udinese — their defense is leaking buckets and they're missing three key bodies.
Key storylines:
- **Frosinone's attack** needs to keep clicking after that clinical display against Fiorentina, with **A. Raimondo** and **S. Fini** front and center
- **Venezia's defensive crisis** — already shorthanded with **A. Adorante**, **M. Šverko**, and **T. Bašić** out, they'll be stretched thin against a hungry home side
- Mid-field battle between **G. Cittadini** and **G. Calò** (Frosinone) versus **A. Hainaut** and **S. Sohm** (Venezia) will set the tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Frosinone**: L. Palmisani, G. Bracaglia, G. Calvani, I. Monterisi, A. Oyono, G. Cittadini, G. Calò, M. Cichella, G. Kvernadze, A. Raimondo, S. Fini
- **Venezia**: F. Stanković, A. Bella-Kotchap, J. Schingtienne, R. Halhal, R. Haps, A. Hainaut, S. Sohm, K. Pérez, G. Busio, J. Yeboah, A. Adams
Prediction:
**Frosinone 2–0 Venezia**. Frosinone's form and home advantage edge out an injury-ravaged Venezia side.
Frosinone
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2
Venezia
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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