Cagliari 1-1 Juventus: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 11, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Cagliari 1-1 Juventus.

90+1'

A. Romano

Attempt missed. A. Romano (Cagliari), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

L. Spalletti

Red card! L. Spalletti (Juventus) is sent off for argument.

90'

F. Pisacane

Red card! F. Pisacane (Cagliari) is sent off for argument.

89'

Juventus

Offside, Juventus.

86'

Juventus

Corner, Juventus.

86'

A. Cambiaso

Attempt saved. A. Cambiaso (Juventus), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

85'

E. Zhegrova

Attempt blocked. E. Zhegrova (Juventus), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

85'

R. Kolo Muani

Off the woodwork! R. Kolo Muani (Juventus), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.68.

85'

N. Woltemade

Attempt saved. N. Woltemade (Juventus), header from a set piece. xG 0.26.

84'

A. Obert

Substitution, Cagliari: J. Fazzini comes on for A. Obert.

84'

D. Luiz

Substitution, Juventus: T. Koopmeiners comes on for D. Luiz.

83'

A. Deiola

Yellow card for A. Deiola (Cagliari) for foul.

81'

R. Kolo Muani

Goal! Cagliari 1-1 Juventus. R. Kolo Muani (Juventus) scores, assisted by K. Alajbegović.

80'

E. Zhegrova

Attempt saved. E. Zhegrova (Juventus), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

77'

Bremer

Attempt missed. Bremer (Juventus), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

72'

K. Alajbegović

Attempt blocked. K. Alajbegović (Juventus), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

69'

D. Maldini

Substitution, Cagliari: Y. Sugawara comes on for D. Maldini.

69'

P. Mendy

Substitution, Cagliari: M. Nzola comes on for P. Mendy.

67'

Juventus

Corner, Juventus.

64'

E. Zhegrova

Attempt saved. E. Zhegrova (Juventus), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

64'

Z. Çelik

Substitution, Juventus: A. Cambiaso comes on for Z. Çelik.

64'

Juventus

Corner, Juventus.

63'

Cagliari

Offside, Cagliari.

62'

E. Zhegrova

Attempt saved. E. Zhegrova (Juventus), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

61'

E. Zhegrova

Attempt saved. E. Zhegrova (Juventus), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

60'

Y. Massolin

Substitution, Cagliari: A. Fadera comes on for Y. Massolin.

60'

N. González

Substitution, Juventus: N. Woltemade comes on for N. González.

59'

Cagliari

Offside, Cagliari.

56'

Juventus

Corner, Juventus.

52'

E. Zhegrova

Attempt saved. E. Zhegrova (Juventus), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

48'

Juventus

Corner, Juventus.

47'

D. Luiz

Attempt saved. D. Luiz (Juventus), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

46'

J. Rodríguez

Substitution, Cagliari: A. Deiola comes on for J. Rodríguez.

46'

W. McKennie

Substitution, Juventus: K. Alajbegović comes on for W. McKennie.

46'

F. Conceição

Substitution, Juventus: E. Zhegrova comes on for F. Conceição.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Cagliari 1-0 Juventus.

45+2'

N. González

Attempt saved. N. González (Juventus), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

45+2'

J. Lucumí

Attempt missed. J. Lucumí (Juventus), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

45+1'

J. Rodríguez

Yellow card for J. Rodríguez (Cagliari) for foul.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

N. González

Attempt missed. N. González (Juventus), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

38'

Juventus

Corner, Juventus.

35'

Juventus

Corner, Juventus.

32'

H. Winks

Attempt saved. H. Winks (Cagliari), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

30'

P. Sarr

Attempt blocked. P. Sarr (Juventus), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

23'

D. Luiz

Attempt blocked. D. Luiz (Juventus), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

20'

D. Maldini

Attempt blocked. D. Maldini (Cagliari), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

20'

D. Maldini

Goal! Cagliari 1-0 Juventus. D. Maldini (Cagliari) scores, assisted by P. Mendy.

17'

W. McKennie

Yellow card for W. McKennie (Juventus) for foul.

12'

F. Conceição

Attempt missed. F. Conceição (Juventus), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

9'

P. Sarr

Attempt missed. P. Sarr (Juventus), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

8'

D. Luiz

Attempt blocked. D. Luiz (Juventus), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

1'

Z. Çelik

Attempt blocked. Z. Çelik (Juventus), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Cagliari vs Juventus.

Where the money is

3448920 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1891487 EUR · live

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

49.0%

+48.9 vs price

Home 110.0 · implied 0.9%

31.3%

+30.4 vs price

Draw 1.01 · implied 99.0%

19.7%

-79.3 vs price

Half time 19557 EUR · live

Home 1.22 · implied 82.0%

40.2%

-41.8 vs price

Draw 6.0 · implied 16.7%

33.8%

+17.2 vs price

Away 55.0 · implied 1.8%

26.0%

+24.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 580192 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

82.7%

-16.4 vs price

Over 14.0 · implied 7.1%

17.4%

+10.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 21064 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

