Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
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Ivan Jurić
Monza
Sassuolo**Monza's winless streak meets Sassuolo's bite** — the hosts are desperate for a response, but they're facing a side that's found rhythm at just the right time. 🔥
Monza's wobbled badly (1W in five), though that win over Torino at least showed teeth. Sassuolo, meanwhile, have surged — two wins in their last five including an upset over Juventus — and they're heavy on confidence heading to the U-Power.
Key storylines:
- **P. Cutrone** and **E. Zeballos** lead Monza's attack against a Sassuolo backline that's been solid but not impenetrable
- **D. Berardi** remains Sassuolo's creative fulcrum; shutting him down is Monza's best chance to clamp the visitors
- Monza's injury list (five out) is brutal, but **A. Carboni** and the midfield anchors need to control tempo early or Sassuolo's momentum rolls them
Expected lineups:
- **Monza**: Thiam, Carboni, Kouadio, Lucchesi, Bakoune, Birindelli, Akinsanmiro, Folorunsho, Robinson, Cutrone, Zeballos
- **Sassuolo**: Murić, Doig, Leysen, Odenthal, Cinquegrano, Matić, Ghion, Laurienté, Adžić, Berardi, Bowie
Prediction:
**1–2 Sassuolo**. Monza's thin squad and form slump give the visitors an edge despite home pressure.
Monza
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Sassuolo
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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