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Cristian Chivu
Inter
SSC Napoli
Inter
3-5-2 · 4-3-3
SSC Napoli
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
3845673 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
61.8%
-36.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
28.2%
+28.1 vs price
Draw
60.0 · implied 1.7%
10.0%
+8.4 vs price
Half time
9199 EUR · live
Home
2.98 · implied 33.6%
55.6%
+22.0 vs price
Draw
1.83 · implied 54.6%
25.4%
-29.3 vs price
Away
8.4 · implied 11.9%
19.0%
+7.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
255626 EUR · live
Under
4.8 · implied 20.8%
64.0%
+43.1 vs price
Over
1.27 · implied 78.7%
36.1%
-42.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
18519 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
92.3%
-5.8 vs price
Over
42.0 · implied 2.4%
7.7%
+5.4 vs price
16 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
35'
A. Vergara · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
C. Jones ◂ P. Sučić
46'
🔁
M. Thuram ◂ F. P. Esposito
50'
⚽
M. Politano0–1
53'
⚽
R. Højlund · assist G. Di Lorenzo0–2
56'
⚽
L. Martínez · assist F. Dimarco1–2
62'
🔁
C. Augusto ◂ F. Dimarco
62'
🔁
D. Neres ◂ M. Politano
62'
🔁
K. De Bruyne ◂ A. Vergara
68'
L. Martínez · Argument
72'
🔁
L. Lucca ◂ R. Højlund
72'
🔁
H. Çalhanoğlu ◂ P. Zieliński
77'
R. Marín · Foul
79'
🔁
B. Gilmour ◂ S. Lobotka
79'
🔁
A. Bonny ◂ A. Bastoni
80'
🔁
B. Badiashile ◂ A. Santos
82'
⚽
M. Thuram · assist C. Augusto2–2
Full-time · 3–2
90'+1
⚽
L. Martínez · assist M. Akanji3–2
Coaches
Massimiliano Allegri 
Recent form
WACagliari1-0
WHMonza4-1
WHReal Betis1-0
WAJuventus2-1
DAAC Milan1-1
LHComo1-2
WAGenoa2-0
WHAris Thessaloniki6-2
DHCelta Vigo1-1
WHOsasuna2-1
Where to watch
Disney+ Premium ArgentinaESPN Argentina
DAZN Austria
Arena Sport Premium 1
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 5 Sur
Disney+ESPN
DAZN
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+ Premium SurESPN 5 Sur
Cytavision Sports 4HD
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
Disney+ Premium SurESPN 5 Sur
DAZN
TV2 Play Denmark
DAZN France
MAGENTA | 1HD
Arena Sport 3 HR
TNT Sports 2
ZEE5
DAZN
Arena Sport Premium 1
Ziggo GoZiggo Sport
Disney+ Premium ChileESPN 5 Sur
Eleven Sports 2 HD
Sport TV3
ESPN 5 Sur
Arena Sport Premium 1
Match! TV
TV4 Fotball
DAZN
CBS
ESPN 5 Sur
Disney+ Premium SurESPN 5 Sur
Match facts
Stadium
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza
City
Milano
Kickoff
05 Sep, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Serie A
Highlights & clips
1
J. Martínez
7.7
31
Y. Bisseck
7.0
25
M. Akanji
7.7
14
A. Bonny
6.6
↑ 79'
17
A. Diouf
8.1
23
N. Barella
6.4
20
H. Çalhanoğlu
7.0
↑ 72'
21
C. Jones
6.7
↑ 46'
30
C. Augusto
7.0
↑ 62'
9
M. Thuram
7.4
↑ 46'
10
L. Martínez
8.8
1
A. Meret
7.0
22
G. Di Lorenzo
6.3
13
A. Rrahmani
6.4
16
R. Marín
6.6
37
L. Spinazzola
5.8
99
F. Anguissa
6.8
6
B. Gilmour
6.3
↑ 79'
11
K. De Bruyne
6.3
↑ 62'
7
D. Neres
6.2
↑ 62'
20
L. Lucca
6.5
↑ 72'
5
B. Badiashile
6.0
↑ 80'
Substitutes
49GI. Provedel
12GR. Di Gennaro
95DA. Bastoni↓ 79'6.9
28DB. Pavard
6DJ. Stones
32MF. Dimarco↓ 62'7.7
7MP. Zieliński↓ 72'7.4
8MP. Sučić↓ 46'7.1
22MH. Mkhitaryan
11ML. Henrique
5MA. Stanković
94FF. P. Esposito↓ 46'6.8
Coach: Cristian Chivu
Substitutes
32GV. Milinković-Savić
14GN. Contini
31DS. Beukema
17DM. Olivera
21MM. Politano↓ 62'7.5
68MS. Lobotka↓ 79'6.9
2MC. Favasuli
19FR. Højlund↓ 72'7.1
27FA. Santos↓ 80'6.9
26FA. Vergara↓ 62'6.3
70FN. Lang
Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
Top stats
63%Possession37%
3.86Expected goals (xG)2.43
29Total shots16
8Shots on target7
5Big chances3
10Corners5
Shots
14Shots off target4
7Blocked shots5
20Shots inside box13
9Shots outside box3
3Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
-0.05Goals prevented0.2
Attack
56Touches in box22
59Final third entries39
1Offsides2
7Free kicks7
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
544Passes340
486Accurate passes265
21/40 (53%)Long balls18/52 (35%)
13/38 (34%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
21Throw-ins30
Duels
62Duels38
40/63 (63%)Ground duels23/63 (37%)
21/35 (60%)Aerial duels14/35 (40%)
6/11 (55%)Dribbles3/13 (23%)
9Dispossessed18
Defending
28Tackles14
54Tackles won64
5Interceptions7
24Clearances39
48Recoveries31
Discipline
7Fouls7
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
6Saves5
1Big saves2
4Goal kicks17
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsInter to win (DNB) 71% · 1.28 @ Betano
1X2Inter to win 57% · 2.10 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.38 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.17 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.26 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.33 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 25% · 2.59 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.20 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ betfair
1X2Napoli to win 18% · 5.00 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.67
Inter
3.75
Draw
5.22
SSC Napoli
Double Chanceconsensus
1.15
Inter or Draw
1.22
Inter or SSC Napoli
2.20
Draw or SSC Napoli
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.87
Yes
1.85
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.15
YES
1.62
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.50
YES
1.17
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.67
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.29
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50
1.81
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.48
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.23
Inter
3.80
SSC Napoli
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.41
Over 7.50
2.65
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.70
Over 8.50
2.05
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.18
Over 9.50
1.62
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Inter to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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