Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Atalanta's injury woes are piling up, but they're still heavy favorites at home against a Cagliari side that's been scrappy.** Both teams have won three of their last five, but the Bergamaschi's quality should shine through here. 🔵⚫
Atalanta are missing five players including key defenders, yet still have enough firepower to punish Cagliari's leaky backline. The Rossoblu have been inconsistent — beating Lecce but losing to Inter and Verona — and travel to one of Serie A's most hostile atmospheres.
Key storylines:
- **Atalanta's attacking trident** of Scamacca, Raspadori, and Zalewski will test a Cagliari defense missing Mina's leadership
- **Éderson's midfield control** against Romano and Adopo could be the pivot that decides tempo
- **Cagliari's counter-threat** with Mendy and Maldini in the mix, but injuries have hollowed them out
Expected lineups:
- **Atalanta**: Carnesecchi, Bellanova, Kossounou, Kolašinac, Zalewski, Éderson, Samardžić, Pašalić, Scamacca, Raspadori, and Kessié
- **Cagliari**: Caprile, Zappa, Pedro, Obert, Rodríguez, Adopo, Romano, Mendy, Deiola, Maldini, Borrelli
Prediction:
**Atalanta 2–0 Cagliari**
Home advantage and personnel depth give the hosts a clear edge despite their injury list.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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