93.0%

-6.0 vs price

Over 40.0 · implied 2.5%

7.0%

+4.5 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

17' W. McKennie · Foul

20' ⚽ D. Maldini · assist P. Mendy1–0

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺¹ J. Rodríguez · Foul

46' 🔁 E. Zhegrova ◂ F. Conceição

46' 🔁 K. Alajbegović ◂ W. McKennie

46' 🔁 A. Deiola ◂ J. Rodríguez

60' 🔁 N. Woltemade ◂ N. González

60' 🔁 A. Fadera ◂ Y. Massolin

64' 🔁 A. Cambiaso ◂ Z. Çelik

69' 🔁 M. Nzola ◂ P. Mendy

69' 🔁 Y. Sugawara ◂ D. Maldini

81' ⚽ R. Kolo Muani · assist K. Alajbegović1–1

83' A. Deiola · Foul

84' 🔁 T. Koopmeiners ◂ D. Luiz

84' 🔁 J. Fazzini ◂ A. Obert

Full-time · 1–1

90' F. Pisacane · Argument

90' L. Spalletti · Argument

Coaches

Fabio Pisacane

Luciano Spalletti

Recent form

Cagliari

WAUdinese1-0

WAAtalanta2-1

WHLecce1-0

LHHellas Verona1-2

LHInter0-1

Juventus

LHCremonese0-1

WHAtalanta2-0

WHNEC Nijmegen5-0

LASassuolo2-3

DHAC Milan1-1

About this match

**Cagliari's hot streak meets Juventus's inconsistency** — the Rossoblu have won three of their last five while Juve stumbles through a mixed run, setting up a proper scrap in Sardinia. 🔥

Cagliari's defensive solidity and away-day prowess (wins at Udinese and Atalanta) stand in sharp contrast to Juventus's shaky start, but the Bianconeri's pedigree and recent rout of NEC suggest they'll tighten up when it counts.

Key storylines:

- **H. Winks** and **A. Romano** anchor Cagliari's midfield with defensive discipline while Juve leans on **Bremer** and **J. Lucumí** to marshal a reshuffled backline
- Cagliari missing key forward **M. Nzola** with physical discomfort; **P. Mendy** carries the load up front
- **K. Alajbegović** and **R. Kolo Muani** tasked with unlocking a tight Cagliari defense

Expected lineups:

- **Cagliari**: E. Caprile, A. Obert, J. Rodríguez, Z. Pedro, Y. Sugawara, A. Romano, H. Winks, A. Fadera, D. Maldini, J. Fazzini, P. Mendy
- **Juventus**: G. Vicario, A. Cambiaso, Bremer, J. Lucumí, Z. Çelik, P. Kalulu, D. Luiz, P. Sarr, K. Alajbegović, R. Kolo Muani, N. González

Prediction:

**Juventus 2–1 Cagliari**. Juve's class edges it, but Cagliari won't go quietly. ⚪

Where to watch

M+ Liga de Campeones 3

Match facts

Stadium

Unipol Domus

City

Cagliari

Referee

Matteo Marcenaro

2.94 yellows/match · 34 matches

Kickoff

11 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Serie A

Highlights & clips

Cagliari 4-3-2-1 · 4-2-3-1 Juventus

1 E. Caprile 8.9 2 Z. Pedro 6.7 26 Y. Mina 6.9 14 A. Deiola 6.5 ↑ 46' 10 J. Fazzini 6.5 ↑ 84' 8 M. Adopo 7.3 6 H. Winks 6.9 4 A. Romano 7.0 39 A. Fadera 6.8 ↑ 60' 28 Y. Sugawara 6.4 ↑ 69' 18 M. Nzola 6.3 ↑ 69' 25 G. Vicario 6.3 15 P. Kalulu 6.8 3 Bremer 7.0 26 J. Lucumí 7.1 20 A. Cambiaso 6.8 ↑ 64' 29 P. Sarr 7.8 8 T. Koopmeiners 6.9 ↑ 84' 17 K. Alajbegović 8.0 ↑ 46' 11 E. Zhegrova 6.9 ↑ 46' 27 N. Woltemade 6.8 ↑ 60' 9 R. Kolo Muani 7.2

Top stats

28%Possession72%

0.52Expected goals (xG)1.95

4Total shots22

2Shots on target10

1Big chances3

1Corners9

Shots

1Shots off target6

1Blocked shots6

2Shots inside box8

2Shots outside box14

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed2

1.5Goals prevented-0.34

Attack

5Touches in box50

38Final third entries112

2Offsides2

8Free kicks8

0Fouled in final third3

Passing

340Passes843

278Accurate passes781

22/48 (46%)Long balls13/21 (62%)

0/4 (0%)Crosses6/36 (17%)

12Throw-ins20

Duels

52Duels48

40/79 (51%)Ground duels39/79 (49%)

9/15 (60%)Aerial duels6/15 (40%)

9/21 (43%)Dribbles11/24 (46%)

10Dispossessed11

Defending

24Tackles22

33Tackles won68

11Interceptions3

35Clearances7

49Recoveries58

Discipline

8Fouls8

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

9Saves1

3Big saves1

16Goal kicks2

2Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Cagliari 15%

24%

Juventus 60%

1X2Juventus to win 60% · 1.95 @ William Hill

Who winsJuventus to win (DNB) 75% · 1.21 @ Betano

BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.25 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 24% · 2.61 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.75 @ betfair

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.23 @ 1xBet

1X2Cagliari to win 15% · 6.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

6.22

Cagliari

3.90

Draw

1.57

Juventus

Double Chanceconsensus

2.34

Cagliari or Draw

1.24

Cagliari or Juventus

1.12

Draw or Juventus

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.05

Yes

1.70

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

10.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

2.40

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

10.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.04

Over 2.50

1.81

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.50

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.25

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

4.33

Cagliari

1.19

Juventus

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.31

Over 7.50

2.88

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.61

Over 8.50

2.17

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.01

Over 9.50

1.72

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.55

Over 10.50

1.44

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.42

Over 11.50

1.23

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Juventus to win or draw

✓

85% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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