Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
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Luciano Spalletti
Juventus
AC Milan**Juventus's early-season charge meets Milan's inconsistency in what could be the statement win of Serie A's opening month.** Both sides arrive hungry, but Juve's 4-1 run has them rolling while Milan's wobbles (and absences) make this a golden chance for the hosts. ⚪
Juventus are clicking on all cylinders despite missing key defenders and Kylian Mbappé's injury headaches up the spine. Milan grabbed three wins but haven't found rhythm — losing to United mid-week has to sting, and **Rafa Leão's absence** is brutal timing against a Juve attack finally humming.
Key storylines:
- **R. Kolo Muani** makes his third outing for Juve after a summer move; he'll be tested against Milan's reshuffled back line
- **M. Locatelli** and **D. Luiz** anchor a midfield that's yet to surrender much in Serie A play
- AC Milan's defense is patched — **D. Bartesaghi** and **K. De Winter** forced into action with Leão and Gabbia sidelined
Expected lineups:
- **Juventus**: M. Perin, Bremer, P. Kalulu, L. Kelly, Z. Çelik, M. Locatelli, D. Luiz, J. Boga, T. Koopmeiners, F. Conceição, R. Kolo Muani
- **AC Milan**: M. Maignan, D. Bartesaghi, S. Pavlović, K. De Winter, F. Terracciano, A. Jashari, A. Rabiot, Y. Musah, A. Saelemaekers, G. Ramos, S. Chukwueze
Prediction:
**Juventus 2–0 AC Milan**
Juve's form and Milan's injury list give the Old Lady a slight edge at the Allianz. 🔴⚪
Juventus
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
AC Milan
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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