Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Udinese's home form is dodgy, but Cagliari's hit a purple patch—this could be a proper tussle.** 🔥 The Friuli faithful will want a response after back-to-back defeats, while the Sardinians arrive brimming with confidence off three wins in five.
Udinese have been leaky at the back and shaky in midfield lately, but they hold the H2H advantage (30 wins to Cagliari's 13 across 61 meetings). Cagliari's recent glow is real—they've won three of their last five despite injuries piling up. Neither side is at full strength, but both have attacking teeth.
Key storylines:
- **Udinese's defensive vulnerabilities** against a sharp Cagliari attack led by **P. Mendy** and **D. Maldini**
- **J. Ekkelenkamp and K. Davis** will need to carry the offensive load for the hosts with key players out
- **H. Winks** anchoring Cagliari's midfield could be the difference in controlling tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Udinese**: M. Okoye, H. Kamara, E. Ebosse, M. Vojvoda, S. Lovrić, J. Karlström, K. Davis, J. Ekkelenkamp
- **Cagliari**: E. Caprile, A. Obert, J. Rodríguez, Y. Sugawara, H. Winks, A. Romano, J. Fazzini, P. Mendy
Prediction:
**2-2** — Both sides have enough firepower and fragility to cancel each other out. Slight edge to Cagliari's form, but Udinese's home ground keeps it tight. 🤝
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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