Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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Massimiliano Alvini
Frosinone
Como**Como's flying right now — **4W 1D** in their last five is elite form, and Frosinone's tidy **2W 2D 1L** looks pedestrian by comparison. This is the acid test for the visitors.** 🔥
The hosts have been solid at home (beat Venezia 3-2) and don't lose easy, but Como just dismantled RB Leipzig 4-1. That's the kind of statement that travels. Frosinone will need precision; Como will smell blood.
Key storylines:
- **Como's attack is absolutely cooking** — four wins in five with 4-goal hauls showing ruthless finishing
- **Frosinone's midfield balance** — **G. Calò** and **P. Masini** have to suffocate Como's build-up play or this gets out of hand fast
- **Home advantage hasn't been a fortress** — draws against Genoa and Sassuolo suggest Frosinone can be caught cold
Expected lineups:
- **Frosinone**: L. Palmisani, G. Bracaglia, G. Calvani, I. Monterisi, A. Oyono, G. Calò, P. Masini, G. Kvernadze, R. Schmid, S. Fini, A. Raimondo
- **Como**: J. Butez, J. Ramón, T. Chalobah, Á. Valle, Kaiki, L. Da Cunha, N. Paz, A. Douvikas, Y. Couto, M. Liberali, M. Kean
Prediction:
**Como 2–1 Frosinone.** The visitors have the momentum and clinical edge; Frosinone scores but doesn't have quite enough to crack a side in this form.
Frosinone
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Como
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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