Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Lazio rolls into Venice looking genuinely sharp, and Venezia's 0-5 run is starting to feel genuinely desperate.** This isn't complicated — one side has won three of five, the other hasn't won at all. 📊
Venezia are leaking goals and have injury carnage across the backline, with key defenders **Bella-Kotchap**, **Šverko**, and **Franjić** all out. Lazio, despite rotating squad depth, have momentum and credible attacking threat through **Zaccagni** and **Cancellieri**. The visitors' midfield engine **Belahyane** will boss the tempo.
Key storylines:
- **Venezia's defensive crisis** — missing four key backline pieces, they've conceded 10 goals in five games and face a Lazio side clicking in form
- **Lazio's rhythm continuation** — three wins and solid road pedigree (6 vs Venezia in H2H history) makes them the clear heavy favourite
- **Set-piece vulnerability** — with depleted centre-backs on Venice's end, aerial threats like **Šutalo** become even more dangerous
Expected lineups:
- **Venezia**: F. Stanković, J. Schingtienne, R. Halhal, A. Gomes, R. Haps, A. Hainaut, K. Pérez, S. Sohm, A. Adams, J. Yeboah
- **Lazio**: C. Mandas, N. Tavares, O. Provstgaard, J. Šutalo, M. Lazzari, R. Belahyane, K. Taylor, M. Zaccagni, A. Guðmundsson, M. Cancellieri
Prediction:
**Lazio 2–0 Venezia**. Venezia simply can't keep pace right now — lean toward a comfortable away win.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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