Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Juventus roll into the Mapei looking like an absolute machine**, but Sassuolo won't go quietly—these two always scrap it out. 🔥
The form gap is real: Juve's 4W-1D streak versus Sassuolo's 2W-2D-1L tells the story. But the Old Lady's weakness is draws (Milan 1-1 last time), and Reggio Emilia has a knack for mixing it up—they've drawn or beaten Juve in 8 of their last 25 meetings. Both teams are running short on depth, but Juventus has the quality edge.
Key storylines:
- **Juventus's midfield** (Miretti, Luiz, Alajbegović) faces a test against **Matić and Adžić** in a tight central zone
- **Daniele Berardi** is Sassuolo's creative heart; if **Kalulu and Bremer** can keep him quiet, Juve controls the game
- Injuries on both sides mean squad rotation fatigue—this could tighten the contest more than the table suggests
Expected lineups:
- **Sassuolo**: Murić, Doig, Leysen, Odenthal, Cinquegrano, Ghion, Adžić, Matić, Laurienté, Bowie, Berardi
- **Juventus**: Vicario, Kelly, Kalulu, Bremer, Çelik, Luiz, Miretti, Alajbegović, Koopmeiners, Conceição, Kolo Muani
Prediction:
**Juventus 2-1 Sassuolo**. Slight favorite on class and form, but this doesn't feel like a stroll.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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